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OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction for the Europa League on 22 Oct 2026: Bayer Leverkusen to win (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Europa League · League Stage - 3
OFIBayer Leverkusen
0 - 2Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 0-2
Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion

Match events

OFIBayer Leverkusen
  1. 15'Yellow card: Carles Martínez NovellDissent
  2. 25'Yellow card: Aleix GarcíaFoul
  3. 35'Goal: Jonas Hofmann
  4. 37'Goal: Jonas HofmannAssist: Malik Tillman

HT 0-2

  1. Substitution: Kenan KodroOff: Taxiarchis Fountas61'
  2. 63'Substitution: Facundo MedinaOff: Miguel Gutiérrez
  3. 64'Substitution: Jonas HofmannOff: Ibrahim Maza
  4. 64'Substitution: Patrik SchickOff: Nathan Tella
  5. Substitution: Giannis TheodosoulakisOff: Aitor Cantalapiedra72'
  6. Substitution: Andreas BouchalakisOff: Giannis Apostolakis72'
  7. 74'Substitution: Edmond TapsobaOff: Lucas Vázquez
  8. 74'Substitution: Malik TillmanOff: Moussa Diaby
  9. 79'Yellow card: Jarell QuansahFoul
  10. Substitution: Konstantinos KostoulasOff: Borja González83'
  11. Substitution: Thiago NussOff: Thanasis Sitmalidis83'
  12. 86'Yellow card: Equi FernándezFoul
  13. Yellow card: Borja GonzálezFoul87'

Our verdict

2 ✓

Bayer Leverkusen to win

Bet365 1.20

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · OFI10%
Fair odds 10.00
X · Draw16%
Fair odds 6.25
2 · Bayer Leverkusen74%
Fair odds 1.35

Match statistics

  • 37%Possession63%
  • 0.27Expected goals (xG)3.11
  • 6Total shots33
  • 2Shots on target15
  • 3Shots off target11
  • 1Blocked shots7
  • 3Shots inside the box23
  • 5Corners10
  • 0Offsides1
  • 5Fouls21
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 12Goalkeeper saves2
  • 395Passes679
  • 327Accurate passes623

Line-ups

OFI

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1K. LiloG
  2. 5K. KostoulasD
  3. 15A. PoungourasD
  4. 2K. KrizmanićD
  5. 24L. DickmannM
  6. 14T. AndroutsosM
  7. 41A. BouchalakisM
  8. 3N. AthanasiouM
  9. 10Aitor CantalapiedraF
  10. 19K. KodroF
  11. 18T. NussF

Substitutes

  1. 21G. ApostolakisM
  2. 11T. FountasF
  3. 17Borja GonzálezD
  4. 90Pavlos KenourgiakisD
  5. 23Manuel KalafatisG
  6. 8G. KanellópoulosM
  7. 6Z. KarachaliosM
  8. 13P. KatsikasG
  9. 43D. NikolaouD
  10. 30T. RomanoF
  11. 71Thanasis SitmalidisF
  12. 46G. TheodosoulakisF

Coach: C. Kontis

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 28J. BlaswichG
  2. 17Lucas VázquezD
  3. 4J. QuansahD
  4. 5L. BadéD
  5. 2F. MedinaD
  6. 6E. FernándezM
  7. 24Aleix GarcíaM
  8. 7J. HofmannM
  9. 10M. TillmanM
  10. 9Afonso MoreiraM
  11. 14P. SchickF

Substitutes

  1. 23N. TellaF
  2. 19M. DiabyF
  3. 1M. FlekkenG
  4. 3Miguel GutiérrezD
  5. 43B. HawighorstD
  6. 36N. LombG
  7. 30I. MazaM
  8. 12E. TapsobaD
  9. 45Gabriel MinutilloM

Coach: Carles Martínez

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.90 – 2.62
0.5 goalsOver97.0%Under3.0%
1.5 goalsOver86.6%Under13.4%
2.5 goalsOver68.3%Under31.7%
3.5 goalsOver46.8%Under53.2%
4.5 goalsOver27.8%Under72.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

OFIBayer Leverkusen
0%Form100%
40%Attack60%
14%Defence86%
50%Head to head50%
26%Expected goals74%
12%Overall88%

Last matches

Newest first
OFI0W 0D 2L · last 2
LKalamata vs OFI18 Oct 2026 · Super League 14-3LRennes vs OFI15 Oct 2026 · Europa League2-1
Bayer Leverkusen2W 0D 0L · last 2
WBayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg18 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga2-1WLech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen15 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-4

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatOFIBayer Leverkusen
Played22
Wins02
Draws00
Losses20
Goals for (avg)23
Goals against (avg)30.5
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes2/21/2

Match preview

OFI host Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bayer Leverkusen clear favourites, giving OFI a 10% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 74% for Bayer Leverkusen. Our tip is: Bayer Leverkusen to win.

OFI have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L). Bayer Leverkusen have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are OFI and Bayer Leverkusen in the table?

OFI are 26th and Bayer Leverkusen are 2nd in the Europa League.

Who will win OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our prediction is Bayer Leverkusen to win. Win probabilities: OFI 10%, draw 16%, Bayer Leverkusen 74%.

Will both teams score in OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

We estimate a 68% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 22 Oct

FTArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar2 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen1 ✗FTFerencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense1 ✓FTJuventus 2-2 Rennes1 ✗FTLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSturm Graz 1-0 MarseilleX2 ✗FTBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace12 ✗FTBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanOver 1.5 ✓FTCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoX2 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon12 ✓FTJagiellonia 0-3 AnderlechtX2 ✓FTOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica2 ✓FTCelje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg2 ✗FTLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad2 ✓FTOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha1 ✓FTPlzen 1-2 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today