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Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction for the Europa League on 15 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Thursday15October 2026
Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

Match events

MarseilleOlympiakos Piraeus
  1. Yellow card: Keyliane AbdallahFoul36'
  2. 42'Goal: Santiago HezzeAssist: Chiquinho
  3. 43'Yellow card: Panagiotis RetsosFoul

HT 0-1

  1. 60'Yellow card: Bruno OnyemaechiFoul
  2. Substitution: Tochukwu NnadiOff: Amine Harit62'
  3. Substitution: Neal MaupayOff: Amine Gouiri62'
  4. Substitution: Emerson PalmieriOff: Ulisses Garcia62'
  5. 67'Substitution: Gustavo PuertaOff: Remo Freuler
  6. 67'Substitution: Roman YaremchukOff: Armando González
  7. 72'Substitution: Kostas FortounisOff: Jota Silva
  8. 73'Substitution: Bruno OnyemaechiOff: Nayair Tiknizyan
  9. Substitution: Angel GomesOff: Faris Moumbagna75'
  10. Yellow card: Bamo MeiteFoul77'
  11. Substitution: Keyliane AbdallahOff: Geoffrey Kondogbia80'
  12. 82'Substitution: Gustavo SáOff: Chiquinho

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

76%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Marseille38%
Fair odds 2.63
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Olympiakos Piraeus35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 55%Possession45%
  • 0.77Expected goals (xG)0.62
  • 11Total shots9
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target1
  • 4Blocked shots4
  • 9Shots inside the box7
  • 9Corners1
  • 3Offsides3
  • 15Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 533Passes426
  • 462Accurate passes350

Line-ups

Marseille

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 12J. de LangeG
  2. 22T. WeahD
  3. 18B. MeitéD
  4. 21N. AguerdD
  5. 33EmersonD
  6. 8H. AbdelliM
  7. 6T. NnadiM
  8. 48K. AbdallahM
  9. 7A. GomesM
  10. 14Igor PaixãoM
  11. 11N. MaupayF

Substitutes

  1. 4C. Egan-RileyD
  2. 74K. BezahafD
  3. 25U. GarciaD
  4. 9A. GouiriF
  5. 77A. HaritM
  6. 42Nouhoum KamissokoM
  7. 19G. KondogbiaM
  8. 43T. MmadiF
  9. 29F. MoumbagnaF
  10. 92T. VermotG
  11. 46E. MbondoD
  12. 40J. Van NeckG

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Olympiakos Piraeus

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1S. OrtegaG
  2. 2M. SaliakasD
  3. 45P. RetsosD
  4. 5L. PirolaD
  5. 70S. OnyemaechiD
  6. 15G. PuertaM
  7. 32S. HezzeM
  8. 10Gelson MartinsM
  9. 22ChiquinhoM
  10. 20Jota SilvaM
  11. 11R. YaremchukF

Substitutes

  1. 4Z. SmajlovićD
  2. 71N. TiknizyanD
  3. 27M. PedersenD
  4. 34A. GonzálezF
  5. 19R. FreulerM
  6. 7K. FortounisM
  7. 6David CarmoD
  8. 8Gustavo SáM
  9. 92I. GeorgakopoulosG
  10. 77C. FilisM
  11. 91D. StournarasG

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.32
0.5 goalsOver93.2%Under6.8%
1.5 goalsOver75.0%Under25.0%
2.5 goalsOver50.4%Under49.6%
3.5 goalsOver28.4%Under71.6%
4.5 goalsOver13.6%Under86.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

MarseilleOlympiakos Piraeus
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
52%Overall48%

Last matches

Newest first
Marseille0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Olympiakos Piraeus0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMarseilleOlympiakos Piraeus
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Marseille host Olympiakos Piraeus in the Europa League (League Stage - 2) at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Marseille narrow favourites, giving Marseille a 38% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 35% for Olympiakos Piraeus. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus in the table?

Marseille are 34th and Olympiakos Piraeus are 5th in the Europa League.

Who will win Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Marseille 38%, draw 27%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%.

Will both teams score in Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 15 Oct

FTTorreense 1-2 Sunderland2 ✓FTRed Bull Salzburg 0-4 AC MilanX2 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad12 ✗FTLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace12 ✓FTLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTCelje 0-3 Omonia NicosiaX2 ✓FTAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrom1 ✗FTBenfica 4-1 CelticOver 2.5 ✓FTCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusX2 ✓FTRennes 2-1 OFI1 ✓FTBournemouth 3-0 Sturm GrazOver 2.5 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş1X ✗FTNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 2-1 PlzenOver 1.5 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtOver 1.5 ✗FTJagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-Armenia1 ✓

All football predictions for today