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NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction for the Eredivisie on 18 Oct 2026: NEC Nijmegen or Fortuna Sittard (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9
NEC NijmegenFortuna SittardNo recent games
2 - 2Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 1-1
Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

Match events

NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
  1. 18'Goal: Anthony DescotteAssist: Rodrigo Guth
  2. Goal: Kevin KersAssist: Dennis Geiger28'
  3. 38'Yellow card: Shiloh 't ZandFoul
  4. 45'Substitution: Sven SimonsOff: Kristoffer Peterson

HT 1-1

  1. 48'Goal: Anthony DescotteAssist: Shiloh 't Zand
  2. 54'Yellow card: Rodrigo GuthFoul
  3. Substitution: Adam TahauiOff: Kevin Kers63'
  4. Substitution: Mitchel BakkerOff: Deveron Fonville63'
  5. Substitution: Noe LebretonOff: Kaj Sierhuis63'
  6. 70'Substitution: Lequincio ZeefuikOff: Daley Sinkgraven
  7. 81'Substitution: Shiloh 't ZandOff: Siebe Wylin
  8. Substitution: Perr SchuursOff: Jamiro Monteiro84'
  9. Substitution: Tobias StormOff: Willum Thor Willumsson84'
  10. 86'Substitution: Syb Van OtteleOff: Nick de Groot
  11. VAR: Kaj SierhuisPenalty confirmedVAR88'
  12. Missed penalty: Mitchel Bakker90'
  13. Goal: Willum Thor WillumssonAssist: Perr Schuurs90+3'

Our verdict

12 ✗

NEC Nijmegen or Fortuna Sittard

Bet365 1.22

77%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · NEC Nijmegen53%
Fair odds 1.89
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Fortuna Sittard24%
Fair odds 4.17

Match statistics

  • 74%Possession26%
  • 2.53Expected goals (xG)0.45
  • 22Total shots5
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 8Shots off target1
  • 7Blocked shots1
  • 20Shots inside the box4
  • 13Corners0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 11Fouls10
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 608Passes222
  • 545Accurate passes159

Line-ups

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1G. CrettazG
  2. 21T. StormD
  3. 22A. KaplanD
  4. 24Deveron FonvilleD
  5. 34Kevin KersM
  6. 6D. NejašmićM
  7. 18D. GeigerM
  8. 35Jamiro MonteiroM
  9. 20N. LebretonM
  10. 99Clement BischoffM
  11. 30B. LinssenF

Substitutes

  1. 5M. BakkerD
  2. 11W. WillumssonM
  3. 19Adam TahauiF
  4. 73Gabriel BrásD
  5. 9T. CheryM
  6. 38Joep GenesteG
  7. 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
  8. 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
  9. 42Y. MoslihD
  10. 12N. PolsterG
  11. 4P. SchuursD
  12. 14K. SierhuisF

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Fortuna Sittard

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 31M. BranderhorstG
  2. 12Ivo PintoD
  3. 6S. van OtteleD
  4. 3Rodrigo GuthD
  5. 23P. BrittijnD
  6. 28Justin Quincy HubnerD
  7. 14S. SimonsM
  8. 20É. MichutM
  9. 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t ZandM
  10. 9A. DescotteF
  11. 25L. ZeefuikF

Substitutes

  1. 24D. SinkgravenD
  2. 7K. PetersonF
  3. 1L. KoopmansG
  4. 33K. ReitmaierG
  5. 38Moussa GbemouM
  6. 15N. de GrootD
  7. 39Ganni BuyukhanM
  8. 52M. IhattarenM
  9. 2S. WylinD

Coach: D. Buijs

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.07 – 1.36
0.5 goalsOver96.8%Under3.2%
1.5 goalsOver85.7%Under14.3%
2.5 goalsOver66.6%Under33.4%
3.5 goalsOver44.8%Under55.2%
4.5 goalsOver26.1%Under73.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
60%Expected goals40%
69%Overall31%

Last matches

Newest first
NEC Nijmegen0W 1D 0L · last 1
DNEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-1
Fortuna Sittard0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen108
3G. TilPSV Eindhoven117
4J. BrandtAjax116
5J. TrenskowHeerenveen116

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
Played10
Wins00
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)10
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.50/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

NEC Nijmegen host Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9) at Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes NEC Nijmegen favourites, giving NEC Nijmegen a 53% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 24% for Fortuna Sittard. Our tip is: NEC Nijmegen or Fortuna Sittard.

NEC Nijmegen have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 and a 65% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard in the table?

NEC Nijmegen are 13th and Fortuna Sittard are 6th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our prediction is NEC Nijmegen or Fortuna Sittard. Win probabilities: NEC Nijmegen 53%, draw 23%, Fortuna Sittard 24%.

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?

We estimate a 65% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?

We estimate a 66% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sun 18 Oct

FTPEC Zwolle 4-1 GO Ahead EaglesX2 ✗FTCambuur 2-2 AZ Alkmaar2 ✗FTGroningen 2-5 AjaxX2 ✓FTTwente 1-2 Utrecht1 ✗

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