Match events
Hapoel Beer Sheva- Substitution: Mateo BiondicOff: Raul Florucz14'
- Yellow card: Nohim ChibaniFoul20'
- 25'Yellow card: Niv·YehoshuaFoul
- Substitution: Darius OlaruOff: Dylan Aquino30'
- Penalty goal: Raul Florucz (pen)45+1'
- 45+6'Yellow card: zahi ahmedFoul
HT 1-0
- 54'Substitution: Eilel PeretzOff: João Victor
- 58'Yellow card: Miguel VitorHandball
- Goal: Guilherme SmithAssist: Relebohile Mofokeng60'
- 66'Substitution: Forson AmankwahOff: Hamode Kanaan
- 66'Substitution: Igor ZlatanovićOff: Adrián Ugarriza
- 66'Substitution: Miguel VitorOff: Matan Baltaksa
- Yellow card: Kamiel Van De PerreFoul72'
- 76'Substitution: guy mizrahiOff: Amir Chaim·Ganah
- Goal: Dylan Aquino77'
- Substitution: Relebohile MofokengOff: Kevin Rodriguez79'
- Substitution: Nohim ChibaniOff: Denzel De Roeve79'
- Substitution: Massire SyllaOff: Daniel Tshilanda Kabongo79'
- Goal: Guilherme SmithAssist: Denzel De Roeve81'
Our verdict
Union St. Gilloise to win
Bet365 1.33
✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 69%Possession31%
- 2.61Expected goals (xG)0.65
- 29Total shots6
- 15Shots on target4
- 10Shots off target1
- 4Blocked shots1
- 21Shots inside the box6
- 4Corners0
- 0Offsides2
- 6Fouls13
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves11
- 501Passes499
- 396Accurate passes407
Line-ups
Union St. Gilloise
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 12H. KoffiG
- 4N. ChibaniD
- 29M. SyllaD
- 55N. HavenaarD
- 6K. Van de PerreM
- 27L. PatrisM
- 28D. OlaruM
- 23B. ZeneliM
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva CarvalhoM
- 9M. BiondicF
- 38R. MofokengF
Substitutes
- 20D. AquinoF
- 1V. ChambaereG
- 21D. De RoeveD
- 30R. FloruczF
- 39youssef hamoutaharF
- 18G. KavelashviliG
- 13K. RodríguezF
- 26R. SykesD
- 43Daniel Tshilanda KabongoD
- 32S. KeitaF
Coach: D. Hubert
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1O. MarcianoG
- 2G. MizrahiD
- 4M. VítorD
- 12I. RotmanD
- 5Pedro AmadorD
- 17A. ForsonM
- 28N. YehoshuaM
- 7E. PeretzM
- 20J. EastF
- 66I. ZlatanovićF
- 9Z. AhmedF
Substitutes
- 13O. DavidzadaD
- 44D. DiopD
- 11A. GanahF
- 70João VictorF
- 14Y. MaledeF
- 36Y. ShaniG
- 90A. UgarrizaF
- 3M. BaltaxaD
- 45M. Abu RumiF
- 8M. Kna'anF
- 34M. WolffG
Coach: R. Kojok
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.43 – 0.86Half time / full time result. 1 = Union St. Gilloise, X = draw, 2 = Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Asian handicap applied to Union St. Gilloise.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstEuropa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Union St. Gilloise | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Union St. Gilloise host Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Union St. Gilloise clear favourites, giving Union St. Gilloise a 71% chance of winning, 18% for the draw and 11% for Hapoel Beer Sheva. Our tip is: Union St. Gilloise to win.
Union St. Gilloise have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Hapoel Beer Sheva have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 22 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
- Venue
- Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva in the table?
Union St. Gilloise are 6th and Hapoel Beer Sheva are 30th in the Europa League.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our prediction is Union St. Gilloise to win. Win probabilities: Union St. Gilloise 71%, draw 18%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 11%.
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
We estimate a 64% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.