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1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction

1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction for the Europa League on 22 Oct 2026: 1899 Hoffenheim or Lyon (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Europa League · League Stage - 3
1899 HoffenheimLyon
3 - 0Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 1-0
Prezero Arena, Sinsheim

Match events

1899 HoffenheimLyon
  1. Yellow card: Mats RotsFoul9'
  2. 31'Substitution: Noham KamaraOff: Steeve Kango
  3. 45'Substitution: Felix BacherOff: Moussa Niakhaté
  4. 45'Substitution: Tanner TessmannOff: Tyler Morton
  5. Goal: Andrej Kramarić45+4'

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: Adam DaghimAssist: Andrej Kramarić49'
  2. 60'Substitution: Mads BidstrupOff: Corentin Tolisso
  3. Substitution: Adam DaghimOff: Wouter Burger61'
  4. Substitution: Vladimír CoufalOff: Valentin Gendrey61'
  5. Substitution: Bambasé ContéOff: Adam Hložek65'
  6. Yellow card: Wouter BurgerPersistent Infringement72'
  7. 75'Substitution: Kail BoudacheOff: Ernest Nuamah
  8. Substitution: Mats RotsOff: Koki Machida77'
  9. Substitution: Tim LemperleOff: Fisnik Asllani78'
  10. Yellow card: Ozan KabakPersistent Infringement81'
  11. Yellow card: Christian IlzerDissent81'
  12. Goal: Adam HložekAssist: Andrej Kramarić83'

Our verdict

12 ✓

1899 Hoffenheim or Lyon

Bet365 1.22

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · 1899 Hoffenheim47%
Fair odds 2.13
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Lyon29%
Fair odds 3.45

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 2.06Expected goals (xG)0.62
  • 21Total shots8
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 9Shots off target3
  • 4Blocked shots3
  • 13Shots inside the box7
  • 11Corners9
  • 2Offsides1
  • 20Fouls6
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 379Passes512
  • 315Accurate passes423

Line-ups

1899 Hoffenheim

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1O. BaumannG
  2. 34V. CoufalD
  3. 2R. HranáčD
  4. 5O. KabakD
  5. 39M. RotsD
  6. 20B. ContéM
  7. 7L. AvdullahuM
  8. 22A. PrassM
  9. 14A. DaghimM
  10. 19T. LemperleF
  11. 27A. KramarićF

Substitutes

  1. 11F. AsllaniF
  2. 29Natnael AbrahaD
  3. 13BernardoD
  4. 18W. BurgerM
  5. 15V. GendreyD
  6. 10A. HložekF
  7. 47V. LässigD
  8. 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
  9. 28K. MachidaD
  10. 9Max MoerstedtF
  11. 36L. PeterssonG
  12. 37L. PhilippG

Coach: C. Ilzer

Lyon

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1D. GreifG
  2. 37Steeve KangoD
  3. 20F. BacherD
  4. 22Clinton MataD
  5. 21R. KluivertD
  6. 99N. NarteyM
  7. 6T. TessmannM
  8. 2M. BidstrupM
  9. 26K. BoudacheF
  10. 45R. HimbertF
  11. 11Keito NakamuraF

Substitutes

  1. 13Z. AthekameD
  2. 8C. TolissoM
  3. 7E. NuamahF
  4. 19M. NiakhatéD
  5. 23T. MortonM
  6. 18K. MerahM
  7. 85N. KamaraD
  8. 24J. DuranvilleF
  9. 40R. DescampsG
  10. 16AbnerD
  11. 25J. Bengui JoãoG
  12. 38Angel Daniel GarciaD

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.40
0.5 goalsOver96.0%Under4.0%
1.5 goalsOver83.0%Under17.0%
2.5 goalsOver62.2%Under37.8%
3.5 goalsOver40.0%Under60.0%
4.5 goalsOver22.1%Under77.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

1899 HoffenheimLyon
33%Form67%
44%Attack56%
43%Defence57%
50%Head to head50%
56%Expected goals44%
62%Overall38%

Last matches

Newest first
1899 Hoffenheim1W 0D 1L · last 2
WBorussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim18 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga1-2L1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş15 Oct 2026 · Europa League2-3
Lyon2W 0D 0L · last 2
WLyon vs Nice18 Oct 2026 · Ligue 12-1WLyon vs Crystal Palace15 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-2

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
Stat1899 HoffenheimLyon
Played22
Wins12
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)22.5
Goals against (avg)21.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak12

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes2/22/2

Match preview

1899 Hoffenheim host Lyon in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Prezero Arena, Sinsheim, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes 1899 Hoffenheim slight favourites, giving 1899 Hoffenheim a 47% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 29% for Lyon. Our tip is: 1899 Hoffenheim or Lyon.

1899 Hoffenheim have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Lyon have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Prezero Arena, Sinsheim

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim are 23rd and Lyon are 12th in the Europa League.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

Our prediction is 1899 Hoffenheim or Lyon. Win probabilities: 1899 Hoffenheim 47%, draw 24%, Lyon 29%.

Will both teams score in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 22 Oct

FTArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar2 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen1 ✗FTOFI 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense1 ✓FTJuventus 2-2 Rennes1 ✗FTLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSturm Graz 1-0 MarseilleX2 ✗FTBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace12 ✗FTBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanOver 1.5 ✓FTCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoX2 ✓FTJagiellonia 0-3 AnderlechtX2 ✓FTOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica2 ✓FTCelje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg2 ✗FTLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad2 ✓FTOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha1 ✓FTPlzen 1-2 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today