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Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia prediction

Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 18 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11
Zaglebie LubinNo recent gamesJagiellonia
1 - 0Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-0
KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin

Match events

Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia
  1. Yellow card: Mateusz GrzybekFoul15'
  2. Substitution: Mateusz GrzybekOff: David Čolina45'
  3. 45'Substitution: Bartlomiej WdowikOff: Cezary Polak
  4. 45'Substitution: Kamil JóźwiakOff: Rodrigo Conceição

HT 0-0

  1. 62'Substitution: Ousmane SowOff: Dimitris Rallis
  2. Substitution: Filip SzymczakOff: Jakub·Sypek63'
  3. 69'Substitution: Dušan StojinovićOff: Jeremy Agbonifo
  4. VAR: Marcel RegulaPenalty confirmedVAR72'
  5. Penalty goal: Sebastian Kerk (pen)77'
  6. 79'Yellow card: Bernardo VitalArgument
  7. Substitution: Sebastian KerkOff: Mateusz Dziewiatowski83'
  8. 88'Substitution: Aleksandar·CirkovicOff: Bernardo Vital
  9. Yellow card: Jakub·SypekTime Wasting90+1'
  10. Substitution: Josip ĆorlukaOff: Damian Michalski90+6'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Zaglebie Lubin37%
Fair odds 2.70
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Jagiellonia37%
Fair odds 2.70

Match statistics

  • 36%Possession64%
  • 1.98Expected goals (xG)1.40
  • 12Total shots14
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 6Shots off target9
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 9Shots inside the box10
  • 5Corners4
  • 1Offsides0
  • 11Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves2
  • 270Passes512
  • 180Accurate passes406

Line-ups

Zaglebie Lubin

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 33Z. AlomerovićG
  2. 5A. ŁawniczakD
  3. 25M. NalepaD
  4. 3R. YakubaD
  5. 13M. GrzybekM
  6. 39F. KocabaM
  7. 8D. DąbrowskiM
  8. 16J. ĆorlukaM
  9. 37S. KerkM
  10. 44M. RegułaM
  11. 18F. SzymczakF

Substitutes

  1. 6D. ČolinaD
  2. 20M. DziewiatowskiM
  3. 30D. HładunG
  4. 26J. KolanM
  5. 19S. ŁyczkoM
  6. 4D. MichalskiD
  7. 88M. MlinarićF
  8. 31I. OrlikowskiD
  9. 99C. PopielecM
  10. 7J. SypekM
  11. 11A. WoźniakM

Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Jagiellonia

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 50S. AbramowiczG
  2. 3D. StojinovićD
  3. 5Bernardo VitalD
  4. 4Y. KobayashiD
  5. 20B. WdowikD
  6. 30O. SowM
  7. 6T. RomanczukM
  8. 19A. KlyngeM
  9. 72K. JóźwiakF
  10. 11Jesús ImazF
  11. 7K. SzmytF

Substitutes

  1. 27Rodrigo ConceiçãoD
  2. 9Dimitris RallisF
  3. 2C. PolakD
  4. 1M. PerchelG
  5. 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão MontóiaD
  6. 70J. KucharskiM
  7. 44A. KonstantopoulosD
  8. 14H. FinndellM
  9. 8D. DrachalM
  10. 32A. ĆirkovićF
  11. 10J. AgbonifoF
  12. 85Eryk KozlowskiM

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.43
0.5 goalsOver94.3%Under5.7%
1.5 goalsOver77.9%Under22.1%
2.5 goalsOver54.5%Under45.5%
3.5 goalsOver32.1%Under67.9%
4.5 goalsOver16.2%Under83.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
50%Expected goals50%
50%Overall50%

Last matches

Newest first
Zaglebie Lubin0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Jagiellonia1W 0D 0L · last 1
WJagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia15 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-1

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
11Motor Lublin13-316
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź13-211
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków13-98
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice138
3B. NowakGKS Katowice137
4Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan126
5P. WålemarkLech Poznan126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatZaglebie LubinJagiellonia
Played01
Wins01
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)03
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/01/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Zaglebie Lubin host Jagiellonia in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 11) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Zaglebie Lubin narrow favourites, giving Zaglebie Lubin a 37% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 37% for Jagiellonia. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Jagiellonia have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:45 WAT
Venue
KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?

Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia in the table?

Zaglebie Lubin are 8th and Jagiellonia are 9th in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Zaglebie Lubin 37%, draw 26%, Jagiellonia 37%.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ekstraklasa on Sun 18 Oct

FTGornik Zabrze 1-1 Piast Gliwice1 ✗FTLech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce1 ✓

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