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Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction for the Ligue 1 on 26 Oct 2026: Paris Saint Germain to win (64%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
Paris Saint GermainLyon
2 - 0Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 0-0
Parc des Princes, Paris

Match events

Paris Saint GermainLyon
  1. Yellow card: VitinhaFoul31'

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Maghnes AklioucheFoul51'
  2. Substitution: Mika GodtsOff: João Neves57'
  3. Substitution: Warren Zaire-EmeryOff: Lucas Hernández65'
  4. Substitution: Ferrán TorresOff: Senny Mayulu65'
  5. Goal: Senny MayuluAssist: Mika Godts72'
  6. 74'Yellow card: Ernest NuamahDissent
  7. 76'Substitution: Khalis MerahOff: Noah Teye Nartey
  8. 76'Substitution: Corentin TolissoOff: Ruben Kluivert
  9. Substitution: Désiré DoueOff: Lucas Beraldo81'
  10. Substitution: Maghnes AklioucheOff: Quentin Ndjantou81'
  11. 81'Substitution: Julien DuranvilleOff: Kail Boudache
  12. Goal: Mika GodtsAssist: Quentin Ndjantou84'
  13. 90+1'Substitution: Tyler MortonOff: Remi Himbert

Our verdict

1 ✓

Paris Saint Germain to win

Bet365 1.45

64%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · Paris Saint Germain64%
Fair odds 1.56
X · Draw20%
Fair odds 5.00
2 · Lyon16%
Fair odds 6.25

Match statistics

  • 68%Possession32%
  • 1.03Expected goals (xG)0.69
  • 17Total shots8
  • 10Shots on target5
  • 5Shots off target1
  • 2Blocked shots2
  • 11Shots inside the box4
  • 7Corners4
  • 2Offsides1
  • 8Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves7
  • 757Passes347
  • 708Accurate passes299

Line-ups

Paris Saint Germain

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 39M. SafonovG
  2. 2A. HakimiD
  3. 6I. ZabarnyiD
  4. 51W. PachoD
  5. 33W. Zaïre-EmeryD
  6. 87João NevesM
  7. 17VitinhaM
  8. 8Fabián RuizM
  9. 11M. AklioucheF
  10. 9Ferran TorresF
  11. 14D. DouéF

Substitutes

  1. 4BeraldoD
  2. 42D. BolyD
  3. 30L. ChevalierG
  4. 12L. DigneD
  5. 27Pedro FernándezM
  6. 22M. GodtsF
  7. 21L. HernándezD
  8. 24Senny MayuluM
  9. 47Quentin Ndjantou MbitchaF

Coach: Luis Enrique

Lyon

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1D. GreifG
  2. 13Z. AthekameD
  3. 20F. BacherD
  4. 19M. NiakhatéD
  5. 16AbnerD
  6. 6T. TessmannM
  7. 23T. MortonM
  8. 8C. TolissoM
  9. 7E. NuamahF
  10. 18K. MerahF
  11. 24J. DuranvilleF

Substitutes

  1. 99N. NarteyM
  2. 21R. KluivertD
  3. 26K. BoudacheF
  4. 2M. BidstrupM
  5. 40R. DescampsG
  6. 44A. HamdaniF
  7. 45R. HimbertF
  8. 85N. KamaraD
  9. 22Clinton MataD

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.27 – 1.09
0.5 goalsOver96.5%Under3.5%
1.5 goalsOver84.9%Under15.1%
2.5 goalsOver65.2%Under34.8%
3.5 goalsOver43.3%Under56.7%
4.5 goalsOver24.8%Under75.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Paris Saint GermainLyon
60%Form40%
69%Attack31%
54%Defence46%
50%Head to head50%
68%Expected goals32%
80%Overall20%

Last matches

Newest first
Paris Saint Germain3W 0D 0L · last 3
WParis Saint Germain vs Barcelona20 Oct 2026 · Champions League4-2WStrasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain17 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-3WManchester City vs Paris Saint Germain14 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-4
Lyon2W 0D 1L · last 3
L1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon22 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-0WLyon vs Nice18 Oct 2026 · Ligue 12-1WLyon vs Crystal Palace15 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-2

Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Rennes9+116
4Monaco8+415
5Lyon8+614
6Paris FC8+414
7Nice9+114
8Lens9+313
9Marseille8+512
10Lorient8+112
11Toulouse8+110
12Auxerre8-610
13Stade Brestois 298+29
14Angers8-68
15Le Mans8-57
16Strasbourg8-67
17Estac Troyes8-115
18Le Havre9-112
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. LepaulRennes77
2L. SinayokoParis FC86
3C. ArcherAuxerre65
4A. GouiriMarseille85
5C. TengstedtToulouse65

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatParis Saint GermainLyon
Played33
Wins32
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)3.71.7
Goals against (avg)1.72
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak32

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/33/3
Over 2.53/33/3
Over 3.53/31/3
BTTS – yes3/32/3

Match preview

Paris Saint Germain host Lyon in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Parc des Princes, Paris, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 20:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Paris Saint Germain favourites, giving Paris Saint Germain a 64% chance of winning, 20% for the draw and 16% for Lyon. Our tip is: Paris Saint Germain to win.

Paris Saint Germain have taken 9 points from their last 3 games (3W 0D 0L). Lyon have taken 6 points from their last 3 games (2W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 1
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
Venue
Parc des Princes, Paris

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 20:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon in?

The match is in the France Ligue 1.

Where are Paris Saint Germain and Lyon in the table?

Paris Saint Germain are 1st and Lyon are 5th in the Ligue 1.

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?

Our prediction is Paris Saint Germain to win. Win probabilities: Paris Saint Germain 64%, draw 20%, Lyon 16%.

Will both teams score in Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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