Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Match events
SC Freiburg- 14'Goal: Derry Lionel ScherhantAssist: Philipp Treu
- Goal: Ibrahim MazaAssist: Patrik Schick19'
- 39'Yellow card: Philipp TreuFoul
HT 1-1
- Substitution: Nathan TellaOff: Afonso Moreira59'
- 64'Substitution: Philipp TreuOff: Lukas Kübler
- 65'Substitution: Keisuke GotoOff: Lucas Höler
- Substitution: Moussa DiabyOff: Malik Tillman73'
- Goal: Patrik SchickAssist: Ibrahim Maza76'
- 77'Substitution: Yannick EngelhardtOff: Patrick Osterhage
- 77'Substitution: Jan-Niklas BesteOff: Cyriaque Irié
- Substitution: Ibrahim MazaOff: Jonas Hofmann84'
- 89'Substitution: Derry Lionel ScherhantOff: Vincenzo Grifo
Our verdict
Bayer Leverkusen to win
Bet365 1.67
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 49%Possession51%
- 1.63Expected goals (xG)0.86
- 12Total shots10
- 5Shots on target2
- 4Shots off target7
- 3Blocked shots1
- 7Shots inside the box7
- 4Corners3
- 1Offsides0
- 12Fouls5
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves3
- 488Passes507
- 416Accurate passes431
Line-ups
Bayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. FlekkenG
- 4J. QuansahD
- 12E. TapsobaD
- 2F. MedinaD
- 3Miguel GutiérrezD
- 24Aleix GarcíaM
- 6E. FernándezM
- 19M. DiabyM
- 30I. MazaM
- 9Afonso MoreiraM
- 14P. SchickF
Substitutes
- 8R. AndrichM
- 28J. BlaswichG
- 22V. BonifaceF
- 7J. HofmannM
- 5L. BadéD
- 17Lucas VázquezD
- 15T. OermannD
- 23N. TellaF
- 10M. TillmanM
Coach: Carles Martínez
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. BackhausG
- 29P. TreuD
- 28M. GinterD
- 3P. LienhartD
- 33J. MakengoD
- 8M. EggesteinM
- 16Y. EngelhardtM
- 19J. BesteM
- 42K. GotoM
- 7D. ScherhantM
- 31I. MatanovićF
Substitutes
- 30C. GünterD
- 9L. HölerF
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
- 17L. KüblerD
- 21F. MüllerG
- 6P. OsterhageM
- 37M. RosenfelderD
- 20R. YamamotoM
- 32V. GrifoM
Coach: J. Schuster
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.07 – 1.19Half time / full time result. 1 = Bayer Leverkusen, X = draw, 2 = SC Freiburg.
Asian handicap applied to Bayer Leverkusen.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstBundesliga table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | WLWLD |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 | WLWLD |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 | LDLDL |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 12 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | DWDLW |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 | LLWWW |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 | DDDWL |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 | DWLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  P. SchickBayer Leverkusen | 8 | 7 |
| 3 |  M. OliseBayern München | 8 | 6 |
| 4 |  Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Bayer Leverkusen | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 4 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Bayer Leverkusen favourites, giving Bayer Leverkusen a 57% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 21% for SC Freiburg. Our tip is: Bayer Leverkusen to win.
Bayer Leverkusen have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). SC Freiburg have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Germany Bundesliga
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Venue
- BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg in?
The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.
Where are Bayer Leverkusen and SC Freiburg in the table?
Bayer Leverkusen are 6th and SC Freiburg are 3rd in the Bundesliga.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Our prediction is Bayer Leverkusen to win. Win probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen 57%, draw 22%, SC Freiburg 21%.
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
We estimate a 63% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.