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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction for the La Liga on 31 Oct 2026: Rayo Vallecano or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
La Liga · Regular Season - 11
Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
3 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-0
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid

Match events

Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
  1. Yellow card: Unai LópezFoul26'
  2. Goal: Jorge De FrutosAssist: Sergio Camello36'
  3. 43'Substitution: Pablo Durán FernándezOff: Hugo González
  4. Substitution: Georgiy TsitaishviliOff: Álvaro García45'

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: Jorge De FrutosAssist: Andrei Rațiu55'
  2. Substitution: Isi PalazónOff: Sergio Camello61'
  3. 61'Substitution: Iago AspasOff: Javi Galán
  4. Substitution: Jozhua VertrouwdOff: Adrià Pedrosa61'
  5. 61'Substitution: Sergio Carreira VilarinoOff: Ferran Jutglà
  6. 61'Substitution: Sebastián CáceresOff: Williot Swedberg
  7. Substitution: Gnangoro BouareOff: Óscar Valentín64'
  8. Yellow card: Gnangoro BouareFoul72'
  9. Goal: Unai LópezAssist: Gnangoro Bouare73'
  10. 75'Substitution: Hugo Alvarez AntunezOff: Couhaib Driouech
  11. Substitution: Alexandre ZurawskiOff: Unai López79'
  12. 82'Yellow card: Williot SwedbergFoul

Our verdict

1X ✓

Rayo Vallecano or draw

Bet365 1.36

69%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Rayo Vallecano40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Celta Vigo31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.13Expected goals (xG)1.00
  • 14Total shots11
  • 8Shots on target0
  • 5Shots off target7
  • 1Blocked shots4
  • 6Shots inside the box8
  • 4Corners3
  • 1Offsides2
  • 11Fouls16
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves6
  • 514Passes452
  • 435Accurate passes372

Line-ups

Rayo Vallecano

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 25E. AuderoG
  2. 2A. RațiuD
  3. 24F. LejeuneD
  4. 15Mujaid SadickD
  5. 17Adrià PedrosaD
  6. 4Pedro DíazM
  7. 23Óscar ValentínM
  8. 8Unai LópezM
  9. 19Jorge de FrutosF
  10. 10Sergio CamelloF
  11. 18Álvaro GarcíaF

Substitutes

  1. 20I. BalliuD
  2. 37Rayane BelidF
  3. 9AlemãoF
  4. 36G. BouareM
  5. 1Dani CárdenasG
  6. 22Pelayo FernándezD
  7. 11R. NtekaM
  8. 7Isi PalazónM
  9. 21Fran PérezF
  10. 14G. TsitaishviliF
  11. 33J. VertrouwdD

Coach: Beñat San José

Celta Vigo

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 13I. RaduG
  2. 20Javi RodríguezD
  3. 18Yoel LagoD
  4. 21S. CáceresD
  5. 17Javi RuedaM
  6. 6I. MoribaM
  7. 14Aleix FebasM
  8. 22Javi GalánM
  9. 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
  10. 9Ferran JutglàF
  11. 16Hugo GonzálezF

Substitutes

  1. 3Marcos AlonsoD
  2. 28Andrés AntañónM
  3. 10Iago AspasF
  4. 1A. BayındırG
  5. 30H. BurcioM
  6. 5Sergio CarreiraD
  7. 24C. DriouechF
  8. 11Pablo DuránF
  9. 4A. FayeD
  10. 19W. SwedbergF
  11. 25Iván VillarG

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.12
0.5 goalsOver91.1%Under8.9%
1.5 goalsOver69.6%Under30.4%
2.5 goalsOver43.6%Under56.4%
3.5 goalsOver22.5%Under77.5%
4.5 goalsOver9.8%Under90.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
13%Form87%
43%Attack57%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
56%Overall44%

Last matches

Newest first
Rayo Vallecano0W 1D 0L · last 1
DGetafe vs Rayo Vallecano19 Oct 2026 · La Liga1-1
Celta Vigo2W 1D 1L · last 4
DCelta Vigo vs Real Betis25 Oct 2026 · La Liga0-0WCeltic vs Celta Vigo22 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-2WCelta Vigo vs Alaves18 Oct 2026 · La Liga2-1LCelta Vigo vs Juventus15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-2

La Liga table

La Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
11Rayo Vallecano10-512
12Getafe11-812
13Deportivo La Coruna10011
14Espanyol11-111
15Osasuna10-1011
16Racing Santander11-1411
17Elche11-410
18Levante11-510
19Valencia11-99
20Malaga11-135
See full table ›

Top scorers

La Liga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RaphinhaBarcelona1015
2Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1112
3Lamine YamalBarcelona1110
4M. ZabiriRacing Santander118
5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
Played14
Wins02
Draws11
Losses01
Goals for (avg)11.3
Goals against (avg)11
Clean sheets01
Failed to score01
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.51/13/4
Over 2.50/13/4
Over 3.50/10/4
BTTS – yes1/13/4

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo in the La Liga (Regular Season - 11) at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Rayo Vallecano slight favourites, giving Rayo Vallecano a 40% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 31% for Celta Vigo. Our tip is: Rayo Vallecano or draw.

Rayo Vallecano have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Celta Vigo have taken 7 points from their last 4 games (2W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain La Liga
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Venue
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo in?

The match is in the Spain La Liga.

Where are Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo in the table?

Rayo Vallecano are 11th and Celta Vigo are 9th in the La Liga.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

Our prediction is Rayo Vallecano or draw. Win probabilities: Rayo Vallecano 40%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 31%.

Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More La Liga on Sat 31 Oct

FTLevante 0-2 Atletico Madrid2 ✓FTReal Betis 2-1 Malaga1 ✓FTBarcelona 6-1 AlavesOver 2.5 ✓

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