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AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction for the Europa League on 15 Oct 2026: AZ Alkmaar to win (71%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Europa League · League Stage - 2
AZ AlkmaarNo recent gamesHapoel Beer ShevaNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-0
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar

Match events

AZ AlkmaarHapoel Beer Sheva
  1. 39'Yellow card: Pedro Miguel Santos AmadorFoul
  2. Yellow card: Seiya MaikumaDissent45'

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Peer KoopmeinersAssist: Valdemar Byskov Andreasen49'
  2. 52'Yellow card: Eilel PeretzArgument
  3. Yellow card: Ayoub OufkirArgument52'
  4. 53'Substitution: Idan NachmiasOff: Miguel Vitor
  5. 55'Goal: Forson AmankwahAssist: zahi ahmed
  6. Substitution: Seiya MaikumaOff: Denso Kasius61'
  7. Substitution: Ayoub OufkirOff: Calvin Stengs61'
  8. 62'Substitution: Mohamad Abu RumiOff: Javon East
  9. 62'Substitution: Eilel PeretzOff: Niv·Yehoshua
  10. VAR: Bendegúz KovácsPenalty confirmedVAR75'
  11. 76'Yellow card: Djibril diopFoul
  12. Substitution: Bendegúz KovácsOff: Mexx Meerdink76'
  13. Substitution: Mees de WitOff: Mateo Chávez76'
  14. Penalty goal: Mexx Meerdink (pen)77'
  15. 78'Substitution: Igor ZlatanovićOff: Adrián Ugarriza
  16. Yellow card: Calvin StengsFoul78'
  17. 78'Substitution: zahi ahmedOff: João Victor
  18. Yellow card: Denso KasiusFoul83'
  19. Substitution: Ro Zangelo DaalOff: Weslley Pinto Batista86'
  20. 90+1'Yellow card: Adrián UgarrizaFoul

Our verdict

1 ✓

AZ Alkmaar to win

Bet365 1.33

71%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · AZ Alkmaar71%
Fair odds 1.41
X · Draw17%
Fair odds 5.88
2 · Hapoel Beer Sheva12%
Fair odds 8.33

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 2.64Expected goals (xG)1.02
  • 14Total shots5
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 2Shots off target1
  • 6Blocked shots1
  • 9Shots inside the box4
  • 5Corners1
  • 0Offsides2
  • 14Fouls17
  • 4Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves4
  • 587Passes408
  • 498Accurate passes315

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 28J. De BusserG
  2. 2S. MaikumaD
  3. 3W. GoesD
  4. 29W. HoedtD
  5. 34M. de WitD
  6. 21D. KwakmanM
  7. 6P. KoopmeinersM
  8. 24A. OufkirM
  9. 17V. ByskovM
  10. 11R. DaalM
  11. 18B. KovacsF

Substitutes

  1. 27Wassim bouzianeF
  2. 5M. ChávezD
  3. 54Jerolldino BergraafF
  4. 8J. ClasieM
  5. 22E. DijkstraD
  6. 31R. IchiharaD
  7. 30D. KasiusD
  8. 9M. MeerdinkF
  9. 1R. Owusu-OduroG
  10. 4L. SchoutenD
  11. 14C. StengsM
  12. 7Weslley PatatiF

Coach: L. Echteld

Hapoel Beer Sheva

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1O. MarcianoG
  2. 2G. MizrahiD
  3. 44D. DiopD
  4. 15I. NachmiasD
  5. 5Pedro AmadorD
  6. 17A. ForsonM
  7. 25Lucas VenturaM
  8. 7E. PeretzM
  9. 45M. Abu RumiF
  10. 66I. ZlatanovićF
  11. 9Z. AhmedF

Substitutes

  1. 20J. EastF
  2. 28N. YehoshuaM
  3. 11A. GanahF
  4. 70João VictorF
  5. 8M. Kna'anF
  6. 4M. VítorD
  7. 12I. RotmanD
  8. 36Y. ShaniG
  9. 90A. UgarrizaF
  10. 13O. DavidzadaD
  11. 34M. WolffG

Coach: R. Kojok

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.47 – 0.91
0.5 goalsOver96.6%Under3.4%
1.5 goalsOver85.1%Under14.9%
2.5 goalsOver65.6%Under34.4%
3.5 goalsOver43.7%Under56.3%
4.5 goalsOver25.2%Under74.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AZ AlkmaarHapoel Beer Sheva
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
73%Expected goals27%
86%Overall14%

Last matches

Newest first
AZ Alkmaar0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Hapoel Beer Sheva0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAZ AlkmaarHapoel Beer Sheva
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

AZ Alkmaar host Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Europa League (League Stage - 2) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes AZ Alkmaar clear favourites, giving AZ Alkmaar a 71% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 12% for Hapoel Beer Sheva. Our tip is: AZ Alkmaar to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva in the table?

AZ Alkmaar are 10th and Hapoel Beer Sheva are 30th in the Europa League.

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Our prediction is AZ Alkmaar to win. Win probabilities: AZ Alkmaar 71%, draw 17%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 12%.

Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

We estimate a 66% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 15 Oct

FTTorreense 1-2 Sunderland2 ✓FTRed Bull Salzburg 0-4 AC MilanX2 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad12 ✗FTLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace12 ✓FTLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTCelje 0-3 Omonia NicosiaX2 ✓FTSparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrom1 ✗FTBenfica 4-1 CelticOver 2.5 ✓FTCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusX2 ✓FTRennes 2-1 OFI1 ✓FTBournemouth 3-0 Sturm GrazOver 2.5 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş1X ✗FTNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 2-1 PlzenOver 1.5 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtOver 1.5 ✗FTJagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-Armenia1 ✓FTMarseille 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusOver 1.5 ✗

All football predictions for today