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Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction for the Europa League on 22 Oct 2026: Red Bull Salzburg to win (59%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Europa League · League Stage - 3
CeljeRed Bull Salzburg
2 - 2Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 0-1
Stadion Z’dežele, Celje

Match events

CeljeRed Bull Salzburg
  1. 9'Goal: Sota KitanoAssist: Damir Redzic
  2. Yellow card: Artemijus TutyskinasFoul32'
  3. 35'Yellow card: Damir RedzicFoul
  4. Yellow card: Pijus SirvysFoul43'
  5. 45'Substitution: Umut Deger TohumcuOff: Bartosz Mazurek
  6. 45'Substitution: Yorbe VertessenOff: Jesper Lindstrom

HT 0-1

  1. 46'Goal: Jesper LindstromAssist: Damir Redzic
  2. Goal: Blaž KramerAssist: Svit Seslar50'
  3. Substitution: Veton TushaOff: Yaya Dukuly60'
  4. 65'Substitution: Sota KitanoOff: Gaoussou Diakité
  5. Substitution: Benjamin VerbičOff: A. Kučys81'
  6. Substitution: Pijus SirvysOff: Žan Žužek81'
  7. 83'Substitution: Damir RedzicOff: Frans Kratzig
  8. Goal: A. KučysAssist: Yaya Dukuly90'
  9. 90+2'Yellow card: Bartosz MazurekTime Wasting
  10. Substitution: Mario KvesićOff: Darko Hrka90+4'

Our verdict

2 ✗

Red Bull Salzburg to win

Bet365 1.62

59%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Celje18%
Fair odds 5.56
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Red Bull Salzburg59%
Fair odds 1.69

Match statistics

  • 47%Possession53%
  • 1.68Expected goals (xG)1.62
  • 9Total shots15
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 4Shots off target8
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 8Shots inside the box10
  • 2Corners3
  • 1Offsides1
  • 14Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves1
  • 511Passes512
  • 437Accurate passes438

Line-ups

Celje

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Žan-Luk LebanG
  2. 2P. ŠirvysD
  3. 44Ł. BejgerD
  4. 6A. TutyškinasD
  5. 11M. AvdyliD
  6. 10S. SešlarM
  7. 19M. ZabukovnikM
  8. 8M. KvesićM
  9. 25V. TushaF
  10. 9B. KramerF
  11. 7B. VerbičF

Substitutes

  1. 13Papa Mustapha DanielM
  2. 20A. DionkouD
  3. 91Y. DukulyF
  4. 23Ž. FrelihG
  5. 4D. HrkaM
  6. 77M. IvanšekF
  7. 12L. KolarG
  8. 33L. KoútrisD
  9. 47A. KučysF
  10. 31D. SuhovrsnikF
  11. 15Ž. ŽužekD

Coach: Z. Željkovič

Red Bull Salzburg

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 52Christian ZawieschitzkyG
  2. 39L. MorgallaD
  3. 44K. BomaD
  4. 21T. DrexlerD
  5. 31D. SchmidD
  6. 32A. BarryM
  7. 7U. TohumcuM
  8. 23D. RedzicM
  9. 8S. KitanoM
  10. 11Y. VertessenM
  11. 9H. TabakovićF

Substitutes

  1. 47Valentin ZabranskyD
  2. 41Nikola ŠarčevićG
  3. 4J. MellbergD
  4. 15B. MazurekM
  5. 35J. LindstrømM
  6. 22S. LainerD
  7. 13F. KrätzigD
  8. 19K. KonatéF
  9. 1C. FrüchtlG
  10. 30G. DiakitéF
  11. 33A. CamaraM
  12. 5S. DiabatéM

Coach: D. Röhl

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.03 – 1.99
0.5 goalsOver95.1%Under4.9%
1.5 goalsOver80.4%Under19.6%
2.5 goalsOver58.1%Under41.9%
3.5 goalsOver35.7%Under64.3%
4.5 goalsOver18.8%Under81.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CeljeRed Bull Salzburg
25%Form75%
0%Attack100%
57%Defence43%
50%Head to head50%
34%Expected goals66%
23%Overall77%

Last matches

Newest first
Celje0W 1D 1L · last 2
DMaribor vs Celje18 Oct 2026 · 1. SNL0-0LCelje vs Omonia Nicosia15 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-3
Red Bull Salzburg1W 0D 1L · last 2
WRed Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach18 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga3-0LRed Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan15 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-4

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCeljeRed Bull Salzburg
Played22
Wins01
Draws10
Losses11
Goals for (avg)01.5
Goals against (avg)1.52
Clean sheets11
Failed to score21
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/22/2
Over 2.51/22/2
Over 3.50/21/2
BTTS – yes0/20/2

Match preview

Celje host Red Bull Salzburg in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Stadion Z’dežele, Celje, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Red Bull Salzburg favourites, giving Celje a 18% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 59% for Red Bull Salzburg. Our tip is: Red Bull Salzburg to win.

Celje have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Red Bull Salzburg have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion Z’dežele, Celje

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Celje and Red Bull Salzburg in the table?

Celje are 29th and Red Bull Salzburg are 21st in the Europa League.

Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our prediction is Red Bull Salzburg to win. Win probabilities: Celje 18%, draw 23%, Red Bull Salzburg 59%.

Will both teams score in Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?

We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 22 Oct

FTArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar2 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen1 ✗FTOFI 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense1 ✓FTJuventus 2-2 Rennes1 ✗FTLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSturm Graz 1-0 MarseilleX2 ✗FTBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace12 ✗FTBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanOver 1.5 ✓FTCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoX2 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon12 ✓FTJagiellonia 0-3 AnderlechtX2 ✓FTOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica2 ✓FTLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad2 ✓FTOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha1 ✓FTPlzen 1-2 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today