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TodaysPrediction

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction for the Europa League on 22 Oct 2026: Anderlecht or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
JagielloniaAnderlecht
0 - 3Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 0-1
Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok

Match events

JagielloniaAnderlecht
  1. 21'Goal: Mihajlo Cvetkovic
  2. Substitution: Hampus FinndellOff: Ousmane Sow45'
  3. Yellow card: Rodrigo ConceiçãoArgument45+2'

HT 0-1

  1. 46'Yellow card: Thelo AasgaardFoul
  2. Yellow card: Bernardo VitalFoul53'
  3. Substitution: Kamil JóźwiakOff: Jeremy Agbonifo65'
  4. Substitution: Kajetan·SzmytOff: Aleksandar·Cirkovic65'
  5. 65'Substitution: Lukas AmbrosOff: Enric Llansana
  6. 65'Substitution: Tristan DegreefOff: Jayden Onia-Seke
  7. Yellow card: Eryk KozlowskiFoul67'
  8. 71'Yellow card: Enric LlansanaFoul
  9. 72'Goal: Marten WinklerAssist: Enric Llansana
  10. Substitution: Ferslev Anders KlyngeOff: Taras Romanczuk77'
  11. 78'Substitution: Mihajlo CvetkovicOff: Adriano Bertaccini
  12. 78'Substitution: Mario StroeykensOff: Marco Kana
  13. 80'Goal: Jayden Onia-SekeAssist: Enric Llansana
  14. 81'Yellow card: Jayden Onia-SekeFoul
  15. 82'Substitution: Marten WinklerOff: Oliver Antman
  16. Substitution: Nik PrelecOff: Jesús Imaz82'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Anderlecht or draw

Bet365 1.36

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Jagiellonia32%
Fair odds 3.13
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Anderlecht42%
Fair odds 2.38

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 0.29Expected goals (xG)1.00
  • 6Total shots15
  • 1Shots on target8
  • 2Shots off target4
  • 3Blocked shots3
  • 3Shots inside the box8
  • 4Corners4
  • 2Offsides0
  • 12Fouls20
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves1
  • 360Passes501
  • 287Accurate passes426

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 50S. AbramowiczG
  2. 27Rodrigo ConceiçãoD
  3. 5Bernardo VitalD
  4. 4Y. KobayashiD
  5. 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão MontóiaD
  6. 19A. KlyngeM
  7. 85Eryk KozlowskiM
  8. 14H. FinndellM
  9. 72K. JóźwiakF
  10. 99N. PrelecF
  11. 7K. SzmytF

Substitutes

  1. 32A. ĆirkovićF
  2. 11Jesús ImazM
  3. 44A. KonstantopoulosD
  4. 21Sergio LozanoM
  5. 1M. PerchelG
  6. 6T. RomanczukM
  7. 30O. SowM
  8. 3D. StojinovićD
  9. 17Y. SyllaF
  10. 20B. WdowikD
  11. 10J. AgbonifoF

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Anderlecht

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 26C. CoosemansG
  2. 50K. BarryD
  3. 4G. BianconeD
  4. 27L. PétrotD
  5. 5O. ReabciukD
  6. 18L. AmbrosM
  7. 29M. StroeykensM
  8. 19T. AasgaardM
  9. 10M. WinklerF
  10. 9M. CvetkovićF
  11. 83T. DegreefF

Substitutes

  1. 11O. AntmanF
  2. 14D. SikanF
  3. 49Jayden Onia SekeF
  4. 79A. MaamarD
  5. 24E. LlansanaM
  6. 55M. KanaM
  7. 32J. HeekerenG
  8. 91A. BertacciniF
  9. 21T. BentayebF
  10. 6L. AugustinssonD
  11. 8R. AmanéM
  12. 53N. CobiellaM

Coach: Vítor Bruno

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.51
0.5 goalsOver93.9%Under6.1%
1.5 goalsOver76.7%Under23.3%
2.5 goalsOver52.8%Under47.2%
3.5 goalsOver30.6%Under69.4%
4.5 goalsOver15.1%Under84.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

JagielloniaAnderlecht
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
46%Expected goals54%
43%Overall57%

Last matches

Newest first

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatJagielloniaAnderlecht
Played21
Wins10
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)1.50
Goals against (avg)11
Clean sheets00
Failed to score11
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/20/1
Over 2.51/20/1
Over 3.51/20/1
BTTS – yes1/20/1

Match preview

Jagiellonia host Anderlecht in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Anderlecht slight favourites, giving Jagiellonia a 32% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 42% for Anderlecht. Our tip is: Anderlecht or draw.

Jagiellonia have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Anderlecht have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Jagiellonia and Anderlecht in the table?

Jagiellonia are 27th and Anderlecht are 22nd in the Europa League.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

Our prediction is Anderlecht or draw. Win probabilities: Jagiellonia 32%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 42%.

Will both teams score in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 22 Oct

FTArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar2 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen1 ✗FTOFI 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense1 ✓FTJuventus 2-2 Rennes1 ✗FTLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSturm Graz 1-0 MarseilleX2 ✗FTBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace12 ✗FTBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanOver 1.5 ✓FTCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoX2 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon12 ✓FTOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica2 ✓FTCelje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg2 ✗FTLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad2 ✓FTOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha1 ✓FTPlzen 1-2 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓

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