Premier League · Regular Season - 9
Match events
Leeds- 11'VARVAR: Dominic Calvert-LewinGoal cancelled
- Goal: Francisco EvanilsonAssist: Justin Kluivert31'
- 35'Yellow card: Nico ElvediFoul
- 35'Yellow card: Daniel FarkeDissent
- Yellow card: Ryan ChristieFoul45+2'
HT 1-0
- 62'Yellow card: Ethan AmpaduFoul
- 65'Substitution: Gabriel GudmundssonOff: Sean Longstaff
- 65'Substitution: Ao TanakaOff: Anton Stach
- 65'Substitution: Daniel JamesOff: Lukas Nmecha
- Substitution: Justin KluivertOff: Eli Kroupi68'
- Substitution: Ryan ChristieOff: Lewis Cook68'
- Yellow card: Tyler AdamsFoul74'
- Substitution: Francisco EvanilsonOff: Álvaro Rodríguez76'
- 84'Substitution: James JustinOff: Jean Matteo Bahoya
- 84'Substitution: Harry WilsonOff: Brenden Aaronson
- Substitution: Adam SmithOff: Bafode Diakite88'
- Substitution: Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaOff: Amine Adli88'
- Goal: Amine AdliAssist: Eli Kroupi90+4'
Our verdict
Bournemouth or draw
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 44%Possession56%
- 0.96Expected goals (xG)0.69
- 11Total shots10
- 5Shots on target1
- 3Shots off target7
- 3Blocked shots2
- 5Shots inside the box3
- 4Corners4
- 0Offsides1
- 12Fouls15
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves3
- 408Passes508
- 314Accurate passes410
Line-ups
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 15A. SmithD
- 5J. HillD
- 14António SilvaD
- 3A. TruffertD
- 12T. AdamsM
- 10R. ChristieM
- 37RayanM
- 19J. KluivertM
- 16M. TavernierM
- 9EvanilsonF
Substitutes
- 7D. BrooksM
- 4L. CookM
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 20M. Di GregorioG
- 21A. AdliF
- 11B. DoakF
- 22E. KroupiF
- 30Á. RodríguezF
- 6J. SolerD
Coach: M. Rose
Leeds
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1J. TraffordG
- 24J. JustinD
- 30N. ElvediD
- 5T. MuharemovićD
- 2J. BogleM
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 22A. TanakaM
- 3G. GudmundssonM
- 10H. WilsonM
- 7D. JamesM
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
Substitutes
- 11B. AaronsonM
- 23J. BahoyaF
- 26M. BardD
- 15J. BijolD
- 44I. GruevM
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 14L. NmechaF
- 18A. StachM
- 16M. ZettererG
Coach: D. Farke
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.12Half time / full time result. 1 = Bournemouth, X = draw, 2 = Leeds.
Asian handicap applied to Bournemouth.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstBournemouth4W 0D 0L · last 4Leeds0W 2D 0L · last 2Premier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  A. IsakLiverpool | 8 | 6 |
| 3 |  João PedroChelsea | 6 | 5 |
| 4 |  M. RogersChelsea | 9 | 5 |
| 5 |  M. TavernierBournemouth | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Bournemouth | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 2 |
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 4 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/4 | 1/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 3/4 | 0/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/4 | 0/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/4 | 1/2 |
Match preview
Bournemouth host Leeds in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9) at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Bournemouth slight favourites, giving Bournemouth a 44% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 28% for Leeds. Our tip is: Bournemouth or draw.
Bournemouth have taken 12 points from their last 4 games (4W 0D 0L). Leeds have taken 2 points from their last 2 games (0W 2D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Premier League
- Date
- Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Venue
- Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Bournemouth vs Leeds kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Bournemouth vs Leeds in?
The match is in the England Premier League.
Where are Bournemouth and Leeds in the table?
Bournemouth are 7th and Leeds are 11th in the Premier League.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Our prediction is Bournemouth or draw. Win probabilities: Bournemouth 44%, draw 28%, Leeds 28%.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Leeds?
We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bournemouth vs Leeds?
We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.