Match events
SC Freiburg- 15'Substitution: Y. EngelhardtOff: P. Osterhage
- 37'Yellow card: P. OsterhageHolding
- Goal: P. BrunnerAssist: E. Diop45+2'
HT 1-0
- 46'Substitution: Y. SuzukiOff: L. Holer
- Yellow card: A. GolovinFoul49'
- Substitution: M. DetourbetOff: A. Fati58'
- Substitution: M. CoulibalyOff: A. Soubeir58'
- 62'Substitution: J. MakengoOff: P. Treu
- 62'Substitution: V. GrifoOff: D. Scherhant
- Substitution: E. DiopOff: D. Zakaria69'
- Yellow card: A. SoubeirRoughing70'
- Substitution: P. BrunnerOff: M. Abline80'
- Substitution: A. GolovinOff: Nazinho80'
- 82'Substitution: J. BesteOff: C. Irie
- Goal: L. Camara83'
- Yellow card: A. FatiFoul86'
- Goal: A. FatiAssist: M. Abline90+1'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.22
✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 48%Possession52%
- 1.10Expected goals (xG)0.82
- 10Total shots11
- 6Shots on target1
- 2Shots off target6
- 2Blocked shots4
- 8Shots inside the box8
- 6Corners11
- 1Offsides1
- 13Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards1
- 1Goalkeeper saves4
- 417Passes434
- 364Accurate passes362
- 87%Pass accuracy83%
Line-ups
Monaco
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Lukáš HrádeckýG
- 2VandersonD
- 72Sadibou SanéD
- 4Jordan TezeD
- 13Christian MawissaD
- 8Lamine CamaraM
- 37Edan DiopM
- 28Mamadou CoulibalyM
- 10Aleksandr GolovinM
- 7Mathys DetourbetM
- 29Paris BrunnerF
Substitutes
- 46Anis SoubeirM
- 31Ansu FatiF
- 16Philipp KöhnG
- 40Jules StawieckiG
- 22Mohammed SalisuD
- 20NazinhoD
- 49Ilane TouréM
- 6Denis ZakariaM
- 18Takumi MinaminoM
- 19Pape CabralM
- 11Matthis AblineF
- 14Mika BierethF
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Mio BackhausG
- 17Lukas KüblerD
- 28Matthias GinterD
- 37Maximilian RosenfelderD
- 33Jordy MakengoD
- 8Maximilian EggesteinM
- 16Yannick EngelhardtM
- 19Jan-Niklas BesteM
- 14Yuito SuzukiM
- 32Vincenzo GrifoM
- 31Igor MatanovićF
Substitutes
- 6Patrick OsterhageM
- 9Lucas HölerF
- 29Philipp TreuD
- 7Derry ScherhantF
- 24Jannik HuthG
- 30Christian GünterD
- 5Anthony JungD
- 22Cyriaque IriéF
- 20Rihito YamamotoM
- 42Keisuke GotoF
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.30Half time / full time result. 1 = Monaco, X = draw, 2 = SC Freiburg.
Asian handicap applied to Monaco.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstConference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Monaco | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/2 | 1/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/2 | 2/2 |
Match preview
Monaco host SC Freiburg in the Conference League (League Stage - 2) at Stade Louis II, Monaco, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Monaco slight favourites, giving Monaco a 44% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 30% for SC Freiburg. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Monaco have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). SC Freiburg have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Venue
- Stade Louis II, Monaco
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
Monaco vs SC Freiburg kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Monaco vs SC Freiburg in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are Monaco and SC Freiburg in the table?
Monaco are 6th and SC Freiburg are 18th in the Conference League.
Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Monaco 44%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 30%.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.