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Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction

Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction for the Scottish Premiership on 18 Oct 2026: Celtic to win (57%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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CelticHeart Of Midlothian
7 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 5-1
Celtic Park, Glasgow

Match events

CelticHeart Of Midlothian
  1. Goal: Kieran TierneyAssist: Liam Scales7'
  2. Goal: Benjamin NygrenAssist: Dane Murray10'
  3. 34'Yellow card: Calvin MillerFoul
  4. Goal: Callum OsmandAssist: Camilo Duran36'
  5. Goal: Callum OsmandAssist: Camilo Duran38'
  6. 41'Goal: Laurent mendyAssist: Josh Mcpake
  7. Substitution: Callum OsmandOff: Jota45'
  8. 45'Substitution: Oisin McEnteeOff: Tomas Bent Magnusson
  9. Own goal: Jamie McCart (og)45+1'

HT 5-1

  1. Yellow card: JotaFoul49'
  2. Goal: Camilo DuranAssist: Kieran Tierney49'
  3. Yellow card: Mika BaurFoul51'
  4. Yellow card: Colby DonovanFoul52'
  5. 54'Substitution: Calvin MillerOff: Rogers Mato
  6. 54'Substitution: Josh McpakeOff: Sabah Kerjota
  7. Substitution: Callum McGregorOff: Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain60'
  8. Substitution: Kieran TierneyOff: Landon Emenalo60'
  9. Substitution: Camilo DuranOff: Kasper Hogh60'
  10. Substitution: Haissem HassanOff: James Forrest70'
  11. 71'Substitution: Claudio Rafael Soares BragaOff: Amadou Ba-Sy
  12. Goal: Benjamin NygrenAssist: Kasper Hogh83'
  13. 84'Substitution: Severin Sabri GuendouzOff: James wilson

Our verdict

1 ✓

Celtic to win

Bet365 1.57

57%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 7-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Celtic57%
Fair odds 1.75
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Heart Of Midlothian20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 48%Possession52%
  • 4.12Expected goals (xG)1.27
  • 18Total shots20
  • 10Shots on target5
  • 5Shots off target7
  • 3Blocked shots8
  • 13Shots inside the box16
  • 6Corners3
  • 0Offsides1
  • 17Fouls8
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves3
  • 485Passes528
  • 423Accurate passes456

Line-ups

Celtic

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1V. SinisaloG
  2. 51Colby DonovanD
  3. 47D. MurrayD
  4. 5L. ScalesD
  5. 63K. TierneyD
  6. 42C. McGregorM
  7. 22M. BaurM
  8. 23H. HassanM
  9. 8B. NygrenM
  10. 19C. OsmandM
  11. 11C. DuránF

Substitutes

  1. 12L. EmenaloD
  2. 49J. ForrestM
  3. 9K. HøghF
  4. 26S. JohnstoneG
  5. 7JotaF
  6. 29Shumaira MheukaF
  7. 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
  8. 18O. SørensenM
  9. 6A. TrustyD

Coach: M. O'Neill

Heart Of Midlothian

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

  1. 1B. ReusG
  2. 23J. AltenaD
  3. 64M. Fagan-WalcottD
  4. 5J. McCartD
  5. 3S. KingsleyD
  6. 7C. MillerM
  7. 78L. MendyM
  8. 6O. McEnteeM
  9. 15J. McPakeM
  10. 19S. GuendouzM
  11. 10Cláudio BragaF

Substitutes

  1. 29S. KerjotaF
  2. 22T. MagnússonM
  3. 74R. MatoF
  4. 18H. MilneD
  5. 9J. WilliamsF
  6. 21J. WilsonF
  7. 17S. FindlayD
  8. 30R. FultonG
  9. 77A. Ba-SyF

Coach: W. Vrancken

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.00 – 1.11
0.5 goalsOver95.5%Under4.5%
1.5 goalsOver81.7%Under18.3%
2.5 goalsOver60.1%Under39.9%
3.5 goalsOver37.7%Under62.3%
4.5 goalsOver20.4%Under79.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CelticHeart Of Midlothian
0%Form100%
50%Attack50%
20%Defence80%
50%Head to head50%
64%Expected goals36%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first

Scottish Premiership table

Scottish Premiership table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
11Kilmarnock12-159
12Hibernian11-68
See full table ›

Top scorers

Scottish Premiership top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. DuránCeltic117
2B. NygrenCeltic116
3J. FowlerST Johnstone126
4R. NaderiRangers105
5Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCelticHeart Of Midlothian
Played11
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10
Goals for (avg)11
Goals against (avg)41
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

Celtic host Heart Of Midlothian in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 9) at Celtic Park, Glasgow, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Celtic favourites, giving Celtic a 57% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 20% for Heart Of Midlothian. Our tip is: Celtic to win.

Celtic have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Heart Of Midlothian have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Scotland Scottish Premiership
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Celtic Park, Glasgow

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian in?

The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.

Where are Celtic and Heart Of Midlothian in the table?

Celtic are 1st and Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd in the Scottish Premiership.

Who will win Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our prediction is Celtic to win. Win probabilities: Celtic 57%, draw 23%, Heart Of Midlothian 20%.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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