Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.20
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.94 – 1.01Half time / full time result. 1 = Sunderland, X = draw, 2 = Dinamo Zagreb.
Asian handicap applied to Sunderland.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Sunderland1W 2D 2L · last 5
Dinamo Zagreb2W 0D 1L · last 3Europa League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. DionyOmonia Nicosia | 7 | 4 |
| 2 |  A. CissèAC Milan | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace | 3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 3 | 3 |
| 5 |  K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC | 11 | 3 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Sunderland | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 3 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.8 | 2.7 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/5 | 2/3 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/5 | 2/3 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/5 | 2/3 |
| BTTS – yes | 3/5 | 2/3 |
Match preview
Sunderland host Dinamo Zagreb in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at Stadium of Light, Sunderland, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Sunderland favourites, giving Sunderland a 58% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 19% for Dinamo Zagreb. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Sunderland have taken 5 points from their last 5 games (1W 2D 2L). Dinamo Zagreb have taken 6 points from their last 3 games (2W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Europa League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Stadium of Light, Sunderland
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb in?
The match is in the Europe Europa League.
Where are Sunderland and Dinamo Zagreb in the table?
Sunderland are 9th and Dinamo Zagreb are 18th in the Europa League.
Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Sunderland 58%, draw 23%, Dinamo Zagreb 19%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.