Our verdict
Bournemouth to win
Bet365 1.50
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.15 – 1.92Half time / full time result. 1 = Sparta Praha, X = draw, 2 = Bournemouth.
Asian handicap applied to Sparta Praha.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Sparta Praha1W 2D 1L · last 4
Bournemouth5W 0D 0L · last 5Europa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Sparta Praha | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.8 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 5 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/4 | 5/5 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/4 | 3/5 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/4 | 0/5 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/4 | 0/5 |
Match preview
Sparta Praha host Bournemouth in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at Stadion Letná, Prague, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Bournemouth favourites, giving Sparta Praha a 22% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 55% for Bournemouth. Our tip is: Bournemouth to win.
Sparta Praha have taken 5 points from their last 4 games (1W 2D 1L). Bournemouth have taken 15 points from their last 5 games (5W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Venue
- Stadion Letná, Prague
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are Sparta Praha and Bournemouth in the table?
Sparta Praha are 16th and Bournemouth are 3rd in the Europa League.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Our prediction is Bournemouth to win. Win probabilities: Sparta Praha 22%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 55%.
Will both teams score in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.