Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.25
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.15 – 1.59Half time / full time result. 1 = AZ Alkmaar, X = draw, 2 = Juventus.
Asian handicap applied to AZ Alkmaar.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
AZ Alkmaar2W 1D 2L · last 5
Juventus3W 1D 2L · last 6Europa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | AZ Alkmaar | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 6 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 6 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/5 | 6/6 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 3/5 | 3/6 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/5 | 1/6 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/5 | 2/6 |
Match preview
AZ Alkmaar host Juventus in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Juventus slight favourites, giving AZ Alkmaar a 27% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 47% for Juventus. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
AZ Alkmaar have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (2W 1D 2L). Juventus have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (2W 1D 2L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are AZ Alkmaar and Juventus in the table?
AZ Alkmaar are 10th and Juventus are 7th in the Europa League.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: AZ Alkmaar 27%, draw 26%, Juventus 47%.
Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.