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AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction for the Eredivisie on 25 Oct 2026: AZ Alkmaar or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
AZ AlkmaarTwente
0 - 2Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-0
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar

Match events

AZ AlkmaarTwente
  1. Yellow card: Ro Zangelo DaalFoul4'
  2. Yellow card: Elijah DijkstraFoul19'
  3. 43'Yellow card: Robin PropperArgument

HT 0-0

  1. 50'Yellow card: Daouda WeidmannDissent
  2. Substitution: Ro Zangelo DaalOff: Ayoub Oufkir63'
  3. Substitution: Wesley HoedtOff: Jordy Clasie63'
  4. Yellow card: Ayoub OufkirFoul70'
  5. 73'Substitution: Bart van RooijOff: Michal Rosiak
  6. 73'Substitution: Wout WeghorstOff: Lucas hesselink of vennegoor
  7. Substitution: Elijah DijkstraOff: Denso Kasius75'
  8. Substitution: Valdemar Byskov AndreasenOff: Calvin Stengs75'
  9. 84'Goal: Sondre Holmlund OrjasaeterAssist: Younes Taha El Idrissi
  10. 85'Substitution: Younes Taha El IdrissiOff: Thomas Van den Belt
  11. 85'Substitution: Sondre Holmlund OrjasaeterOff: Marko Pjaca
  12. Substitution: Mateo ChávezOff: Bendegúz Kovács87'
  13. 88'Red card: Daouda Weidmann
  14. 90'Substitution: Daan RotsOff: Jordy Bawuah
  15. 90+3'Goal: Lucas hesselink of vennegoorAssist: Joel Drommel

Our verdict

1X ✗

AZ Alkmaar or draw

Bet365 1.36

68%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-2

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · AZ Alkmaar44%
Fair odds 2.27
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Twente32%
Fair odds 3.13

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1.27Expected goals (xG)2.01
  • 13Total shots16
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 3Shots off target4
  • 5Blocked shots7
  • 9Shots inside the box12
  • 3Corners6
  • 1Offsides4
  • 17Fouls16
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 438Passes415
  • 369Accurate passes339

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 28J. De BusserG
  2. 22E. DijkstraD
  3. 4L. SchoutenD
  4. 29W. HoedtD
  5. 5M. ChávezD
  6. 21D. KwakmanM
  7. 6P. KoopmeinersM
  8. 7Weslley PatatiM
  9. 17V. ByskovM
  10. 11R. DaalM
  11. 9M. MeerdinkF

Substitutes

  1. 30D. KasiusD
  2. 54Jerolldino BergraafF
  3. 27Wassim bouzianeF
  4. 8J. ClasieM
  5. 31R. IchiharaD
  6. 18B. KovacsF
  7. 2S. MaikumaD
  8. 24A. OufkirF
  9. 1R. Owusu-OduroG
  10. 14C. StengsM
  11. 34M. de WitD
  12. 75H. de WitM

Coach: L. Echteld

Twente

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 16J. DrommelG
  2. 28B. van RooijD
  3. 3R. PröpperD
  4. 4R. NijstadD
  5. 29A. AdelgaardD
  6. 6R. ZerroukiM
  7. 8D. WeidmannM
  8. 11D. RotsM
  9. 10Y. TahaM
  10. 27S. ØrjasæterM
  11. 9W. WeghorstF

Substitutes

  1. 18Jordy BawuahM
  2. 31Yannick GerritsenG
  3. 14K. HlynssonM
  4. 39J. MeilinkD
  5. 22R. PasveerG
  6. 7M. PjacaF
  7. 2M. RosiakD
  8. 25Lucas Vennegoor of HesselinkF
  9. 20T. van den BeltM

Coach: J. van den Brom

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.52
0.5 goalsOver96.3%Under3.7%
1.5 goalsOver84.3%Under15.7%
2.5 goalsOver64.3%Under35.7%
3.5 goalsOver42.2%Under57.8%
4.5 goalsOver23.9%Under76.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AZ AlkmaarTwente
54%Form46%
57%Attack43%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
AZ Alkmaar2W 1D 0L · last 3
WArarat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar22 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-4DCambuur vs AZ Alkmaar18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-2WAZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva15 Oct 2026 · Europa League2-1
Twente2W 0D 1L · last 3
WLincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente22 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-4LTwente vs Utrecht18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie1-2WTwente vs FC Thun15 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-0

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen108
3G. TilPSV Eindhoven117
4J. BrandtAjax116
5J. TrenskowHeerenveen116

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAZ AlkmaarTwente
Played33
Wins22
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)2.72
Goals against (avg)11
Clean sheets11
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/32/3
Over 2.53/32/3
Over 3.52/31/3
BTTS – yes2/32/3

Match preview

AZ Alkmaar host Twente in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes AZ Alkmaar slight favourites, giving AZ Alkmaar a 44% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 32% for Twente. Our tip is: AZ Alkmaar or draw.

AZ Alkmaar have taken 7 points from their last 3 games (2W 1D 0L). Twente have taken 6 points from their last 3 games (2W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 and a 66% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is AZ Alkmaar vs Twente in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are AZ Alkmaar and Twente in the table?

AZ Alkmaar are 5th and Twente are 4th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?

Our prediction is AZ Alkmaar or draw. Win probabilities: AZ Alkmaar 44%, draw 24%, Twente 32%.

Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?

We estimate a 66% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?

We estimate a 64% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sun 25 Oct

FTFortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior1X ✓FTPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Feyenoord1X ✓FTNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Groningen1X ✓FTSparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax2 ✓

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