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Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad prediction

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad prediction for the Europa League on 15 Oct 2026: Union St. Gilloise or Real Sociedad (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Europa League · League Stage - 2
Union St. GilloiseNo recent gamesReal SociedadNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-0
Den Dreef Stadium, Heverley

Match events

Union St. GilloiseReal Sociedad
  1. Yellow card: David HubertDissent39'
  2. 45'Substitution: Yangel HerreraOff: Benat Turrientes

HT 0-0

  1. 46'Goal: Benat Turrientes
  2. Yellow card: Nohim ChibaniFoul58'
  3. Substitution: Nohim ChibaniOff: Denzel De Roeve64'
  4. 68'Substitution: Luka SučićOff: Takefusa Kubo
  5. Substitution: Darius OlaruOff: Dylan Aquino71'
  6. 74'Yellow card: Mamadou SarrFoul
  7. 79'Substitution: Ander BarrenetxeaOff: Gonçalo Guedes
  8. 79'Substitution: Job OchiengOff: Pablo Marin
  9. Substitution: Mateo BiondicOff: Sekou Abrahame Keita84'
  10. Goal: Sekou Abrahame Keita88'
  11. 90+2'Substitution: Orri Steinn ÓskarssonOff: Mikel Oyarzabal

Our verdict

12 ✗

Union St. Gilloise or Real Sociedad

Bet365 1.28

75%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Union St. Gilloise43%
Fair odds 2.33
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Real Sociedad32%
Fair odds 3.13

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 2.09Expected goals (xG)0.65
  • 16Total shots5
  • 5Shots on target1
  • 6Shots off target3
  • 5Blocked shots1
  • 10Shots inside the box3
  • 4Corners2
  • 0Offsides1
  • 15Fouls13
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves4
  • 422Passes545
  • 339Accurate passes454

Line-ups

Union St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 12H. KoffiG
  2. 4N. ChibaniD
  3. 29M. SyllaD
  4. 55N. HavenaarD
  5. 6K. Van de PerreM
  6. 27L. PatrisM
  7. 23B. ZeneliM
  8. 28D. OlaruM
  9. 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva CarvalhoM
  10. 9M. BiondicF
  11. 38R. MofokengF

Substitutes

  1. 21D. De RoeveD
  2. 39youssef hamoutaharF
  3. 18G. KavelashviliG
  4. 43Daniel Tshilanda KabongoD
  5. 1V. ChambaereG
  6. 20D. AquinoF
  7. 32S. KeitaF

Coach: D. Hubert

Real Sociedad

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 13Unai MarreroG
  2. 5ZubeldiaD
  3. 6Jon MartínD
  4. 19M. SarrD
  5. 17Sergio GómezD
  6. 12J. OchiengM
  7. 4Jon GorrotxategiM
  8. 21Y. HerreraM
  9. 11Gonçalo GuedesM
  10. 24L. SučićF
  11. 10Mikel OyarzabalF

Substitutes

  1. 9O. ÓskarssonF
  2. 16Jon PachecoD
  3. 1Álex RemiroG
  4. 18Carlos SolerM
  5. 8Beñat TurrientesM
  6. 23A. ZakharyanM
  7. 7BarrenetxeaF
  8. 3Aihen MuñozD
  9. 15Pablo MarínM
  10. 29Alex GarciaF
  11. 14T. KuboF
  12. 22Héctor FortD

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.41
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.2%Under18.8%
2.5 goalsOver59.4%Under40.6%
3.5 goalsOver37.1%Under62.9%
4.5 goalsOver19.8%Under80.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Union St. GilloiseReal Sociedad
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
57%Overall43%

Last matches

Newest first
Union St. Gilloise0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Real Sociedad0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatUnion St. GilloiseReal Sociedad
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Union St. Gilloise host Real Sociedad in the Europa League (League Stage - 2) at Den Dreef Stadium, Heverley, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Union St. Gilloise slight favourites, giving Union St. Gilloise a 43% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 32% for Real Sociedad. Our tip is: Union St. Gilloise or Real Sociedad.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Den Dreef Stadium, Heverley

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Union St. Gilloise and Real Sociedad in the table?

Union St. Gilloise are 6th and Real Sociedad are 14th in the Europa League.

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Our prediction is Union St. Gilloise or Real Sociedad. Win probabilities: Union St. Gilloise 43%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 32%.

Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 15 Oct

FTTorreense 1-2 Sunderland2 ✓FTRed Bull Salzburg 0-4 AC MilanX2 ✓FTLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace12 ✓FTLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTCelje 0-3 Omonia NicosiaX2 ✓FTAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrom1 ✗FTBenfica 4-1 CelticOver 2.5 ✓FTCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusX2 ✓FTRennes 2-1 OFI1 ✓FTBournemouth 3-0 Sturm GrazOver 2.5 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş1X ✗FTNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 2-1 PlzenOver 1.5 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtOver 1.5 ✗FTJagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-Armenia1 ✓FTMarseille 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusOver 1.5 ✗

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