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Kalamata vs OFI prediction

Kalamata vs OFI prediction for the Super League 1 on 18 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Super League 1 · Regular Season - 7
KalamataNo recent gamesOFI
4 - 3Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 2-0
Dimotiko Stadio Paralias, Kalamata

Match events

KalamataOFI
  1. Goal: David KurminowskiAssist: Petros Kaloutsikidis14'
  2. Yellow card: Djibril DiarraFoul15'
  3. Goal: David KurminowskiAssist: Petros Kaloutsikidis18'
  4. Substitution: Djibril DiarraOff: Argyrios Liatsikouras37'
  5. 45'Substitution: Nikolaos ChristogeorgosOff: Klidman Lilo
  6. 45'Substitution: Dimitris NikolaouOff: Achilleas Poungouras
  7. 45'Substitution: Georgios KanellopoulosOff: Athanasios Androutsos
  8. VAR: Stefanos StroungisPenalty cancelledVAR45+1'

HT 2-0

  1. 58'Goal: Thiago NussAssist: Borja González
  2. Goal: David KurminowskiAssist: Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro59'
  3. Yellow card: David KurminowskiNot Retreating61'
  4. Substitution: Ahmad Mendes MoreiraOff: Arnór Sigurðsson63'
  5. Substitution: David KurminowskiOff: Jovanny Bolivar63'
  6. 64'Substitution: Konstantinos KostoulasOff: Lorenzo Dickmann
  7. Yellow card: Gonzalo Agustín PiñeiroFoul70'
  8. 75'Goal: Kenan KodroAssist: Thiago Nuss
  9. Substitution: Erik HamzaOff: J. Cataldi76'
  10. Substitution: Kenneth VargasOff: Julián Bonetto76'
  11. 78'Substitution: Anastasios ChatzigiovanisOff: Giannis Theodosoulakis
  12. 84'Goal: Thiago NussAssist: Lorenzo Dickmann
  13. 85'Yellow card: Giannis TheodosoulakisDissent
  14. 87'Yellow card: Zisis KarachaliosFoul
  15. Yellow card: Julio AlonsoFoul90+2'
  16. Goal: Arnór SigurðssonAssist: Julián Bonetto90+4'

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✗

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.28

74%

✗ This tip lost · final score 4-3

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Kalamata37%
Fair odds 2.70
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · OFI35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 38%Possession62%
  • 1.45Expected goals (xG)1.98
  • 13Total shots8
  • 9Shots on target3
  • 4Shots off target4
  • 0Blocked shots1
  • 7Shots inside the box8
  • 1Corners6
  • 3Offsides2
  • 17Fouls9
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves5
  • 318Passes508
  • 243Accurate passes414

Line-ups

Kalamata

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 40N. VasiljevićG
  2. 22P. KaloutsikidisD
  3. 4S. StroungisD
  4. 97RodriguesD
  5. 17Julio AlonsoD
  6. 23G. PiñeiroM
  7. 6D. DiarraM
  8. 77K. VargasM
  9. 24E. HamzaM
  10. 20A. Mendes MoreiraM
  11. 91D. KurminowskiF

Substitutes

  1. 11Josete MirandaF
  2. 8A. LiatsikourasM
  3. 44A. GuessandD
  4. 26P. GinisG
  5. 10A. SigurðssonM
  6. 19M. J. BakayokoD
  7. 9J. BolívarF
  8. 32J. BonettoF
  9. 7J. CataldiM
  10. 12I. ChatzitheodoridisD
  11. 1I. GeliosG
  12. 29U. IgnjatovićD

Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas

OFI

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 31N. ChristogeorgosG
  2. 5K. KostoulasD
  3. 43D. NikolaouD
  4. 2K. KrizmanićD
  5. 17Borja GonzálezM
  6. 6Z. KarachaliosM
  7. 8G. KanellópoulosM
  8. 3N. AthanasiouM
  9. 18T. NussM
  10. 7T. ChatzigiovanisM
  11. 19K. KodroF

Substitutes

  1. 14T. AndroutsosM
  2. 21G. ApostolakisM
  3. 41A. BouchalakisM
  4. 24L. DickmannD
  5. 90Pavlos KenourgiakisD
  6. 13P. KatsikasG
  7. 52Konstantinos LagoudakisD
  8. 1K. LiloG
  9. 15A. PoungourasD
  10. 30T. RomanoF
  11. 71Thanasis SitmalidisF
  12. 46G. TheodosoulakisF

Coach: C. Kontis

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.25
0.5 goalsOver92.3%Under7.7%
1.5 goalsOver72.5%Under27.5%
2.5 goalsOver47.1%Under52.9%
3.5 goalsOver25.5%Under74.5%
4.5 goalsOver11.7%Under88.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

KalamataOFI
50%Form50%
0%Attack100%
91%Defence9%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
51%Overall49%

Last matches

Newest first
Kalamata0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

OFI0W 0D 1L · last 1
LRennes vs OFI15 Oct 2026 · Europa League2-1

Super League 1 table

Super League 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos9-99
11Levadiakos9-86
12Asteras Tripolis9-96
13Atromitos7-62
14Volos NFC8-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Super League 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jota SilvaOlympiakos Piraeus95
2B. VargaAEK Athens FC55
3A. TettehPanathinaikos84
4FabianoAris Thessalonikis74
5D. KurminowskiKalamata44

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatKalamataOFI
Played01
Wins00
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)02
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Kalamata host OFI in the Super League 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Dimotiko Stadio Paralias, Kalamata, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Kalamata narrow favourites, giving Kalamata a 37% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 35% for OFI. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

OFI have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Greece Super League 1
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
Venue
Dimotiko Stadio Paralias, Kalamata

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Kalamata vs OFI?

Kalamata vs OFI kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Kalamata vs OFI in?

The match is in the Greece Super League 1.

Where are Kalamata and OFI in the table?

Kalamata are 8th and OFI are 6th in the Super League 1.

Who will win Kalamata vs OFI?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Kalamata 37%, draw 28%, OFI 35%.

Will both teams score in Kalamata vs OFI?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kalamata vs OFI?

We estimate a 47% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Super League 1 on Sun 18 Oct

FTPanetolikos 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus2 ✓FTPanathinaikos 5-1 Asteras Tripolis1 ✓FTKifisia 1-2 Aris ThessalonikisX2 ✓FTPAOK 2-1 Iraklis 19081 ✓

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