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Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction for the Europa League on 22 Oct 2026: Olympiakos Piraeus to win (61%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Europa League · League Stage - 3
Olympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha
1 - 0Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 0-0
Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus

Match events

Olympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha
  1. 29'Yellow card: Jaroslav ZelenýFoul
  2. 38'Yellow card: Roman MacekFoul
  3. 45'Substitution: Hugo SochurekOff: Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk

HT 0-0

  1. 60'Substitution: Matyáš VojtaOff: Jonatan Braut Brunes
  2. Substitution: Roman YaremchukOff: Armando González62'
  3. Substitution: Santiago HezzeOff: Gustavo Puerta63'
  4. 67'Substitution: Roman MacekOff: Patrik Vydra
  5. 67'Substitution: Matej JurasekOff: Ebrima Singhateh
  6. Substitution: Manolis SaliakasOff: Marcus Pedersen74'
  7. Substitution: Bruno OnyemaechiOff: Nayair Tiknizyan74'
  8. 77'Yellow card: Ebrima SinghatehFoul
  9. Goal: Armando GonzálezAssist: Marcus Pedersen78'
  10. 79'Substitution: Ki-Jana HoeverOff: Pavel Kadeřábek
  11. 80'Yellow card: Martin SuchomelFoul
  12. Substitution: Gustavo SáOff: Chiquinho83'
  13. Yellow card: Jota SilvaFoul83'
  14. Yellow card: Gelson MartinsFoul90+2'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Olympiakos Piraeus to win

Bet365 1.50

61%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Olympiakos Piraeus61%
Fair odds 1.64
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Sparta Praha16%
Fair odds 6.25

Match statistics

  • 60%Possession40%
  • 2.26Expected goals (xG)0.77
  • 23Total shots15
  • 3Shots on target1
  • 11Shots off target6
  • 9Blocked shots8
  • 20Shots inside the box10
  • 14Corners3
  • 3Offsides0
  • 7Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 470Passes326
  • 401Accurate passes263

Line-ups

Olympiakos Piraeus

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1S. OrtegaG
  2. 2M. SaliakasD
  3. 45P. RetsosD
  4. 5L. PirolaD
  5. 70S. OnyemaechiD
  6. 19R. FreulerM
  7. 32S. HezzeM
  8. 20Jota SilvaM
  9. 22ChiquinhoM
  10. 10Gelson MartinsM
  11. 11R. YaremchukF

Substitutes

  1. 6David CarmoD
  2. 92I. GeorgakopoulosG
  3. 34A. GonzálezF
  4. 27M. PedersenD
  5. 15G. PuertaM
  6. 8Gustavo SáM
  7. 4Z. SmajlovićD
  8. 71N. TiknizyanD
  9. 89P. ToufakisM
  10. 91D. StournarasG
  11. 77C. FilisM

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Sparta Praha

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 44J. SurovčíkG
  2. 25K. HoeverD
  3. 6T. GuddalD
  4. 30J. ZelenýD
  5. 2M. SuchomelD
  6. 38H. SochurekM
  7. 28R. MacekM
  8. 5Santiago EnemeM
  9. 31M. JurásekF
  10. 29M. VojtaF
  11. 7J. AlcócerF

Substitutes

  1. 18A. IrvingM
  2. 3P. KadeřábekD
  3. 20S. MannsverkM
  4. 4J. MartinecD
  5. 22L. Mbe SohD
  6. 27E. SinghatehM
  7. 15V. VitályosD
  8. 26P. VydraM
  9. 47K. HegyiG
  10. 14J. Braut BrunesF
  11. 54L. FrancG

Coach: Brian Priske

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.87 – 0.86
0.5 goalsOver93.5%Under6.5%
1.5 goalsOver75.7%Under24.3%
2.5 goalsOver51.4%Under48.6%
3.5 goalsOver29.3%Under70.7%
4.5 goalsOver14.2%Under85.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Olympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha
75%Form25%
75%Attack25%
71%Defence29%
50%Head to head50%
68%Expected goals32%
79%Overall21%

Last matches

Newest first
Olympiakos Piraeus2W 0D 0L · last 2
WPanetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus18 Oct 2026 · Super League 10-2WMarseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus15 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-1
Sparta Praha0W 2D 0L · last 2
DBaník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha18 Oct 2026 · Czech Liga0-0DSparta Praha vs Lillestrom15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-1

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatOlympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha
Played22
Wins20
Draws02
Losses00
Goals for (avg)1.50.5
Goals against (avg)00.5
Clean sheets21
Failed to score01
Best win streak20

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/21/2
Over 2.50/20/2
Over 3.50/20/2
BTTS – yes0/21/2

Match preview

Olympiakos Piraeus host Sparta Praha in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Olympiakos Piraeus favourites, giving Olympiakos Piraeus a 61% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 16% for Sparta Praha. Our tip is: Olympiakos Piraeus to win.

Olympiakos Piraeus have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). Sparta Praha have taken 2 points from their last 2 games (0W 2D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 49% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha in the table?

Olympiakos Piraeus are 5th and Sparta Praha are 16th in the Europa League.

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Our prediction is Olympiakos Piraeus to win. Win probabilities: Olympiakos Piraeus 61%, draw 23%, Sparta Praha 16%.

Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 22 Oct

FTArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar2 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen1 ✗FTOFI 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense1 ✓FTJuventus 2-2 Rennes1 ✗FTLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSturm Graz 1-0 MarseilleX2 ✗FTBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace12 ✗FTBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanOver 1.5 ✓FTCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoX2 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon12 ✓FTJagiellonia 0-3 AnderlechtX2 ✓FTOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica2 ✓FTCelje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg2 ✗FTLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad2 ✓FTPlzen 1-2 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today