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Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction for the Europa League on 22 Oct 2026: Dinamo Zagreb to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Europa League · League Stage - 3
Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen
2 - 4Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 2-2
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

Match events

Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen
  1. Yellow card: Dion Drena BeljoFoul23'
  2. 25'Goal: Clement BischoffAssist: Noe Lebreton
  3. Goal: Dion Drena BeljoAssist: Matteo Perez Vinlöf33'
  4. VAR: Luka IvanušecGoal cancelledVAR36'
  5. Goal: Dion Drena Beljo37'
  6. 44'Yellow card: Noe LebretonFoul
  7. 45'Goal: Bryan LinssenAssist: Clement Bischoff

HT 2-2

  1. 54'Goal: Bryan LinssenAssist: Darko Nejašmić
  2. Substitution: Iker Almena HorcajoOff: Dani Rodríguez59'
  3. Substitution: Arber HoxhaOff: Mislav Oršić67'
  4. Substitution: Niko GalesicOff: Moris Valincic67'
  5. 76'Substitution: Dennis GeigerOff: Jamiro Monteiro
  6. Substitution: Matteo Perez VinlöfOff: Bruno Goda76'
  7. Substitution: Luka IvanušecOff: Lukas Kacavenda76'
  8. 80'Goal: Tjaronn Chery
  9. 81'Substitution: Kevin KersOff: Deveron Fonville
  10. 81'Substitution: Perr SchuursOff: Gabriel·Bras
  11. 90'Substitution: Tjaronn CheryOff: Willum Thor Willumsson
  12. 90'Substitution: Bryan LinssenOff: Kaj Sierhuis
  13. 90+2'Yellow card: Clement BischoffFoul

Our verdict

1 ✗

Dinamo Zagreb to win

Bet365 1.62

58%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-4

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Dinamo Zagreb58%
Fair odds 1.72
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · NEC Nijmegen20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 2.62Expected goals (xG)1.25
  • 16Total shots15
  • 10Shots on target5
  • 4Shots off target5
  • 2Blocked shots5
  • 12Shots inside the box10
  • 5Corners2
  • 1Offsides2
  • 11Fouls18
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves7
  • 515Passes360
  • 437Accurate passes284

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 24D. KotarskiG
  2. 15N. GalešićD
  3. 36Sergi DomínguezD
  4. 26S. McKennaD
  5. 22Olof Matteo Perez VinlöfD
  6. 27J. MišićM
  7. 23Iker AlmenaM
  8. 10L. StojkovićM
  9. 17L. IvanušecM
  10. 11A. HoxhaM
  11. 9D. BeljoF

Substitutes

  1. 6S. RadeljićD
  2. 3B. GodaD
  3. 7Dani RodríguezF
  4. 25M. ValinčićD
  5. 80L. KačavendaM
  6. 14S. PrevljakF
  7. 99M. OršićF
  8. 1D. ZagoracG
  9. 21M. LisicaF
  10. 8M. ZajcM
  11. 5K. KravtsovM
  12. 44I. FilipovićG

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1G. CrettazG
  2. 4P. SchuursD
  3. 22A. KaplanD
  4. 24Deveron FonvilleD
  5. 21T. StormM
  6. 6D. NejašmićM
  7. 18D. GeigerM
  8. 99Clement BischoffM
  9. 9T. CheryM
  10. 20N. LebretonM
  11. 30B. LinssenF

Substitutes

  1. 11W. WillumssonM
  2. 14K. SierhuisF
  3. 12N. PolsterG
  4. 34Kevin KersF
  5. 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
  6. 38Joep GenesteG
  7. 73Gabriel BrásD
  8. 35Jamiro MonteiroM

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.05 – 1.12
0.5 goalsOver95.8%Under4.2%
1.5 goalsOver82.5%Under17.5%
2.5 goalsOver61.4%Under38.6%
3.5 goalsOver39.1%Under60.9%
4.5 goalsOver21.4%Under78.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen
75%Form25%
67%Attack33%
75%Defence25%
50%Head to head50%
65%Expected goals35%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
Dinamo Zagreb2W 0D 0L · last 2
WNK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb18 Oct 2026 · HNL1-5WDinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-0
NEC Nijmegen0W 2D 0L · last 2
DNEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-2DNEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-1

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen
Played22
Wins20
Draws02
Losses00
Goals for (avg)31.5
Goals against (avg)0.51.5
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak20

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/22/2
Over 2.51/21/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes1/22/2

Match preview

Dinamo Zagreb host NEC Nijmegen in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Dinamo Zagreb favourites, giving Dinamo Zagreb a 58% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 20% for NEC Nijmegen. Our tip is: Dinamo Zagreb to win.

Dinamo Zagreb have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). NEC Nijmegen have taken 2 points from their last 2 games (0W 2D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen in the table?

Dinamo Zagreb are 18th and NEC Nijmegen are 20th in the Europa League.

Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our prediction is Dinamo Zagreb to win. Win probabilities: Dinamo Zagreb 58%, draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 20%.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 22 Oct

FTArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar2 ✓FTOFI 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense1 ✓FTJuventus 2-2 Rennes1 ✗FTLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSturm Graz 1-0 MarseilleX2 ✗FTBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace12 ✗FTBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanOver 1.5 ✓FTCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoX2 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon12 ✓FTJagiellonia 0-3 AnderlechtX2 ✓FTOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica2 ✓FTCelje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg2 ✗FTLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad2 ✓FTOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha1 ✓FTPlzen 1-2 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today