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Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction

Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction for the Europa League on 22 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
PlzenLevski Sofia
1 - 2Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 0-1
Doosan Arena, Pilsner

Match events

PlzenLevski Sofia
  1. 20'Yellow card: Mazire SoulaFoul
  2. 44'Goal: Francisco Everton Mota de CastroAssist: Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno

HT 0-1

  1. 60'Substitution: Mazire SoulaOff: Armstrong Oko-Flex
  2. Substitution: Denis VišinskýOff: Salim Fago Lawal60'
  3. Substitution: Patrik HrošovskýOff: Stefan Pirgic60'
  4. Goal: Christopher KabongoAssist: Cheick Souare62'
  5. 65'Goal: Reinaldo Nascimento SatornoAssist: Maicon Araújo dos Santos
  6. 74'Substitution: Francisco Everton Mota de CastroOff: Akram Bouras
  7. Substitution: Tomáš LadraOff: Baboucarr Faal74'
  8. Substitution: tobias paliscakOff: Alexandr Sojka74'
  9. Substitution: Christopher KabongoOff: Matěj Vydra77'
  10. 82'Substitution: Reinaldo Nascimento SatornoOff: Juan Esteban Perea Sanchez
  11. 82'Substitution: Mehdi MoubarikOff: Álex Centelles
  12. Yellow card: Stefan PirgicFoul87'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Plzen54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Levski Sofia22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 63%Possession37%
  • 0.96Expected goals (xG)1.17
  • 13Total shots6
  • 2Shots on target3
  • 6Shots off target1
  • 5Blocked shots2
  • 8Shots inside the box5
  • 4Corners1
  • 1Offsides0
  • 9Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves1
  • 471Passes486
  • 398Accurate passes404

Line-ups

Plzen

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

  1. 44F. WiegeleG
  2. 2T. PališčákD
  3. 40S. DwehD
  4. 3D. VavroD
  5. 19C. SouaréD
  6. 17P. HrošovskýM
  7. 6L. ČervM
  8. 99A. MemićM
  9. 18T. LadraM
  10. 9D. VišinskýF
  11. 25C. KabongoF

Substitutes

  1. 11M. VydraF
  2. 14Merchas DoskiD
  3. 23B. FaalF
  4. 29A. GabrielD
  5. 7S. LawalF
  6. 20Jiří Maxim PanošM
  7. 36S. PirgićM
  8. 98F. PrebslD
  9. 12A. SojkaM
  10. 5Karel SpáčilD
  11. 1D. ŤapajG
  12. 10M. ToureF

Coach: R. Kováč

Levski Sofia

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 92S. VutsovG
  2. 21AldairD
  3. 50K. DimitrovD
  4. 4C. MakounD
  5. 3MaiconD
  6. 8M. GrujićM
  7. 19E. El MoubarikM
  8. 22M. SoulaM
  9. 35SerginhoM
  10. 17Everton BalaM
  11. 7ReinaldoF

Substitutes

  1. 28S. StoyanchovF
  2. 31N. SerafimovD
  3. 11A. Oko-FlexF
  4. 78M. LukovG
  5. 27David KussoF
  6. 2Hevertton SantosD
  7. 20Álex CentellesD
  8. 9J. PereaF
  9. 1O. VladimirovG
  10. 47A. BourasM

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.06
0.5 goalsOver94.3%Under5.7%
1.5 goalsOver78.1%Under21.9%
2.5 goalsOver54.7%Under45.3%
3.5 goalsOver32.4%Under67.6%
4.5 goalsOver16.3%Under83.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PlzenLevski Sofia
75%Form25%
67%Attack33%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
71%Overall29%

Last matches

Newest first

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPlzenLevski Sofia
Played21
Wins10
Draws01
Losses10
Goals for (avg)21
Goals against (avg)21
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/21/1
Over 2.52/20/1
Over 3.51/20/1
BTTS – yes2/21/1

Match preview

Plzen host Levski Sofia in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Doosan Arena, Pilsner, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Plzen favourites, giving Plzen a 54% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 22% for Levski Sofia. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Plzen have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Levski Sofia have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Doosan Arena, Pilsner

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Plzen vs Levski Sofia?

Plzen vs Levski Sofia kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Plzen vs Levski Sofia in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Plzen and Levski Sofia in the table?

Plzen are 33rd and Levski Sofia are 17th in the Europa League.

Who will win Plzen vs Levski Sofia?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Plzen 54%, draw 24%, Levski Sofia 22%.

Will both teams score in Plzen vs Levski Sofia?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Plzen vs Levski Sofia?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 22 Oct

FTArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar2 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen1 ✗FTOFI 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense1 ✓FTJuventus 2-2 Rennes1 ✗FTLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSturm Graz 1-0 MarseilleX2 ✗FTBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace12 ✗FTBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanOver 1.5 ✓FTCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoX2 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon12 ✓FTJagiellonia 0-3 AnderlechtX2 ✓FTOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica2 ✓FTCelje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg2 ✗FTLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad2 ✓FTOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha1 ✓

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