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TodaysPrediction

Genoa vs Juventus prediction

Genoa vs Juventus prediction for the Serie A on 28 Oct 2026: Juventus to win (56%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday28October 2026
GenoaJuventus
2 - 0Full time · Wed 28 OctHT 2-0
Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Match events

GenoaJuventus
  1. Goal: Kingsley EhizibueAssist: Tommaso Baldanzi12'
  2. Goal: Tommaso Baldanzi28'
  3. Substitution: Mikael EllertssonOff: Mario Mitaj41'
  4. 45'Substitution: Federico GattiOff: Nick Woltemade
  5. 45'Substitution: Kerim AlajbegovicOff: Edon Zhegrova

HT 2-0

  1. 59'Substitution: Pape Matar SarrOff: Jérémie Boga
  2. 59'Substitution: Andrea CambiasoOff: Juan Cabal
  3. Substitution: Tommaso BaldanziOff: Junior Messias69'
  4. Substitution: Kingsley EhizibueOff: Franz-Ethan Meichtry69'
  5. 70'Yellow card: Edon ZhegrovaFoul
  6. 77'Substitution: Douglas Luiz SoaresOff: Teun Koopmeiners
  7. Substitution: Milutin OsmajićOff: Lorenzo Colombo82'
  8. Substitution: Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas FilhoOff: Samuel Wiafe82'

Our verdict

2 ✗

Juventus to win

Bet365 1.65

56%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Genoa18%
Fair odds 5.56
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Juventus56%
Fair odds 1.79

Match statistics

  • 37%Possession63%
  • 1.01Expected goals (xG)0.88
  • 14Total shots17
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 7Shots off target7
  • 5Blocked shots6
  • 11Shots inside the box10
  • 6Corners9
  • 2Offsides2
  • 5Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves0
  • 341Passes592
  • 270Accurate passes511

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. BijlowG
  2. 27A. MarcandalliD
  3. 5L. ØstigårdD
  4. 22J. VásquezD
  5. 3K. EhizibueM
  6. 32M. FrendrupM
  7. 4Alexsandro AmorimM
  8. 77M. EllertssonM
  9. 9VítinhaM
  10. 8T. BaldanziM
  11. 18M. OsmajićF

Substitutes

  1. 25H. TraorèM
  2. 71S. WiafeM
  3. 92S. El ShaarawyF
  4. 29L. ColomboF
  5. 10Junior MessiasF
  6. 11E. MeichtryM
  7. 2M. MitajD
  8. 34S. OtoaD
  9. 31D. PuczkaD
  10. 21Nikita SolodchenkoF
  11. 20S. SabelliD
  12. 39D. SommarivaG
  13. 97D. SowM
  14. 99F. StolzG
  15. 14Lukas KlišysD

Coach: D. De Rossi

Juventus

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 25G. VicarioG
  2. 4F. GattiD
  3. 3BremerD
  4. 26J. LucumíD
  5. 15P. KaluluM
  6. 12Douglas LuizM
  7. 29P. SarrM
  8. 20A. CambiasoM
  9. 22W. McKennieM
  10. 17Kerim-Sam AlajbegovićM
  11. 9R. Kolo MuaniF

Substitutes

  1. 27N. WoltemadeF
  2. 24D. RuganiD
  3. 23C. PinsoglioG
  4. 43F. PagnuccoM
  5. 41A. OwusuM
  6. 33NetoG
  7. 8T. KoopmeinersM
  8. 6L. KellyD
  9. 47A. DurmišiF
  10. 32J. CabalD
  11. 13J. BogaF
  12. 11E. ZhegrovaF

Coach: L. Spalletti

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.83 – 1.63
0.5 goalsOver91.5%Under8.5%
1.5 goalsOver70.4%Under29.6%
2.5 goalsOver44.6%Under55.4%
3.5 goalsOver23.4%Under76.6%
4.5 goalsOver10.4%Under89.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

GenoaJuventus
30%Form70%
25%Attack75%
60%Defence40%
50%Head to head50%
34%Expected goals66%
24%Overall76%

Last matches

Newest first

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
11Genoa10-413
12Cagliari10-613
13Atalanta9-111
14Lecce10-109
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza10-77
17Fiorentina9-105
18Parma9-105
19Udinese10-125
20Venezia10-143
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
2D. MalenAS Roma98
3A. RaimondoFrosinone108
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5A. RabiotAC Milan85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGenoaJuventus
Played24
Wins12
Draws01
Losses11
Goals for (avg)0.51.5
Goals against (avg)11.5
Clean sheets11
Failed to score11
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.51/24/4
Over 2.50/23/4
Over 3.50/21/4
BTTS – yes0/22/4

Match preview

Genoa host Juventus in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Juventus favourites, giving Genoa a 18% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 56% for Juventus. Our tip is: Juventus to win.

Genoa have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Juventus have taken 7 points from their last 4 games (2W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Genoa vs Juventus?

Genoa vs Juventus kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Genoa vs Juventus in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are Genoa and Juventus in the table?

Genoa are 11th and Juventus are 7th in the Serie A.

Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?

Our prediction is Juventus to win. Win probabilities: Genoa 18%, draw 26%, Juventus 56%.

Will both teams score in Genoa vs Juventus?

We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Genoa vs Juventus?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Wed 28 Oct

FTParma 0-0 UdineseX2 ✓FTAC Milan 2-4 BolognaOver 1.5 ✓FTVenezia 0-2 Inter2 ✓FTMonza 1-4 NapoliOver 1.5 ✓

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