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Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction

Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction for the Jupiler Pro League on 25 Oct 2026: Union St. Gilloise to win (71%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Union St. GilloiseCercle BruggeNo recent games
5 - 2Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-1
Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels

Match events

Union St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
  1. 24'Penalty goal: S. Ngoura (pen)
  2. Yellow card: N. ChibaniFoul40'

HT 0-1

  1. Substitution: N. ChibaniOff: D. De Roeve46'
  2. 48'Own goal: M. Sylla (og)
  3. Goal: R. FloruczAssist: D. De Roeve49'
  4. 57'Yellow card: V. KonateUnsportsmanlike conduct
  5. Goal: M. SyllaAssist: N. Havenaar62'
  6. 63'Substitution: T. AkinsolaOff: Erick Nunes
  7. 64'Red card: D. VanzeirSerious foul
  8. Substitution: D. AquinoOff: K. Rodriguez66'
  9. 71'Substitution: I. DiakiteOff: T. Adaramola
  10. 71'Substitution: A. MannehOff: L. Mondele
  11. Own goal: E. Kakou (og)74'
  12. 76'Yellow card: H. van der BruggenFoul
  13. Goal: R. MofokengAssist: L. Patris80'
  14. Substitution: R. FloruczOff: A. Zorgane81'
  15. 85'Substitution: L. Le RouxOff: K. Kouassi
  16. 85'Substitution: V. KonateOff: G. Magnee
  17. Substitution: L. PatrisOff: R. Sykes89'
  18. Substitution: K. Van De PerreOff: I. Pavlic89'
  19. Goal: K. RodriguezAssist: R. Mofokeng90'
  20. 90+2'Yellow card: S. NgouraUnsportsmanlike conduct
  21. VAR: N. HavenaarGoal Disallowed - offsideVAR90+5'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Union St. Gilloise to win

Bet365 1.30

71%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 5-2

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Union St. Gilloise71%
Fair odds 1.41
X · Draw17%
Fair odds 5.88
2 · Cercle Brugge12%
Fair odds 8.33

Match statistics

  • 65%Possession35%
  • 1.70Expected goals (xG)1.23
  • 22Total shots5
  • 11Shots on target2
  • 8Shots off target2
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 16Shots inside the box2
  • 13Corners1
  • 1Offsides0
  • 9Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Goalkeeper saves8
  • 451Passes244
  • 363Accurate passes160
  • 80%Pass accuracy66%

Line-ups

Union St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 12Hervé KoffiG
  2. 4Nohim ChibaniD
  3. 29Massire SyllaD
  4. 55Nikki HavenaarD
  5. 6Kamiel Van de PerreM
  6. 27Louis PatrisM
  7. 23Besfort ZeneliM
  8. 20Dylan AquinoM
  9. 11Guilherme SmithM
  10. 30Raul FloruczF
  11. 38Relebohile MofokengF

Substitutes

  1. 21Denzel De RoeveD
  2. 1Vic ChambaereG
  3. 26Ross SykesD
  4. 14Ivan PavlićM
  5. 8Adem ZorganeM
  6. 28Darius OlaruM
  7. 13Kevin RodriguezF
  8. 32Sekou KeitaF
  9. 10Anouar Ait El HadjM

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Gaëtan CouckeG
  2. 2Ibrahim DiakitéD
  3. 5Emmanuel KakouD
  4. 33Royer CaicedoD
  5. 12Valy KonatéD
  6. 18Luke Le RouxM
  7. 28Hannes Van Der BruggenM
  8. 30Tunde AkinsolaM
  9. 20Abdoulie MannehM
  10. 13Dante VanzeirM
  11. 9Steve NgouraF

Substitutes

  1. 21Yann LienardG
  2. 82Louis ColmanD
  3. 15Gary MagneeD
  4. 8Erick NunesM
  5. 42Lukas MondeleM
  6. 71Viggo MartensM
  7. 45Tayo AdaramolaD
  8. 22Lucas MichalF
  9. 41Krys KouassiF

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.44 – 0.90
0.5 goalsOver96.5%Under3.5%
1.5 goalsOver84.6%Under15.4%
2.5 goalsOver64.8%Under35.2%
3.5 goalsOver42.8%Under57.2%
4.5 goalsOver24.5%Under75.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Union St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
29%Defence71%
50%Head to head50%
73%Expected goals27%
86%Overall14%

Last matches

Newest first
Union St. Gilloise1W 1D 0L · last 2
WUnion St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva22 Oct 2026 · Europa League4-0DUnion St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-1
Cercle Brugge0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Jupiler Pro League table

Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
11Antwerp10-610
12SK Beveren10-710
13OH Leuven10-79
14KV Mechelen9-79
15St. Truiden10-38
16RAAL La Louvière10-107
17Cercle Brugge10-96
18Kortrijk9-164
See full table ›

Top scorers

Jupiler Pro League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV108
2N. BassetteKVC Westerlo107
3M. UbandomaRAAL La Louvière106
4R. DurosinmiGenk106
5R. FloruczUnion St. Gilloise105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatUnion St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
Played20
Wins10
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)2.50
Goals against (avg)0.50
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/20/0
Over 2.51/20/0
Over 3.51/20/0
BTTS – yes1/20/0

Match preview

Union St. Gilloise host Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 9) at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Union St. Gilloise clear favourites, giving Union St. Gilloise a 71% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 12% for Cercle Brugge. Our tip is: Union St. Gilloise to win.

Union St. Gilloise have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 19:15 WAT
Venue
Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge in?

The match is in the Belgium Jupiler Pro League.

Where are Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge in the table?

Union St. Gilloise are 2nd and Cercle Brugge are 17th in the Jupiler Pro League.

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

Our prediction is Union St. Gilloise to win. Win probabilities: Union St. Gilloise 71%, draw 17%, Cercle Brugge 12%.

Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Jupiler Pro League on Sun 25 Oct

FTClub Brugge KV 3-2 St. Truiden1 ✓FTGent 4-0 Anderlecht1X ✓

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