La Liga · Regular Season - 9
Match events
Alaves- Yellow card: Sebastián CáceresFoul15'
- 45'Yellow card: Toni MartínezFoul
- Substitution: Ilaix MoribaOff: Aleix Febas45'
- Substitution: Williot SwedbergOff: Javier Rueda García45'
HT 0-0
- Goal: Ferran JutglàAssist: Javier Rodríguez Galiano53'
- 62'Substitution: Jonny OttoOff: Hugo Novoa Ramos
- 62'Substitution: Mariano DíazOff: Toni Martínez
- 62'Substitution: Denis SuárezOff: Carles Aleñá
- Substitution: Couhaib DriouechOff: Iago Aspas70'
- Substitution: Hugo BurcioOff: Andrés Antañón Vieites70'
- Goal: Javier Rodríguez GalianoAssist: Iago Aspas71'
- Substitution: Sebastián CáceresOff: Marcos Alonso77'
- 87'Goal: Hugo Novoa RamosAssist: Mariano Díaz
- 88'Substitution: Abderrahmane RebbachOff: Aitor Mañas
- 88'Substitution: Ander GuevaraOff: Antonio Blanco
Our verdict
Under 3.5
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 48%Possession52%
- 0.91Expected goals (xG)1.05
- 6Total shots20
- 3Shots on target9
- 3Shots off target5
- 0Blocked shots6
- 3Shots inside the box14
- 0Corners5
- 0Offsides3
- 14Fouls17
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 8Goalkeeper saves1
- 464Passes488
- 379Accurate passes394
Line-ups
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 13I. RaduG
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 21S. CáceresD
- 5Sergio CarreiraM
- 30H. BurcioM
- 6I. MoribaM
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezM
- 24C. DriouechF
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 19W. SwedbergF
Substitutes
- 28Andrés AntañónM
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 31Ángel ArcosF
- 10Iago AspasF
- 1A. BayındırG
- 4A. FayeD
- 14Aleix FebasM
- 22Javi GalánD
- 16Hugo GonzálezF
- 15Álvaro NúñezD
- 17Javi RuedaD
- 25Iván VillarG
Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Alaves
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1SiveraG
- 14N. TenagliaD
- 17JonnyD
- 16V. KoskiD
- 2N. ValentiniD
- 21A. RebbachD
- 19Pablo IbáñezM
- 8Antonio BlancoM
- 10Carles AleñáM
- 11Toni MartínezF
- 15L. BoyéF
Substitutes
- 24Selu DialloM
- 9M. DíazF
- 3YusiD
- 6GuevaraM
- 20Aitor MañasF
- 12Hugo NovoaF
- 27X. OlaizD
- 13A. GiménezG
- 22Miguel RodríguezF
- 4Denis SuárezM
- 31G. SwiderskiG
- 23C. BenavídezM
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.07Half time / full time result. 1 = Celta Vigo, X = draw, 2 = Alaves.
Asian handicap applied to Celta Vigo.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstCelta Vigo0W 0D 1L · last 1Alaves0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +34 | 30 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +18 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 23 | WDLWD |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 | WWLDD |
| 8 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | LWDLW |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | LDWDW |
| 10 | Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 | WLDDW |
| 12 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 12 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 9 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 5 | LDLDL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RaphinhaBarcelona | 10 | 15 |
| 2 |  Kylian MbappéReal Madrid | 11 | 12 |
| 3 |  Lamine YamalBarcelona | 11 | 10 |
| 4 |  M. ZabiriRacing Santander | 11 | 8 |
| 5 |  Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano | 11 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Celta Vigo | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/0 |
Match preview
Celta Vigo host Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) at Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 15:15 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Celta Vigo slight favourites, giving Celta Vigo a 43% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 28% for Alaves. Our tip is: Under 3.5.
Celta Vigo have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Spain La Liga
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 15:15 WAT
- Venue
- Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
Celta Vigo vs Alaves kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 15:15 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Celta Vigo vs Alaves in?
The match is in the Spain La Liga.
Where are Celta Vigo and Alaves in the table?
Celta Vigo are 9th and Alaves are 10th in the La Liga.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Celta Vigo 43%, draw 29%, Alaves 28%.
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.