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Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction for the Bundesliga on 18 Oct 2026: Sturm Graz or draw (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
Sturm GrazGrazer AKNo recent games
6 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 3-1
Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz

Match events

Sturm GrazGrazer AK
  1. 10'Goal: Christopher CvetkoAssist: Yannick Oberleitner
  2. Substitution: Daniil KhudyakovOff: Ammar Helac28'
  3. Goal: Luca WeinhandlAssist: Valmir Matoshi37'
  4. Goal: Jurgen HeilAssist: Luis Balbo39'
  5. Goal: Oumar Diakité41'
  6. 45'Substitution: Christian LichtenbergerOff: Mark Große
  7. 45'Substitution: Anderson Dos Santos GomesOff: Tim Trummer
  8. VAR: Joshua QuarshieGoal cancelledVAR45+7'

HT 3-1

  1. 48'Yellow card: Mark GroßeFoul
  2. Goal: Oumar DiakitéAssist: Simon Seidl49'
  3. Goal: Oumar DiakitéAssist: Simon Seidl51'
  4. Yellow card: Oumar Diakité52'
  5. 53'Yellow card: Alexander HofleitnerDissent
  6. Substitution: Joshua QuarshieOff: Jacob Peter Hödl59'
  7. Substitution: Luis BalboOff: Albert Vallci59'
  8. Substitution: Oumar DiakitéOff: Szymon Wlodarczyk60'
  9. Substitution: Julian HalwachsOff: Luca Weinhandl72'
  10. Goal: Jon Gorenc StankovićAssist: Simon Seidl75'
  11. 76'Substitution: Christopher CvetkoOff: Tobias Koch
  12. 76'Substitution: Leon KlassenOff: Souleyman mandey
  13. Yellow card: Julian HalwachsFoul82'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Sturm Graz or draw

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 6-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Sturm Graz54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Grazer AK22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 55%Possession45%
  • 3.47Expected goals (xG)0.62
  • 24Total shots12
  • 10Shots on target3
  • 10Shots off target5
  • 4Blocked shots4
  • 16Shots inside the box6
  • 6Corners2
  • 5Offsides1
  • 8Fouls17
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves4
  • 312Passes255
  • 201Accurate passes143

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 53D. KhudyakovG
  2. 23A. MalicD
  3. 2J. QuarshieD
  4. 30P. KollerD
  5. 28J. HeilM
  6. 39Luca WeinhandlM
  7. 4J. Gorenc StankovičM
  8. 27L. BalboM
  9. 19S. SeidlM
  10. 78V. MatoshiM
  11. 14O. DiakitéF

Substitutes

  1. 21P. PetrovićD
  2. 11A. KayomboF
  3. 43Jacob Peter HödlM
  4. 22A. HelacG
  5. 40J. HalwachsM
  6. 35N. GeyrhoferD
  7. 26B. BeganovićF
  8. 5A. VallciD
  9. 17S. WłodarczykF

Coach: F. Ingolitsch

Grazer AK

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 23C. StankovićG
  2. 27Y. OberleitnerD
  3. 21M. SollbauerD
  4. 82B. OwusuD
  5. 28AndersonM
  6. 34P. MichorlM
  7. 24C. CvetkoM
  8. 32L. KlassenM
  9. 14J. ItalianoM
  10. 10C. LichtenbergerM
  11. 25A. HofleitnerF

Substitutes

  1. 3L. Vraa-JensenD
  2. 48M. GraggerD
  3. 11M. GroßeF
  4. 8T. KochM
  5. 9D. MadernerF
  6. 17S. MandeyM
  7. 72Petar MarkovicD
  8. 26C. NichtG
  9. 37T. TrummerM

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.06
0.5 goalsOver94.2%Under5.8%
1.5 goalsOver77.7%Under22.3%
2.5 goalsOver54.2%Under45.8%
3.5 goalsOver31.9%Under68.1%
4.5 goalsOver16.0%Under84.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sturm GrazGrazer AK
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
6%Defence94%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
71%Overall29%

Last matches

Newest first
Sturm Graz0W 0D 1L · last 1
LBournemouth vs Sturm Graz15 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-0
Grazer AK0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Bundesliga table

Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rapid Vienna11+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
11Austria Vienna11-127
12Wolfsberger AC11-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1H. TabakovićRed Bull Salzburg97
2C. LangLask Linz117
3D. WeixelbraunAustria Lustenau106
4S. AdeniranLask Linz86
5C. HoffmannTSV Hartberg06

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSturm GrazGrazer AK
Played10
Wins00
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)30
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes0/10/0

Match preview

Sturm Graz host Grazer AK in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 9) at Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sturm Graz favourites, giving Sturm Graz a 54% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 22% for Grazer AK. Our tip is: Sturm Graz or draw.

Sturm Graz have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Austria Bundesliga
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK in?

The match is in the Austria Bundesliga.

Where are Sturm Graz and Grazer AK in the table?

Sturm Graz are 4th and Grazer AK are 9th in the Bundesliga.

Who will win Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

Our prediction is Sturm Graz or draw. Win probabilities: Sturm Graz 54%, draw 24%, Grazer AK 22%.

Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Bundesliga on Sun 18 Oct

FTWolfsberger AC 0-2 WSG Wattens12 ✓FTRed Bull Salzburg 3-0 SCR Altach1 ✓

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