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Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction for the Eredivisie on 18 Oct 2026: AZ Alkmaar to win (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9
CambuurNo recent gamesAZ Alkmaar
2 - 2Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 2-1
Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden

Match events

CambuurAZ Alkmaar
  1. Goal: Nicolas BinderAssist: Jason Ceka7'
  2. 10'Yellow card: Lewis SchoutenFoul
  3. Yellow card: Devid Eugene BouahFoul24'
  4. 26'Goal: Ro Zangelo DaalAssist: Peer Koopmeiners
  5. Goal: Ilyes HamacheAssist: Billy van Duijl39'

HT 2-1

  1. Red card: Devid Eugene Bouah53'
  2. Substitution: Jason CekaOff: Rik Mulders57'
  3. 59'Yellow card: Ayoub OufkirFoul
  4. 63'Substitution: Mateo ChávezOff: Mees de Wit
  5. 63'Substitution: Ayoub OufkirOff: Bendegúz Kovács
  6. 64'Substitution: Jordy ClasieOff: Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
  7. 64'Substitution: Wouter GoesOff: Dave Kwakman
  8. Substitution: Nicolas BinderOff: Sami Bouhoudane74'
  9. 81'VARVAR: Mees de WitPenalty confirmed
  10. Yellow card: Johan PlatDissent81'
  11. Yellow card: Thijs JansenFoul82'
  12. 83'Penalty goal: Mexx Meerdink (pen)
  13. Substitution: Mathieu MaertensOff: Jorn Berkhout84'
  14. Substitution: Ilyes HamacheOff: Iwan Henstra84'
  15. Substitution: Rafik El ArguiouiOff: Wiebe Kooistra84'
  16. 89'Substitution: Calvin StengsOff: Jerolldino Bergraaf

Our verdict

2 ✗

AZ Alkmaar to win

Bet365 1.48

65%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals3.6

Win probability

1 · Cambuur16%
Fair odds 6.25
X · Draw19%
Fair odds 5.26
2 · AZ Alkmaar65%
Fair odds 1.54

Match statistics

  • 36%Possession64%
  • 1.53Expected goals (xG)1.56
  • 11Total shots7
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 0Shots off target2
  • 5Blocked shots1
  • 8Shots inside the box7
  • 3Corners6
  • 11Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves4
  • 294Passes535
  • 219Accurate passes451

Line-ups

Cambuur

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1T. JansenG
  2. 2D. BouahD
  3. 4I. BaoufD
  4. 14B. van DuijlD
  5. 28M. CostarelliD
  6. 33M. MaertensM
  7. 8N. SourenM
  8. 30J. ÇekaM
  9. 10R. El ArguiouiM
  10. 11I. HamacheM
  11. 13N. BinderF

Substitutes

  1. 24M. KalisvaartG
  2. 23L. JettenD
  3. 29Iwan HenstraF
  4. 7S. BouhoudaneF
  5. 3J. BerkhoutD
  6. 27W. KooistraF
  7. 15F. KvamF
  8. 16R. MuldersD
  9. 22L. PlogmannG
  10. 9S. VinkF
  11. 48D. WesterhofM
  12. 17Ethan ApkakouM

Coach: J. Plat

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 28J. De BusserG
  2. 22E. DijkstraD
  3. 3W. GoesD
  4. 4L. SchoutenD
  5. 5M. ChávezD
  6. 8J. ClasieM
  7. 6P. KoopmeinersM
  8. 24A. OufkirM
  9. 14C. StengsM
  10. 11R. DaalM
  11. 9M. MeerdinkF

Substitutes

  1. 27Wassim bouzianeF
  2. 17V. ByskovM
  3. 34M. de WitD
  4. 29W. HoedtD
  5. 31R. IchiharaD
  6. 30D. KasiusD
  7. 18B. KovacsF
  8. 21D. KwakmanM
  9. 2S. MaikumaD
  10. 1R. Owusu-OduroG
  11. 7Weslley PatatiF
  12. 54Jerolldino BergraafF

Coach: L. Echteld

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.18 – 2.43
0.5 goalsOver97.3%Under2.7%
1.5 goalsOver87.5%Under12.5%
2.5 goalsOver69.9%Under30.1%
3.5 goalsOver48.7%Under51.3%
4.5 goalsOver29.5%Under70.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CambuurAZ Alkmaar
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
33%Expected goals67%
20%Overall80%

Last matches

Newest first
Cambuur0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

AZ Alkmaar1W 0D 0L · last 1
WAZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva15 Oct 2026 · Europa League2-1

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen108
3G. TilPSV Eindhoven117
4J. BrandtAjax116
5J. TrenskowHeerenveen116

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCambuurAZ Alkmaar
Played01
Wins01
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Cambuur host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9) at Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes AZ Alkmaar clear favourites, giving Cambuur a 16% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 65% for AZ Alkmaar. Our tip is: AZ Alkmaar to win.

AZ Alkmaar have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Venue
Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar in the table?

Cambuur are 9th and AZ Alkmaar are 5th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our prediction is AZ Alkmaar to win. Win probabilities: Cambuur 16%, draw 19%, AZ Alkmaar 65%.

Will both teams score in Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

We estimate a 70% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sun 18 Oct

FTPEC Zwolle 4-1 GO Ahead EaglesX2 ✗FTGroningen 2-5 AjaxX2 ✓FTNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard12 ✗FTTwente 1-2 Utrecht1 ✗

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