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Lyon vs Crystal Palace prediction

Lyon vs Crystal Palace prediction for the Europa League on 15 Oct 2026: Lyon or Crystal Palace (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
LyonNo recent gamesCrystal PalaceNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 2-0
Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Match events

LyonCrystal Palace
  1. Goal: Corentin Tolisso8'
  2. 36'Yellow card: Ismaila SarrDissent
  3. Goal: Ernest NuamahAssist: Keito Nakamura45+2'

HT 2-0

  1. 50'Goal: Yeremy PinoAssist: Adam Wharton
  2. 56'Yellow card: Yeremy PinoFoul
  3. Yellow card: Keito NakamuraFoul58'
  4. 62'Substitution: Ismaila SarrOff: Daichi Kamada
  5. 62'Substitution: Jörgen Strand LarsenOff: Eddie Nketiah
  6. Substitution: Khalis MerahOff: Pavel Šulc70'
  7. Substitution: Ernest NuamahOff: Kail Boudache70'
  8. 75'Substitution: Dario OsorioOff: Yeremy Pino
  9. 75'Substitution: Oscar MinguezaOff: Anan Khalaili
  10. Goal: Pavel ŠulcAssist: Keito Nakamura76'
  11. Substitution: Noah Teye NarteyOff: Tanner Tessmann78'
  12. 81'Goal: Daichi Kamada
  13. 82'Yellow card: Chris RichardsFoul
  14. 86'Substitution: Quinten TimberOff: Dwight McNeil
  15. Substitution: Corentin TolissoOff: Mads Bidstrup90'

Our verdict

12 ✓

Lyon or Crystal Palace

Bet365 1.28

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Lyon43%
Fair odds 2.33
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Crystal Palace32%
Fair odds 3.13

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1.79Expected goals (xG)1.63
  • 11Total shots12
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target4
  • 5Blocked shots4
  • 8Shots inside the box10
  • 5Corners3
  • 0Offsides1
  • 4Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves1
  • 491Passes484
  • 425Accurate passes415

Line-ups

Lyon

4-1-2-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1D. GreifG
  2. 13Z. AthekameD
  3. 20F. BacherD
  4. 21R. KluivertD
  5. 16AbnerD
  6. 23T. MortonM
  7. 99N. NarteyM
  8. 8C. TolissoM
  9. 18K. MerahM
  10. 7E. NuamahF
  11. 11Keito NakamuraF

Substitutes

  1. 2M. BidstrupM
  2. 26K. BoudacheF
  3. 40R. DescampsG
  4. 24J. DuranvilleF
  5. 45R. HimbertF
  6. 85N. KamaraD
  7. 37Steeve KangoD
  8. 22Clinton MataD
  9. 19M. NiakhatéD
  10. 10P. ŠulcM
  11. 6T. TessmannM
  12. 25J. Bengui JoãoG

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 44W. BenítezG
  2. 26C. RichardsD
  3. 5A. DisasiD
  4. 6J. CanvotD
  5. 30Óscar MinguezaM
  6. 20A. WhartonM
  7. 23Q. TimberM
  8. 3T. MitchellM
  9. 7I. SarrM
  10. 10Yeremy PinoM
  11. 22J. Strand LarsenF

Substitutes

  1. 24D. OsorioM
  2. 9E. NketiahF
  3. 11D. McNeilF
  4. 31R. MatthewsG
  5. 25A. KhalailiD
  6. 18D. KamadaM
  7. 19W. HughesM
  8. 81Lucca BenettonG
  9. 54D. BenamarD
  10. 21H. AhanorD

Coach: P. Sage

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.36
0.5 goalsOver94.8%Under5.2%
1.5 goalsOver79.5%Under20.5%
2.5 goalsOver56.8%Under43.2%
3.5 goalsOver34.4%Under65.6%
4.5 goalsOver17.8%Under82.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LyonCrystal Palace
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
57%Overall43%

Last matches

Newest first
Lyon0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Crystal Palace0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLyonCrystal Palace
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Lyon host Crystal Palace in the Europa League (League Stage - 2) at Groupama Stadium, Lyon, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Lyon slight favourites, giving Lyon a 43% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 32% for Crystal Palace. Our tip is: Lyon or Crystal Palace.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Groupama Stadium, Lyon

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

Lyon vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lyon vs Crystal Palace in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Lyon and Crystal Palace in the table?

Lyon are 12th and Crystal Palace are 15th in the Europa League.

Who will win Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

Our prediction is Lyon or Crystal Palace. Win probabilities: Lyon 43%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 32%.

Will both teams score in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 15 Oct

FTTorreense 1-2 Sunderland2 ✓FTRed Bull Salzburg 0-4 AC MilanX2 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad12 ✗FTLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTCelje 0-3 Omonia NicosiaX2 ✓FTAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrom1 ✗FTBenfica 4-1 CelticOver 2.5 ✓FTCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusX2 ✓FTRennes 2-1 OFI1 ✓FTBournemouth 3-0 Sturm GrazOver 2.5 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş1X ✗FTNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 2-1 PlzenOver 1.5 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtOver 1.5 ✗FTJagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-Armenia1 ✓FTMarseille 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusOver 1.5 ✗

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