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Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock prediction

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 25 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12
JagielloniaWisla Plock
1 - 0Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-0
Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok

Match events

JagielloniaWisla Plock
  1. 13'Substitution: Sidnei·TavaresOff: Fabian Hiszpański

HT 0-0

  1. 58'Substitution: Samuel AkereOff: Olaf Kobacki
  2. Substitution: Aleksandar·CirkovicOff: Kajetan·Szmyt59'
  3. Substitution: Jeremy AgbonifoOff: Ousmane Sow59'
  4. Substitution: Ferslev Anders KlyngeOff: Jesús Imaz71'
  5. VAR: Dušan StojinovićPenalty cancelledVAR80'
  6. 82'Substitution: Patryk KunOff: Said Hamulic
  7. 82'Substitution: Jurica PrširOff: Marcin Flis
  8. 82'Substitution: Łukasz SekulskiOff: Deni Jurić
  9. Goal: Ousmane SowAssist: Kajetan·Szmyt83'
  10. Substitution: Nik PrelecOff: Dimitris Rallis89'
  11. Substitution: Eryk KozlowskiOff: Sergio Lozano89'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

80%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Jagiellonia46%
Fair odds 2.17
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Wisla Plock29%
Fair odds 3.45

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.80Expected goals (xG)0.72
  • 22Total shots7
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 8Shots off target2
  • 10Blocked shots1
  • 14Shots inside the box6
  • 8Corners3
  • 2Offsides1
  • 16Fouls12
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves2
  • 482Passes424
  • 402Accurate passes331

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. PerchelG
  2. 27Rodrigo ConceiçãoD
  3. 44A. KonstantopoulosD
  4. 3D. StojinovićD
  5. 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão MontóiaD
  6. 6T. RomanczukM
  7. 21Sergio LozanoM
  8. 10J. AgbonifoM
  9. 11Jesús ImazM
  10. 32A. ĆirkovićM
  11. 99N. PrelecF

Substitutes

  1. 50S. AbramowiczG
  2. 20B. WdowikD
  3. 72K. JóźwiakM
  4. 19A. KlyngeM
  5. 4Y. KobayashiD
  6. 70J. KucharskiM
  7. 2C. PolakD
  8. 9Dimitris RallisF
  9. 30O. SowM
  10. 7K. SzmytM
  11. 5Bernardo VitalD
  12. 85Eryk KozlowskiM

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Wisla Plock

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 12R. LeszczyńskiG
  2. 4M. Haglind-SangréD
  3. 35M. KamińskiD
  4. 34Afonso SilvaD
  5. 21Ž. RogeljM
  6. 18J. PrširM
  7. 5Sidnei TavaresM
  8. 19D. GallapeniM
  9. 57S. AkereF
  10. 20Ł. SekulskiF
  11. 23P. KunF

Substitutes

  1. 88K. SavvidīsM
  2. 6K. PomorskiM
  3. 44P. MisiakD
  4. 91G. KuchkoM
  5. 7O. KobackiM
  6. 9D. JurićF
  7. 16F. HiszpańskiM
  8. 10S. HamulićF
  9. 3M. FlisD
  10. 26J. BurekG

Coach: A. Majewski

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.27
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.2%Under20.8%
2.5 goalsOver56.3%Under43.7%
3.5 goalsOver33.9%Under66.1%
4.5 goalsOver17.5%Under82.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

JagielloniaWisla Plock
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
11%Defence89%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
61%Overall39%

Last matches

Newest first
Jagiellonia1W 0D 2L · last 3
LJagiellonia vs Anderlecht22 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-3LZaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia18 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa1-0WJagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia15 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-1
Wisla Plock1W 0D 0L · last 1
WWisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom19 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa1-0

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
11Motor Lublin13-316
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź13-211
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków13-98
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice128
3Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan116
4K. CzubakMotor Lublin136
5A. HasićCracovia Krakow136

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatJagielloniaWisla Plock
Played31
Wins11
Draws00
Losses20
Goals for (avg)11
Goals against (avg)1.70
Clean sheets01
Failed to score20
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.52/30/1
Over 2.52/30/1
Over 3.51/30/1
BTTS – yes1/30/1

Match preview

Jagiellonia host Wisla Plock in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 12) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Jagiellonia slight favourites, giving Jagiellonia a 46% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 29% for Wisla Plock. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Jagiellonia have taken 3 points from their last 3 games (1W 0D 2L). Wisla Plock have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 14:45 WAT
Venue
Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Jagiellonia and Wisla Plock in the table?

Jagiellonia are 9th and Wisla Plock are 12th in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Jagiellonia 46%, draw 25%, Wisla Plock 29%.

Will both teams score in Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ekstraklasa on Sun 25 Oct

FTSlask Wroclaw 2-0 Wieczysta KrakówX2 ✗FTLegia Warszawa 1-2 Lech PoznanOver 1.5 ✓

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