Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Benfica vs Celtic prediction

Benfica vs Celtic prediction for the Europa League on 15 Oct 2026: Over 2.5 (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Europa League · League Stage - 2
BenficaNo recent gamesCelticNo recent games
4 - 1Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 3-0
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Match events

BenficaCeltic
  1. Penalty goal: Jhon Durán (pen)5'
  2. Goal: Alexander BahAssist: Gianluca Prestianni23'
  3. Goal: Jhon DuránAssist: Gianluca Prestianni36'
  4. Yellow card: Samuel DahlFoul44'
  5. 45'Substitution: Kasper HoghOff: Haissem Hassan
  6. 45'Substitution: Sebastian TounektiOff: Callum Osmand

HT 3-0

  1. 57'Substitution: Oliver SorensenOff: Benjamin Nygren
  2. 57'Substitution: Mika BaurOff: Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
  3. 63'Goal: Camilo DuranAssist: Haissem Hassan
  4. Substitution: Heorhii SudakovOff: Claudio Echeverri64'
  5. Substitution: Samuel DahlOff: Souffian El Karouani64'
  6. Substitution: Jhon DuránOff: Vangelis Pavlidis67'
  7. Substitution: Dodi LukebakioOff: Andreas Schjelderup68'
  8. Yellow card: Alexander BahFoul69'
  9. 77'Substitution: Jordan LotombaOff: Colby Donovan
  10. Substitution: Alexander BahOff: Alessandro Circati80'
  11. Yellow card: João PalhinhaFoul85'
  12. Goal: Vangelis PavlidisAssist: Tomás Araújo89'

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✓

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.28

70%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-1

Expected goals3.6

Win probability

1 · Benfica74%
Fair odds 1.35
X · Draw16%
Fair odds 6.25
2 · Celtic10%
Fair odds 10.00

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 2.59Expected goals (xG)1.25
  • 26Total shots14
  • 7Shots on target7
  • 11Shots off target5
  • 8Blocked shots2
  • 20Shots inside the box12
  • 8Corners6
  • 2Offsides1
  • 9Fouls7
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves3
  • 574Passes516
  • 524Accurate passes459

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. TrubinG
  2. 6A. BahD
  3. 44Tomás AraújoD
  4. 2C. LengletD
  5. 26S. DahlD
  6. 8F. AursnesM
  7. 36João PalhinhaM
  8. 11D. LukebakioM
  9. 10H. SudakovM
  10. 25G. PrestianniM
  11. 22J. DuránF

Substitutes

  1. 18L. BarreiroM
  2. 72A. CabralF
  3. 3A. CircatiD
  4. 30C. EcheverriM
  5. 34S. El KarouaniD
  6. 88Tiago FreitasM
  7. 33Gabriel IndioD
  8. 16ManuM
  9. 14V. PavlidisF
  10. 27RafaM
  11. 21A. SchjelderupF
  12. 24Samuel SoaresG

Coach: Marco Silva

Celtic

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1V. SinisaloG
  2. 51Colby DonovanD
  3. 47D. MurrayD
  4. 6A. TrustyD
  5. 63K. TierneyD
  6. 42C. McGregorM
  7. 22M. BaurM
  8. 11C. DuránM
  9. 18O. SørensenM
  10. 17S. TounektiM
  11. 9K. HøghF

Substitutes

  1. 49J. ForrestM
  2. 23H. HassanF
  3. 26S. JohnstoneG
  4. 65Liam KennedyM
  5. 3J. LotombaD
  6. 14L. McCowanM
  7. 8B. NygrenF
  8. 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
  9. 56A. RalstonD
  10. 5L. ScalesD
  11. 62L. ClearieM
  12. 19C. OsmandF

Coach: M. O'Neill

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.70 – 0.93
0.5 goalsOver97.3%Under2.7%
1.5 goalsOver87.7%Under12.3%
2.5 goalsOver70.2%Under29.8%
3.5 goalsOver49.1%Under50.9%
4.5 goalsOver29.9%Under70.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BenficaCeltic
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
74%Expected goals26%
88%Overall12%

Last matches

Newest first
Benfica0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Celtic0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBenficaCeltic
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Benfica host Celtic in the Europa League (League Stage - 2) at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Benfica clear favourites, giving Benfica a 74% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 10% for Celtic. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Benfica vs Celtic?

Benfica vs Celtic kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Benfica vs Celtic in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Benfica and Celtic in the table?

Benfica are 1st and Celtic are 35th in the Europa League.

Who will win Benfica vs Celtic?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Benfica 74%, draw 16%, Celtic 10%.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Celtic?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Benfica vs Celtic?

We estimate a 70% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 15 Oct

FTTorreense 1-2 Sunderland2 ✓FTRed Bull Salzburg 0-4 AC MilanX2 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad12 ✗FTLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace12 ✓FTLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTCelje 0-3 Omonia NicosiaX2 ✓FTAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrom1 ✗FTCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusX2 ✓FTRennes 2-1 OFI1 ✓FTBournemouth 3-0 Sturm GrazOver 2.5 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş1X ✗FTNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 2-1 PlzenOver 1.5 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtOver 1.5 ✗FTJagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-Armenia1 ✓FTMarseille 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusOver 1.5 ✗

All football predictions for today