Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Match events
Nice- 10'Yellow card: Niels NkounkouFoul
- 18'Goal: Sepe Elye WahiAssist: Jonathan Clauss
- Goal: Pavel Šulc32'
- Goal: Tanner TessmannAssist: Zachary Athekame36'
HT 2-1
- 48'Yellow card: Mohamed AbdelmoneimFoul
- Substitution: Noah Teye NarteyOff: Corentin Tolisso61'
- Substitution: Julien DuranvilleOff: Keito Nakamura61'
- 65'Yellow card: Mohamed AmouraFoul
- Red card: Keito NakamuraSerious Foul70'
- Substitution: Kail BoudacheOff: Felix Bacher75'
- 81'Substitution: Mohamed AbdelmoneimOff: Alidu Seidu
- Substitution: Pavel ŠulcOff: Khalis Merah81'
- Substitution: Abner ViniciusOff: Ruben Kluivert81'
- 87'Substitution: Xavier MandzaOff: Sofiane Diop
- 87'Substitution: Axel WitselOff: Morgan Sanson
- 87'Substitution: Gauthier HeinOff: Isak Jansson
- 90+3'VARVAR: Sepe Elye WahiGoal cancelled
- 90+4'Yellow card: Sepe Elye Wahi
Our verdict
Lyon to win
Bet365 1.75
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 48%Possession52%
- 1.55Expected goals (xG)2.08
- 8Total shots12
- 4Shots on target5
- 3Shots off target5
- 1Blocked shots2
- 6Shots inside the box7
- 1Corners9
- 0Offsides3
- 6Fouls14
- 0Yellow cards4
- 1Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves2
- 471Passes500
- 399Accurate passes435
Line-ups
Lyon
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 40R. DescampsG
- 13Z. AthekameD
- 22Clinton MataD
- 19M. NiakhatéD
- 16AbnerD
- 6T. TessmannM
- 2M. BidstrupM
- 26K. BoudacheM
- 99N. NarteyM
- 24J. DuranvilleM
- 10P. ŠulcF
Substitutes
- 1D. GreifG
- 21R. KluivertD
- 20F. BacherD
- 45R. HimbertF
- 18K. MerahM
- 23T. MortonM
- 11Keito NakamuraF
- 7E. NuamahF
- 8C. TolissoM
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Nice
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23Y. DioufG
- 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
- 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
- 35X. Mandza TsiendiD
- 92J. ClaussM
- 28A. WitselM
- 6H. BoudaouiM
- 27N. NkounkouM
- 7G. HeinM
- 9M. AmouraM
- 11E. WahiF
Substitutes
- 84H. KoutouneD
- 21I. JanssonF
- 10S. DiopM
- 39D. CoulibalyM
- 77T. BoulhendiG
- 41D. MoranaF
- 29N. NgoumouF
- 36A. SeiduD
- 8M. SansonM
Coach: O. Pantaloni
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.91 – 1.09Half time / full time result. 1 = Lyon, X = draw, 2 = Nice.
Asian handicap applied to Lyon.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstLyon1W 0D 0L · last 1Nice0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 | LDWLW |
| 14 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. SinayokoParis FC | 9 | 8 |
| 2 |  E. LepaulRennes | 7 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. ArcherAuxerre | 7 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. GouiriMarseille | 9 | 6 |
| 5 |  E. WahiNice | 8 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Lyon | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 0 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/0 |
Match preview
Lyon host Nice in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Lyon favourites, giving Lyon a 56% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 21% for Nice. Our tip is: Lyon to win.
Lyon have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- France Ligue 1
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
- Venue
- Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Lyon vs Nice?
Lyon vs Nice kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Lyon vs Nice in?
The match is in the France Ligue 1.
Where are Lyon and Nice in the table?
Lyon are 3rd and Nice are 8th in the Ligue 1.
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
Our prediction is Lyon to win. Win probabilities: Lyon 56%, draw 23%, Nice 21%.
Will both teams score in Lyon vs Nice?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lyon vs Nice?
We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.