Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.22
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.32Half time / full time result. 1 = Celta Vigo, X = draw, 2 = Union St. Gilloise.
Asian handicap applied to Celta Vigo.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Celta Vigo2W 1D 2L · last 5
Union St. Gilloise2W 1D 0L · last 3Europa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Celta Vigo | Union St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 3 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 3.3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 2 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/5 | 3/3 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 4/5 | 2/3 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/5 | 2/3 |
| BTTS – yes | 3/5 | 2/3 |
Match preview
Celta Vigo host Union St. Gilloise in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Celta Vigo slight favourites, giving Celta Vigo a 43% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 31% for Union St. Gilloise. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Celta Vigo have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (2W 1D 2L). Union St. Gilloise have taken 7 points from their last 3 games (2W 1D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are Celta Vigo and Union St. Gilloise in the table?
Celta Vigo are 25th and Union St. Gilloise are 6th in the Europa League.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Celta Vigo 43%, draw 26%, Union St. Gilloise 31%.
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.