Our verdict
Sturm Graz to win
Bet365 1.53
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.07 – 1.04Half time / full time result. 1 = Sturm Graz, X = draw, 2 = Celje.
Asian handicap applied to Sturm Graz.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Sturm Graz2W 0D 1L · last 3
Celje0W 3D 1L · last 4Europa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Sturm Graz | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Best win streak | 2 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/3 | 3/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/3 | 2/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/3 | 1/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/3 | 2/4 |
Match preview
Sturm Graz host Celje in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Sturm Graz favourites, giving Sturm Graz a 61% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 18% for Celje. Our tip is: Sturm Graz to win.
Sturm Graz have taken 6 points from their last 3 games (2W 0D 1L). Celje have taken 3 points from their last 4 games (0W 3D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Sturm Graz vs Celje?
Sturm Graz vs Celje kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Sturm Graz vs Celje in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are Sturm Graz and Celje in the table?
Sturm Graz are 19th and Celje are 29th in the Europa League.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Celje?
Our prediction is Sturm Graz to win. Win probabilities: Sturm Graz 61%, draw 21%, Celje 18%.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Celje?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sturm Graz vs Celje?
We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.