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TodaysPrediction

Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction

Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction for the Europa League on 22 Oct 2026: Real Sociedad to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Europa League · League Stage - 3
LillestromReal Sociedad
0 - 6Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 0-3
Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom

Match events

LillestromReal Sociedad
  1. 25'Goal: Sergio GómezAssist: Mikel Oyarzabal
  2. 27'Goal: Sergio GómezAssist: Mikel Oyarzabal
  3. 30'Yellow card: Mamadou SarrFoul
  4. 33'Goal: Luka SučićAssist: Mikel Oyarzabal
  5. Substitution: Daniel BassiOff: Eric Kitolano45'
  6. 45'Substitution: Mamadou SarrOff: Jon Pacheco

HT 0-3

  1. Missed penalty: Thomas Lehne Olsen50'
  2. Yellow card: Ruben GabrielsenFoul52'
  3. 56'Yellow card: Jon GorrotxategiFoul
  4. 58'Substitution: Takefusa KuboOff: Pablo Marin
  5. 58'Substitution: Orri Steinn ÓskarssonOff: Mikel Oyarzabal
  6. 64'Goal: Orri Steinn ÓskarssonAssist: Gonçalo Guedes
  7. 66'Substitution: Benat TurrientesOff: Jon Gorrotxategi
  8. Substitution: Sturla OttesenOff: Lars Ranger72'
  9. Substitution: Felix VáOff: Fredrik Gulbrandsen72'
  10. 72'Goal: Luka Sučić
  11. 73'Substitution: Luka SučićOff: Arsen Zakharyan
  12. 80'Goal: Arsen ZakharyanAssist: Benat Turrientes
  13. Substitution: Thomas Lehne OlsenOff: Gustav Nordh83'
  14. Substitution: Gustav Kjolstad NyheimOff: Henrik Molvaer Melland88'

Our verdict

2 ✓

Real Sociedad to win

Bet365 1.53

58%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-6

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Lillestrom20%
Fair odds 5.00
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Real Sociedad58%
Fair odds 1.72

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 1.90Expected goals (xG)2.25
  • 14Total shots16
  • 2Shots on target8
  • 7Shots off target5
  • 5Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box11
  • 3Corners4
  • 1Offsides1
  • 8Fouls6
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 476Passes620
  • 421Accurate passes558

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 12P. DahlbergG
  2. 3S. OttesenD
  3. 5S. FossD
  4. 28R. GabrielsenD
  5. 26Y. PaintsilD
  6. 29Y. IbrahimajM
  7. 21F. OttossonM
  8. 14G. NyheimM
  9. 22D. BassiF
  10. 10T. Lehne OlsenF
  11. 20VáF

Substitutes

  1. 7L. AlperudM
  2. 11F. ElkærD
  3. 8F. GulbrandsenF
  4. 1S. HagerupG
  5. 17E. KitolanoM
  6. 47S. KristiansenD
  7. 18K. KrygårdM
  8. 16H. MellandM
  9. 15G. NordhF
  10. 2L. RangerD
  11. 25S. AkanjiF

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Real Sociedad

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 13Unai MarreroG
  2. 5ZubeldiaD
  3. 6Jon MartínD
  4. 19M. SarrD
  5. 17Sergio GómezD
  6. 14T. KuboM
  7. 4Jon GorrotxategiM
  8. 18Carlos SolerM
  9. 11Gonçalo GuedesM
  10. 24L. SučićF
  11. 10Mikel OyarzabalF

Substitutes

  1. 23A. ZakharyanM
  2. 8Beñat TurrientesM
  3. 1Álex RemiroG
  4. 16Jon PachecoD
  5. 9O. ÓskarssonF
  6. 12J. OchiengF
  7. 3Aihen MuñozD
  8. 15Pablo MarínM
  9. 29Alex GarciaF
  10. 28A. LebarbierM
  11. 7BarrenetxeaF
  12. 22Héctor FortD

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.09 – 2.00
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.4%Under18.6%
2.5 goalsOver59.7%Under40.3%
3.5 goalsOver37.3%Under62.7%
4.5 goalsOver20.0%Under80.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LillestromReal Sociedad
50%Form50%
33%Attack67%
75%Defence25%
50%Head to head50%
35%Expected goals65%
26%Overall74%

Last matches

Newest first
Lillestrom1W 1D 0L · last 2
WSandefjord vs Lillestrom18 Oct 2026 · Eliteserien0-2DSparta Praha vs Lillestrom15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-1
Real Sociedad1W 1D 0L · last 2
WMalaga vs Real Sociedad18 Oct 2026 · La Liga2-5DUnion St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-1

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLillestromReal Sociedad
Played22
Wins11
Draws11
Losses00
Goals for (avg)1.53
Goals against (avg)0.51.5
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.50/21/2
Over 3.50/21/2
BTTS – yes1/22/2

Match preview

Lillestrom host Real Sociedad in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Real Sociedad favourites, giving Lillestrom a 20% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 58% for Real Sociedad. Our tip is: Real Sociedad to win.

Lillestrom have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L). Real Sociedad have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?

Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Lillestrom and Real Sociedad in the table?

Lillestrom are 31st and Real Sociedad are 14th in the Europa League.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?

Our prediction is Real Sociedad to win. Win probabilities: Lillestrom 20%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad 58%.

Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 22 Oct

FTArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar2 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen1 ✗FTOFI 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense1 ✓FTJuventus 2-2 Rennes1 ✗FTLech Poznan 1-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSturm Graz 1-0 MarseilleX2 ✗FTBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace12 ✗FTBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanOver 1.5 ✓FTCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoX2 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon12 ✓FTJagiellonia 0-3 AnderlechtX2 ✓FTOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica2 ✓FTCelje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg2 ✗FTOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha1 ✓FTPlzen 1-2 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today