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TodaysPrediction

Maribor vs Celje prediction

Maribor vs Celje prediction for the 1. SNL on 18 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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MariborNo recent gamesCelje
0 - 0Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-0
Ljudski vrt, Maribor

Match events

MariborCelje

    HT 0-0

    1. 51'Yellow card: L. Bejger
    2. 67'Substitution: A. KucysOff: B. Kramer
    3. Substitution: Z. RepasOff: B. Feta67'
    4. Substitution: C. GoncalvesOff: Z. Jevsenak68'
    5. 75'Yellow card: S. Seslar
    6. 78'Substitution: M. IvansekOff: A. Dionkou
    7. 79'Substitution: B. VerbicOff: V. Tusha
    8. Substitution: C. BumbicOff: V. Koderman85'
    9. Substitution: L. ZahovicOff: D. Vizinger85'
    10. Substitution: N. OstercOff: N. Viher86'

    Our verdict

    Over 1.5 ✗

    Over 1.5

    Bet365 1.20

    80%

    ✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0

    Expected goals2.9

    Win probability

    1 · Maribor43%
    Fair odds 2.33
    X · Draw25%
    Fair odds 4.00
    2 · Celje32%
    Fair odds 3.13

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 1.59 – 1.35
    0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
    1.5 goalsOver79.2%Under20.8%
    2.5 goalsOver56.3%Under43.7%
    3.5 goalsOver33.9%Under66.1%
    4.5 goalsOver17.5%Under82.5%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    MariborCelje
    50%Form50%
    50%Attack50%
    94%Defence6%
    50%Head to head50%
    54%Expected goals46%
    57%Overall43%

    Last matches

    Newest first
    Maribor0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Celje0W 0D 1L · last 1
    LCelje vs Omonia Nicosia15 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-3

    1. SNL table

    1. SNL table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Olimpija Ljubljana2+14
    2Koper1+43
    3Celje202
    4Mura101
    5Radomlje101
    6Bravo101
    7Brinje-Grosuplje101
    8Nafta101
    9Aluminij2-11
    10Maribor2-41
    See full table ›

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatMariborCelje
    Played01
    Wins00
    Draws00
    Losses01
    Goals for (avg)00
    Goals against (avg)03
    Clean sheets00
    Failed to score01
    Best win streak00

    Recent goal lines

    How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

    Over 1.50/01/1
    Over 2.50/01/1
    Over 3.50/00/1
    BTTS – yes0/00/1

    Match preview

    Maribor host Celje in the 1. SNL (Regular Season - 12) at Ljudski vrt, Maribor, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes Maribor slight favourites, giving Maribor a 43% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 32% for Celje. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

    Celje have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

    On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    Slovenia 1. SNL
    Date
    Sunday, 18 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
    Venue
    Ljudski vrt, Maribor

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Maribor vs Celje?

    Maribor vs Celje kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Maribor vs Celje in?

    The match is in the Slovenia 1. SNL.

    Where are Maribor and Celje in the table?

    Maribor are 10th and Celje are 3rd in the 1. SNL.

    Who will win Maribor vs Celje?

    Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Maribor 43%, draw 25%, Celje 32%.

    Will both teams score in Maribor vs Celje?

    We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Maribor vs Celje?

    We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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