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Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom prediction

Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom prediction for the Europa League on 15 Oct 2026: Sparta Praha to win (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Europa League · League Stage - 2
Sparta PrahaNo recent gamesLillestromNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-0
Stadion Letná, Prague

Match events

Sparta PrahaLillestrom
  1. Yellow card: Martin SuchomelFoul18'
  2. 28'Yellow card: Gustav Kjolstad NyheimFoul
  3. Yellow card: Ebrima SinghatehDissent30'
  4. Substitution: Ebrima SinghatehOff: Josimar Alcocer45'

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Josimar AlcocerAssist: Jonatan Braut Brunes56'
  2. Substitution: Martin SuchomelOff: Ki-Jana Hoever61'
  3. Substitution: Matej JurasekOff: John Mercado61'
  4. Substitution: Sivert Heggheim MannsverkOff: Roman Macek61'
  5. 65'Substitution: Daniel BassiOff: Eric Kitolano
  6. 65'Substitution: Fredrik GulbrandsenOff: Thomas Lehne Olsen
  7. 70'Substitution: Gustav Kjolstad NyheimOff: Henrik Molvaer Melland
  8. 73'Substitution: Winston Robin Yaw PaintsilOff: Frederik Elkaer
  9. 73'Substitution: Felix VáOff: Gustav Nordh
  10. Yellow card: Roman MacekFoul77'
  11. Substitution: Andy IrvingOff: Santiago Eneme85'
  12. 90+1'Goal: Thomas Lehne OlsenAssist: Gustav Nordh
  13. 90+3'Yellow card: Henrik Molvaer MellandDissent

Our verdict

1 ✗

Sparta Praha to win

Bet365 1.33

68%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Sparta Praha68%
Fair odds 1.47
X · Draw19%
Fair odds 5.26
2 · Lillestrom13%
Fair odds 7.69

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 1.05Expected goals (xG)0.80
  • 15Total shots6
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 4Shots off target3
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 7Shots inside the box4
  • 6Corners1
  • 1Offsides2
  • 12Fouls9
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves6
  • 412Passes389
  • 347Accurate passes302

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 44J. SurovčíkG
  2. 2M. SuchomelD
  3. 19A. ŠevínskýD
  4. 6T. GuddalD
  5. 15V. VitályosD
  6. 18A. IrvingM
  7. 20S. MannsverkM
  8. 31M. JurásekM
  9. 38H. SochurekM
  10. 27E. SinghatehM
  11. 14J. Braut BrunesF

Substitutes

  1. 30J. ZelenýD
  2. 26P. VydraM
  3. 47K. HegyiG
  4. 21J. GrimaldoF
  5. 5Santiago EnemeM
  6. 7J. AlcócerF
  7. 25K. HoeverD
  8. 3P. KadeřábekD
  9. 28R. MacekM
  10. 4J. MartinecD
  11. 17J. MercadoF
  12. 29M. VojtaF

Coach: Brian Priske

Lillestrom

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 12P. DahlbergG
  2. 2L. RangerD
  3. 28R. GabrielsenD
  4. 47S. KristiansenD
  5. 26Y. PaintsilD
  6. 29Y. IbrahimajM
  7. 21F. OttossonM
  8. 14G. NyheimM
  9. 22D. BassiF
  10. 8F. GulbrandsenF
  11. 20VáF

Substitutes

  1. 7L. AlperudM
  2. 17E. KitolanoM
  3. 3S. OttesenD
  4. 15G. NordhF
  5. 16H. MellandM
  6. 5S. FossD
  7. 10T. Lehne OlsenF
  8. 18K. KrygårdM
  9. 1S. HagerupG
  10. 11F. ElkærD

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.34 – 0.95
0.5 goalsOver96.3%Under3.7%
1.5 goalsOver84.0%Under16.0%
2.5 goalsOver63.9%Under36.1%
3.5 goalsOver41.7%Under58.3%
4.5 goalsOver23.6%Under76.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sparta PrahaLillestrom
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
71%Expected goals29%
84%Overall16%

Last matches

Newest first
Sparta Praha0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Lillestrom0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSparta PrahaLillestrom
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Sparta Praha host Lillestrom in the Europa League (League Stage - 2) at Stadion Letná, Prague, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sparta Praha clear favourites, giving Sparta Praha a 68% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 13% for Lillestrom. Our tip is: Sparta Praha to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Stadion Letná, Prague

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?

Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Sparta Praha and Lillestrom in the table?

Sparta Praha are 16th and Lillestrom are 31st in the Europa League.

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?

Our prediction is Sparta Praha to win. Win probabilities: Sparta Praha 68%, draw 19%, Lillestrom 13%.

Will both teams score in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?

We estimate a 64% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 15 Oct

FTTorreense 1-2 Sunderland2 ✓FTRed Bull Salzburg 0-4 AC MilanX2 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad12 ✗FTLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace12 ✓FTLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTCelje 0-3 Omonia NicosiaX2 ✓FTAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTBenfica 4-1 CelticOver 2.5 ✓FTCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusX2 ✓FTRennes 2-1 OFI1 ✓FTBournemouth 3-0 Sturm GrazOver 2.5 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş1X ✗FTNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 2-1 PlzenOver 1.5 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtOver 1.5 ✗FTJagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-Armenia1 ✓FTMarseille 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusOver 1.5 ✗

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