Our verdict
Real Sociedad or draw
Bet365 1.25
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.25Half time / full time result. 1 = Real Sociedad, X = draw, 2 = Lyon.
Asian handicap applied to Real Sociedad.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Real Sociedad2W 1D 0L · last 3
Lyon2W 0D 2L · last 4Europa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Real Sociedad | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 |
| Best win streak | 2 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 3/3 | 4/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/3 | 3/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/3 | 1/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/3 | 2/4 |
Match preview
Real Sociedad host Lyon in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Real Sociedad slight favourites, giving Real Sociedad a 49% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 26% for Lyon. Our tip is: Real Sociedad or draw.
Real Sociedad have taken 7 points from their last 3 games (2W 1D 0L). Lyon have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (2W 0D 2L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Venue
- Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
Real Sociedad vs Lyon kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Real Sociedad vs Lyon in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are Real Sociedad and Lyon in the table?
Real Sociedad are 14th and Lyon are 12th in the Europa League.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
Our prediction is Real Sociedad or draw. Win probabilities: Real Sociedad 49%, draw 25%, Lyon 26%.
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.