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NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia prediction

NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia prediction for the Europa League on 15 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

Match events

NEC NijmegenLevski Sofia
  1. 17'VARVAR: Francisco Everton Mota de CastroGoal cancelled
  2. Yellow card: Noe LebretonFoul24'
  3. 35'Goal: Reinaldo Nascimento SatornoAssist: Svetoslav Vutsov

HT 0-1

  1. 62'Substitution: Armstrong Oko-FlexOff: David Kusso
  2. 62'Substitution: Mehdi MoubarikOff: Gasper Trdin
  3. Goal: Tjaronn Chery64'
  4. Substitution: Perr SchuursOff: Ahmetcan Kaplan75'
  5. 75'Substitution: Marko GrujićOff: Mazire Soula
  6. 75'Substitution: Francisco Everton Mota de CastroOff: Juan Esteban Perea Sanchez
  7. Substitution: Dušan TadićOff: Willum Thor Willumsson84'
  8. Substitution: Dennis GeigerOff: Clement Bischoff84'
  9. Substitution: Noe LebretonOff: Almugera Kabar90+2'
  10. Substitution: Gabriel·BrasOff: Yassin Moslih90+2'
  11. 90+4'Substitution: Reinaldo Nascimento SatornoOff: Álex Centelles

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.30

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · NEC Nijmegen50%
Fair odds 2.00
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Levski Sofia24%
Fair odds 4.17

Match statistics

  • 70%Possession30%
  • 2.10Expected goals (xG)1.28
  • 17Total shots8
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 4Shots off target4
  • 5Blocked shots2
  • 11Shots inside the box7
  • 6Corners1
  • 1Offsides1
  • 14Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves7
  • 436Passes451
  • 352Accurate passes361

Line-ups

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1G. CrettazG
  2. 73Gabriel BrásD
  3. 4P. SchuursD
  4. 24Deveron FonvilleD
  5. 34Kevin KersM
  6. 6D. NejašmićM
  7. 20N. LebretonM
  8. 99Clement BischoffM
  9. 9T. CheryF
  10. 30B. LinssenF
  11. 10D. TadićF

Substitutes

  1. 18D. GeigerM
  2. 38Joep GenesteG
  3. 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
  4. 22A. KaplanD
  5. 35Jamiro MonteiroM
  6. 42Y. MoslihD
  7. 12N. PolsterG
  8. 14K. SierhuisF
  9. 11W. WillumssonM

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Levski Sofia

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 92S. VutsovG
  2. 21AldairD
  3. 50K. DimitrovD
  4. 4C. MakounD
  5. 3MaiconD
  6. 35SerginhoM
  7. 8M. GrujićM
  8. 19E. El MoubarikM
  9. 27David KussoF
  10. 7ReinaldoF
  11. 17Everton BalaF

Substitutes

  1. 78M. LukovG
  2. 11A. Oko-FlexF
  3. 31N. SerafimovD
  4. 22M. SoulaF
  5. 18G. TrdinM
  6. 20Álex CentellesD
  7. 2Hevertton SantosD
  8. 1O. VladimirovG
  9. 9J. PereaF

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.05
0.5 goalsOver93.0%Under7.0%
1.5 goalsOver74.4%Under25.6%
2.5 goalsOver49.7%Under50.3%
3.5 goalsOver27.7%Under72.3%
4.5 goalsOver13.1%Under86.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NEC NijmegenLevski Sofia
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
68%Overall32%

Last matches

Newest first
NEC Nijmegen0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Levski Sofia0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNEC NijmegenLevski Sofia
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

NEC Nijmegen host Levski Sofia in the Europa League (League Stage - 2) at Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes NEC Nijmegen favourites, giving NEC Nijmegen a 50% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 24% for Levski Sofia. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia in the table?

NEC Nijmegen are 20th and Levski Sofia are 17th in the Europa League.

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: NEC Nijmegen 50%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia 24%.

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 15 Oct

FTTorreense 1-2 Sunderland2 ✓FTRed Bull Salzburg 0-4 AC MilanX2 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad12 ✗FTLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace12 ✓FTLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTCelje 0-3 Omonia NicosiaX2 ✓FTAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrom1 ✗FTBenfica 4-1 CelticOver 2.5 ✓FTCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusX2 ✓FTRennes 2-1 OFI1 ✓FTBournemouth 3-0 Sturm GrazOver 2.5 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş1X ✗FTFerencvarosi TC 2-1 PlzenOver 1.5 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtOver 1.5 ✗FTJagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-Armenia1 ✓FTMarseille 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusOver 1.5 ✗

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