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Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction

Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction for the Europa League on 22 Oct 2026: Celta Vigo or draw (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
CelticCelta Vigo
1 - 2Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 0-0
Celtic Park, Glasgow

Match events

CelticCelta Vigo
  1. Yellow card: Camilo DuranDissent23'

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Mika Baur47'
  2. Substitution: Callum OsmandOff: James Forrest58'
  3. 63'Substitution: Hugo BurcioOff: Ilaix Moriba
  4. 63'Substitution: Williot SwedbergOff: Iago Aspas
  5. Yellow card: M. O'NeillDissent67'
  6. 68'Goal: Javier Rodríguez GalianoAssist: Hugo Alvarez Antunez
  7. 71'Goal: Javier Rodríguez Galiano
  8. Substitution: Haissem HassanOff: Kasper Hogh73'
  9. 77'Substitution: Pablo Durán FernándezOff: Ferran Jutglà
  10. Substitution: Mika BaurOff: Oliver Sorensen79'
  11. Substitution: Camilo DuranOff: Sebastian Tounekti80'
  12. Yellow card: Liam ScalesFoul85'
  13. 85'Substitution: Hugo Alvarez AntunezOff: Javi Galán
  14. 85'Substitution: Javier Rueda GarcíaOff: Andrés Antañón Vieites
  15. Yellow card: Oliver SorensenFoul89'
  16. Yellow card: Colby DonovanDissent90+2'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Celta Vigo or draw

Bet365 1.44

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Celtic35%
Fair odds 2.86
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Celta Vigo38%
Fair odds 2.63

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 0.59Expected goals (xG)1.27
  • 8Total shots22
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 3Shots off target7
  • 1Blocked shots11
  • 6Shots inside the box8
  • 2Corners6
  • 3Offsides2
  • 10Fouls5
  • 4Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 490Passes649
  • 433Accurate passes582

Line-ups

Celtic

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 26S. JohnstoneG
  2. 51Colby DonovanD
  3. 47D. MurrayD
  4. 5L. ScalesD
  5. 63K. TierneyD
  6. 42C. McGregorM
  7. 22M. BaurM
  8. 23H. HassanM
  9. 8B. NygrenM
  10. 19C. OsmandM
  11. 11C. DuránF

Substitutes

  1. 61J. HaneyM
  2. 49J. ForrestM
  3. 9K. HøghF
  4. 62Liam KennedyM
  5. 3J. LotombaD
  6. 33S. McArdleM
  7. 14L. McCowanM
  8. 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
  9. 56A. RalstonD
  10. 1V. SinisaloG
  11. 18O. SørensenM
  12. 17S. TounektiF

Coach: M. O'Neill

Celta Vigo

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 13I. RaduG
  2. 20Javi RodríguezD
  3. 21S. CáceresD
  4. 3Marcos AlonsoD
  5. 17Javi RuedaM
  6. 14Aleix FebasM
  7. 30H. BurcioM
  8. 5Sergio CarreiraM
  9. 10Iago AspasF
  10. 9Ferran JutglàF
  11. 23Hugo ÁlvarezF

Substitutes

  1. 35G. MillerD
  2. 6I. MoribaM
  3. 19W. SwedbergF
  4. 18Yoel LagoD
  5. 22Javi GalánD
  6. 4A. FayeD
  7. 11Pablo DuránF
  8. 24C. DriouechF
  9. 1A. BayındırG
  10. 28Andrés AntañónM
  11. 16Hugo GonzálezF
  12. 31Ángel ArcosF

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.45
0.5 goalsOver94.1%Under5.9%
1.5 goalsOver77.4%Under22.6%
2.5 goalsOver53.8%Under46.2%
3.5 goalsOver31.5%Under68.5%
4.5 goalsOver15.7%Under84.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CelticCelta Vigo
50%Form50%
73%Attack27%
38%Defence62%
50%Head to head50%
49%Expected goals51%
48%Overall52%

Last matches

Newest first

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCelticCelta Vigo
Played22
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)41.5
Goals against (avg)2.51.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.52/20/2
BTTS – yes2/22/2

Match preview

Celtic host Celta Vigo in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Celtic Park, Glasgow, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Celta Vigo narrow favourites, giving Celtic a 35% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 38% for Celta Vigo. Our tip is: Celta Vigo or draw.

Celtic have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Celta Vigo have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Celtic Park, Glasgow

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Celtic vs Celta Vigo kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Celtic vs Celta Vigo in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Celtic and Celta Vigo in the table?

Celtic are 35th and Celta Vigo are 25th in the Europa League.

Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Our prediction is Celta Vigo or draw. Win probabilities: Celtic 35%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo 38%.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 22 Oct

FTArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar2 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen1 ✗FTOFI 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense1 ✓FTJuventus 2-2 Rennes1 ✗FTLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSturm Graz 1-0 MarseilleX2 ✗FTBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace12 ✗FTBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanOver 1.5 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon12 ✓FTJagiellonia 0-3 AnderlechtX2 ✓FTOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica2 ✓FTCelje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg2 ✗FTLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad2 ✓FTOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha1 ✓FTPlzen 1-2 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓

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