Our verdict
Lillestrom or Plzen
Bet365 1.28
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.66Half time / full time result. 1 = Lillestrom, X = draw, 2 = Plzen.
Asian handicap applied to Lillestrom.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Lillestrom3W 1D 1L · last 5
Plzen1W 0D 3L · last 4Europa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Lillestrom | Plzen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.8 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 2 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/5 | 4/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/5 | 4/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/5 | 1/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/5 | 4/4 |
Match preview
Lillestrom host Plzen in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Plzen slight favourites, giving Lillestrom a 34% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 41% for Plzen. Our tip is: Lillestrom or Plzen.
Lillestrom have taken 10 points from their last 5 games (3W 1D 1L). Plzen have taken 3 points from their last 4 games (1W 0D 3L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Venue
- Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Lillestrom vs Plzen kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Lillestrom vs Plzen in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are Lillestrom and Plzen in the table?
Lillestrom are 31st and Plzen are 33rd in the Europa League.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Our prediction is Lillestrom or Plzen. Win probabilities: Lillestrom 34%, draw 25%, Plzen 41%.
Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Plzen?
We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lillestrom vs Plzen?
We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.