Match events
Benfica- 14'Own goal: Loïc Nego (og)
- Goal: Andronikos KakoullisAssist: Jaden Sean Montnor42'
HT 1-1
- 49'Goal: Vangelis Pavlidis
- Substitution: Luuk BrouwersOff: Ewandro50'
- Substitution: Florin TănaseOff: Mihlali Mayambela61'
- Substitution: Andronikos KakoullisOff: Loïs Diony61'
- 62'Yellow card: Tomás AraújoFoul
- 69'Substitution: Manuel SilvaOff: João Palhinha
- 69'Substitution: Rafa SilvaOff: Gianluca Prestianni
- 69'Substitution: Claudio EcheverriOff: Heorhii Sudakov
- 76'Goal: Fredrik Aursnes
- 77'Substitution: Vangelis PavlidisOff: Anísio Cabral
- Substitution: panagiotis andreouOff: Andreas Christou81'
- Substitution: Jaden Sean MontnorOff: A. Neophytou81'
- 83'Yellow card: João PalhinhaFoul
- 83'Substitution: Andreas SchjelderupOff: Dodi Lukebakio
- 85'Goal: Gianluca PrestianniAssist: Dodi Lukebakio
- 88'Yellow card: Souffian El KarouaniFoul
- 90'Yellow card: Gianluca PrestianniFoul
- Yellow card: Loïs DionyFoul90+3'
Our verdict
Benfica to win
Bet365 1.38
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-4
Win probability
Match statistics
- 36%Possession64%
- 0.91Expected goals (xG)3.33
- 7Total shots23
- 5Shots on target10
- 2Shots off target6
- 0Blocked shots7
- 5Shots inside the box14
- 4Corners5
- 2Offsides1
- 12Fouls11
- 1Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 7Goalkeeper saves4
- 395Passes710
- 325Accurate passes626
Line-ups
Omonia Nicosia
4-4-2Starting XI
- 40FabianoG
- 77L. NégoD
- 93J. DuverneD
- 37Ľ. ŠatkaD
- 29J. BalkovecD
- 11EwandroM
- 74P. AndreouM
- 14M. MarićM
- 7J. MontnorM
- 9A. KakoullisF
- 17F. TănaseF
Substitutes
- 22M. TankovicF
- 27S. SimičD
- 85A. NeophytouF
- 78Pantelis MichailG
- 21M. MayambelaF
- 1T. KaminskiG
- 99L. DionyF
- 82A. ChristouD
- 92C. PanagiotisM
- 20L. BrouwersM
- 90C. KonstantinidisD
Coach: H. Berg
Benfica
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. TrubinG
- 6A. BahD
- 3A. CircatiD
- 44Tomás AraújoD
- 34S. El KarouaniD
- 8F. AursnesM
- 16ManuM
- 27RafaM
- 30C. EcheverriM
- 21A. SchjelderupM
- 14V. PavlidisF
Substitutes
- 88Tiago FreitasM
- 26S. DahlD
- 72A. CabralF
- 62J. NetoD
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 2C. LengletD
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 25G. PrestianniF
- 10H. SudakovM
- 33Gabriel IndioD
- 77Gonçalo Carvalho MoreiraM
Coach: Marco Silva
Betting markets
Expected goals 0.87 – 2.24Half time / full time result. 1 = Omonia Nicosia, X = draw, 2 = Benfica.
Asian handicap applied to Omonia Nicosia.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstEuropa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Omonia Nicosia | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.5 | 4 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/2 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/2 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/2 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/2 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Omonia Nicosia host Benfica in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at GSP Stadium, Nicosia, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Benfica clear favourites, giving Omonia Nicosia a 13% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 68% for Benfica. Our tip is: Benfica to win.
Omonia Nicosia have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L). Benfica have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Venue
- GSP Stadium, Nicosia
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are Omonia Nicosia and Benfica in the table?
Omonia Nicosia are 11th and Benfica are 1st in the Europa League.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Our prediction is Benfica to win. Win probabilities: Omonia Nicosia 13%, draw 19%, Benfica 68%.
Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.