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Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan prediction

Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan prediction for the Europa League on 15 Oct 2026: AC Milan or draw (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Europa League · League Stage - 2
Red Bull SalzburgNo recent gamesAC MilanNo recent games
0 - 4Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-2
Red Bull Arena, Salzburg

Match events

Red Bull SalzburgAC Milan
  1. 15'Goal: Alphadjo CissèAssist: Omari Hutchinson
  2. 21'Yellow card: Omari HutchinsonFoul
  3. 32'Goal: Alphadjo CissèAssist: Davide Bartesaghi
  4. Yellow card: Valentin ZabranskyFoul40'

HT 0-2

  1. 49'Goal: Alphadjo CissèAssist: Adrien Rabiot
  2. Substitution: Sota KitanoOff: Gaoussou Diakité60'
  3. 60'Substitution: Alphadjo CissèOff: Christian Pulisic
  4. 60'Substitution: Francesco CamardaOff: Gonçalo Ramos
  5. Substitution: Edmund BaidooOff: Yorbe Vertessen60'
  6. 61'Substitution: Adrien RabiotOff: Luka Modrić
  7. 67'Substitution: Fikayo TomoriOff: Filippo Terracciano
  8. 72'Goal: Gonçalo Ramos
  9. Substitution: Haris TabakovićOff: Aboubacar Sidiki Camara73'
  10. Substitution: Jesper LindstromOff: Damir Redzic73'
  11. 81'Substitution: Strahinja PavlovicOff: Sankhoun Diawara
  12. Substitution: Leandro MorgallaOff: Tim Drexler81'
  13. 83'Red card: Filippo Terracciano

Our verdict

X2 ✓

AC Milan or draw

Bet365 1.28

70%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-4

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Red Bull Salzburg30%
Fair odds 3.33
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · AC Milan45%
Fair odds 2.22

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 0.87Expected goals (xG)4.05
  • 14Total shots15
  • 2Shots on target10
  • 8Shots off target4
  • 4Blocked shots1
  • 6Shots inside the box13
  • 3Corners2
  • 1Offsides2
  • 13Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1
  • 5Goalkeeper saves2
  • 517Passes475
  • 455Accurate passes427

Line-ups

Red Bull Salzburg

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 52Christian ZawieschitzkyG
  2. 39L. MorgallaD
  3. 44K. BomaD
  4. 47Valentin ZabranskyD
  5. 31D. SchmidD
  6. 32A. BarryM
  7. 15B. MazurekM
  8. 35J. LindstrømM
  9. 8S. KitanoM
  10. 20E. BaidooM
  11. 9H. TabakovićF

Substitutes

  1. 30G. DiakitéF
  2. 21T. DrexlerD
  3. 33A. CamaraM
  4. 1C. FrüchtlG
  5. 13F. KrätzigD
  6. 22S. LainerD
  7. 4J. MellbergD
  8. 23D. RedzicF
  9. 41Nikola ŠarčevićG
  10. 7U. TohumcuM
  11. 11Y. VertessenF

Coach: D. Röhl

AC Milan

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 16M. MaignanG
  2. 23F. TomoriD
  3. 5K. De WinterD
  4. 31S. PavlovićD
  5. 20O. HutchinsonM
  6. 30A. JashariM
  7. 12A. RabiotM
  8. 33D. BartesaghiM
  9. 8R. Loftus-CheekM
  10. 70A. CissèM
  11. 73F. CamardaF

Substitutes

  1. 13S. BocoumD
  2. 2P. EstupiñánD
  3. 34Mario GilaD
  4. 14L. ModrićM
  5. 22Diego MoreiraF
  6. 80Y. MusahM
  7. 11C. PulišićM
  8. 9Gonçalo RamosF
  9. 42F. TerraccianoD
  10. 96L. TorrianiG
  11. 21S. ChukwuezeF
  12. 28C. ComottoM

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.64
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.0%Under21.0%
2.5 goalsOver56.1%Under43.9%
3.5 goalsOver33.7%Under66.3%
4.5 goalsOver17.3%Under82.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Red Bull SalzburgAC Milan
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
44%Expected goals56%
40%Overall60%

Last matches

Newest first
Red Bull Salzburg0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

AC Milan0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Europa League table

Europa League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
11Omonia Nicosia3+16
12Lyon3-16
13Rennes3+15
14Real Sociedad3+54
15Crystal Palace3+34
16Sparta Praha3+24
17Levski Sofia304
18Dinamo Zagreb3-14
19Sturm Graz3-24
20NEC Nijmegen3-34
21Red Bull Salzburg3-34
22Anderlecht3+13
231899 Hoffenheim303
24AC Milan3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
See full table ›

Top scorers

Europa League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. DionyOmonia Nicosia74
2A. CissèAC Milan33
3Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace33
4Sergio GómezReal Sociedad33
5K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC113

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRed Bull SalzburgAC Milan
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Red Bull Salzburg host AC Milan in the Europa League (League Stage - 2) at Red Bull Arena, Salzburg, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes AC Milan slight favourites, giving Red Bull Salzburg a 30% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 45% for AC Milan. Our tip is: AC Milan or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Europa League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Red Bull Arena, Salzburg

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?

Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan in?

The match is in the Europe Europa League.

Where are Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan in the table?

Red Bull Salzburg are 21st and AC Milan are 24th in the Europa League.

Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?

Our prediction is AC Milan or draw. Win probabilities: Red Bull Salzburg 30%, draw 25%, AC Milan 45%.

Will both teams score in Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Europa League on Thu 15 Oct

FTTorreense 1-2 Sunderland2 ✓FTUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad12 ✗FTLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace12 ✓FTLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen2 ✓FTCelje 0-3 Omonia NicosiaX2 ✓FTAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva1 ✓FTSparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrom1 ✗FTBenfica 4-1 CelticOver 2.5 ✓FTCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusX2 ✓FTRennes 2-1 OFI1 ✓FTBournemouth 3-0 Sturm GrazOver 2.5 ✓FT1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş1X ✗FTNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaOver 1.5 ✓FTFerencvarosi TC 2-1 PlzenOver 1.5 ✓FTDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtOver 1.5 ✗FTJagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-Armenia1 ✓FTMarseille 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusOver 1.5 ✗

All football predictions for today