Premier League · Regular Season - 7
Match events
Sunderland- Goal: Marcus TavernierAssist: Francisco Evanilson6'
- 17'Red card: Kevin Danso
- Yellow card: Antonio SilvaFoul26'
- 40'Yellow card: Omar AldereteFoul
- Yellow card: Lewis CookFoul45+6'
HT 1-0
- Goal: Francisco Evanilson48'
- 59'Substitution: Omar AldereteOff: Luke O'Nien
- 59'Substitution: Timur TutierovOff: Habib Diarra
- Substitution: Lewis CookOff: Justin Kluivert62'
- 65'Yellow card: Chris RiggFoul
- 65'Substitution: Chris RiggOff: Jules Ahoka
- Yellow card: Ryan ChristieFoul79'
- Substitution: Francisco EvanilsonOff: Álvaro Rodríguez79'
- Substitution: Marcus TavernierOff: Amine Adli79'
- Substitution: Tyler AdamsOff: Bafode Diakite89'
- Substitution: Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaOff: Ben Gannon-Doak89'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.25
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 65%Possession35%
- 4.46Expected goals (xG)0.13
- 29Total shots3
- 6Shots on target0
- 15Shots off target3
- 8Blocked shots0
- 20Shots inside the box2
- 5Corners3
- 1Offsides2
- 16Fouls7
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 0Goalkeeper saves4
- 559Passes301
- 466Accurate passes189
Line-ups
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 15A. SmithD
- 5J. HillD
- 14António SilvaD
- 3A. TruffertD
- 12T. AdamsM
- 10R. ChristieM
- 37RayanM
- 4L. CookM
- 16M. TavernierM
- 9EvanilsonF
Substitutes
- 7D. BrooksM
- 11B. DoakF
- 21A. AdliF
- 24Juanlu SánchezM
- 19J. KluivertF
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 6J. SolerD
- 20M. Di GregorioG
- 30Á. RodríguezF
Coach: M. Rose
Sunderland
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22R. RoefsG
- 20N. MukieleD
- 4K. DansoD
- 15O. AldereteD
- 17ReinildoD
- 34G. XhakaM
- 27N. SadikiM
- 32T. HumeM
- 11C. RiggM
- 28E. Le FéeM
- 57Timur TuterovF
Substitutes
- 19H. DiarraM
- 29Jules AhokaM
- 39M. FofanaF
- 10N. AnguloF
- 7C. TalbiF
- 6D. MethalieD
- 13L. O'NienM
- 31M. EllborgG
- 50J. AnguloF
Coach: R. Le Bris
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.16Half time / full time result. 1 = Bournemouth, X = draw, 2 = Sunderland.
Asian handicap applied to Bournemouth.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstBournemouth1W 0D 0L · last 1Sunderland1W 0D 0L · last 1Premier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  A. IsakLiverpool | 7 | 6 |
| 3 |  João PedroChelsea | 6 | 5 |
| 4 |  M. RogersChelsea | 9 | 5 |
| 5 |  M. TavernierBournemouth | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Bournemouth | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Bournemouth host Sunderland in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Bournemouth slight favourites, giving Bournemouth a 46% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 27% for Sunderland. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Bournemouth have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Sunderland have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Premier League
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Venue
- Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Bournemouth vs Sunderland kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Bournemouth vs Sunderland in?
The match is in the England Premier League.
Where are Bournemouth and Sunderland in the table?
Bournemouth are 7th and Sunderland are 20th in the Premier League.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Bournemouth 46%, draw 27%, Sunderland 27%.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.