Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.25
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.19Half time / full time result. 1 = Levski Sofia, X = draw, 2 = Jagiellonia.
Asian handicap applied to Levski Sofia.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Levski Sofia1W 2D 0L · last 3
Jagiellonia2W 0D 2L · last 4Europa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Levski Sofia | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.3 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 3/3 | 2/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/3 | 2/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/3 | 1/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 3/3 | 1/4 |
Match preview
Levski Sofia host Jagiellonia in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at Vasil Levski National Stadium, Sophia, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Levski Sofia slight favourites, giving Levski Sofia a 46% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 28% for Jagiellonia. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Levski Sofia have taken 5 points from their last 3 games (1W 2D 0L). Jagiellonia have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (2W 0D 2L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Venue
- Vasil Levski National Stadium, Sophia
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia in the table?
Levski Sofia are 17th and Jagiellonia are 27th in the Europa League.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Levski Sofia 46%, draw 26%, Jagiellonia 28%.
Will both teams score in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.