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Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction

Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction for the Premier League on 25 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (82%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Premier League · Regular Season - 8BANKER
Manchester UnitedBournemouth
0 - 3Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-2
Old Trafford, Manchester

Match events

Manchester UnitedBournemouth
  1. Yellow card: Andrey SantosFoul22'
  2. 27'Yellow card: Tyler AdamsFoul
  3. Yellow card: Ayden HeavenDangerous Play37'
  4. 38'Goal: Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaAssist: Justin Kluivert
  5. Yellow card: Youri TielemansFoul40'
  6. 43'Goal: Marcus TavernierAssist: Adrien Truffert
  7. Substitution: Youri TielemansOff: Matheus Cunha45'
  8. Yellow card: Harry MaguireFoul45+3'

HT 0-2

  1. 63'Substitution: Justin KluivertOff: Ben Gannon-Doak
  2. Substitution: Ayden HeavenOff: Lisandro Martínez65'
  3. 71'Goal: Francisco EvanilsonAssist: Lewis Cook
  4. Substitution: Carlos BalebaOff: Joshua Zirkzee72'
  5. 75'Substitution: Lewis CookOff: Ryan Christie
  6. Substitution: Amad DialloOff: Shea Lacey78'
  7. 87'Substitution: Adam SmithOff: Bafode Diakite
  8. 87'Substitution: Francisco EvanilsonOff: Eli Kroupi
  9. 87'Substitution: Marcus TavernierOff: Amine Adli

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

82%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Manchester United47%
Fair odds 2.13
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Bournemouth28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 62%Possession38%
  • 0.95Expected goals (xG)2.23
  • 16Total shots10
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 6Shots off target5
  • 5Blocked shots1
  • 7Shots inside the box9
  • 5Corners4
  • 0Offsides1
  • 13Fouls17
  • 4Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 617Passes367
  • 511Accurate passes264

Line-ups

Manchester United

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1S. LammensG
  2. 15L. YoroD
  3. 5H. MaguireD
  4. 26A. HeavenD
  5. 2Diogo DalotD
  6. 17Andrey SantosM
  7. 20C. BalebaM
  8. 16A. DialloM
  9. 18Y. TielemansM
  10. 7M. MountM
  11. 19B. MbeumoF

Substitutes

  1. 31S. LaceyF
  2. 8Bruno FernandesM
  3. 3N. MazraouiD
  4. 6Lisandro MartínezD
  5. 4M. de LigtD
  6. 12K. DarlowG
  7. 10Matheus CunhaF
  8. 11J. ZirkzeeF
  9. 39T. FletcherM

Coach: M. Carrick

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Đ. PetrovićG
  2. 15A. SmithD
  3. 5J. HillD
  4. 14António SilvaD
  5. 3A. TruffertD
  6. 12T. AdamsM
  7. 4L. CookM
  8. 37RayanM
  9. 19J. KluivertM
  10. 16M. TavernierM
  11. 9EvanilsonF

Substitutes

  1. 30Á. RodríguezF
  2. 20M. Di GregorioG
  3. 6J. SolerD
  4. 18B. DiakitéD
  5. 7D. BrooksM
  6. 10R. ChristieM
  7. 11B. DoakF
  8. 21A. AdliF
  9. 22E. KroupiF

Coach: M. Rose

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.76 – 1.32
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.2%Under18.8%
2.5 goalsOver59.4%Under40.6%
3.5 goalsOver37.1%Under62.9%
4.5 goalsOver19.8%Under80.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Manchester UnitedBournemouth
10%Form90%
21%Attack79%
8%Defence92%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
Manchester United0W 1D 2L · last 3
LComo vs Manchester United21 Oct 2026 · Champions League4-1DLeeds vs Manchester United18 Oct 2026 · Premier League1-1LAtletico Madrid vs Manchester United13 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-0
Bournemouth3W 0D 0L · last 3
WBournemouth vs AC Milan22 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-0WBournemouth vs Sunderland18 Oct 2026 · Premier League2-0WBournemouth vs Sturm Graz15 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-0

Premier League table

Premier League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Manchester City8+1121
2Arsenal8+821
3Brighton8+1616
4Liverpool8+315
5Chelsea8+213
6Brentford8+511
7Leeds8+311
8Newcastle8-211
9Aston Villa8-311
10Hull City8+110
11Everton8-110
12Ipswich8-410
13Bournemouth8-19
14Tottenham8-29
15Fulham8-28
16Manchester United8-37
17Crystal Palace8-107
18Nottingham Forest8-46
19Coventry8-96
20Sunderland8-85
See full table ›

Top scorers

Premier League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. HaalandManchester City89
2A. IsakLiverpool76
3João PedroChelsea65
4M. TavernierBournemouth85
5R. CherkiManchester City74

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatManchester UnitedBournemouth
Played33
Wins03
Draws10
Losses20
Goals for (avg)0.72.7
Goals against (avg)2.30
Clean sheets03
Failed to score10
Best win streak03

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/33/3
Over 2.51/32/3
Over 3.51/30/3
BTTS – yes2/30/3

Match preview

Manchester United host Bournemouth in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8) at Old Trafford, Manchester, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Manchester United slight favourites, giving Manchester United a 47% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 28% for Bournemouth. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Manchester United have taken 1 points from their last 3 games (0W 1D 2L). Bournemouth have taken 9 points from their last 3 games (3W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Premier League
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Old Trafford, Manchester

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

Manchester United vs Bournemouth kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Manchester United vs Bournemouth in?

The match is in the England Premier League.

Where are Manchester United and Bournemouth in the table?

Manchester United are 16th and Bournemouth are 13th in the Premier League.

Who will win Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Manchester United 47%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 28%.

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier League on Sun 25 Oct

FTCrystal Palace 0-2 NewcastleX2 ✓FTLiverpool 2-0 Brighton1X ✓FTHull City 1-1 BrentfordOver 1.5 ✓FTSunderland 0-0 LeedsX2 ✓

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