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SC Braga vs Gent prediction

SC Braga vs Gent prediction for the Conference League on 22 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Conference League · League Stage - 2
SC BragaGent
2 - 0Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 1-0
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Match events

SC BragaGent
  1. Goal: V. GomezAssist: Gorby3'
  2. Yellow card: A. BarisicFoul27'
  3. 32'Yellow card: M. PaskotsiRoughing
  4. 41'Substitution: M. BalikwishaOff: L. Benes
  5. Yellow card: T. Sa41'

HT 1-0

  1. Substitution: J. MilosevicOff: M. Dorgeles61'
  2. 64'Substitution: M. DelorgeOff: L. Lopes
  3. 64'Substitution: H. GooreOff: E. H. Seck
  4. Substitution: G. MartinezOff: Gabriel Silva71'
  5. Substitution: GorbyOff: D. E. Tiknaz71'
  6. Goal: G. MartinezAssist: V. Gomez76'
  7. 82'Substitution: M. PaskotsiOff: K. Wilson
  8. 82'Substitution: M. SonkoOff: G. De Meyer
  9. Substitution: A. BarisicOff: Sergio Barcia89'
  10. Substitution: R. HortaOff: D. Huseinbasic89'

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✓

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.25

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · SC Braga50%
Fair odds 2.00
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Gent23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.83Expected goals (xG)0.44
  • 19Total shots9
  • 7Shots on target1
  • 8Shots off target6
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 7Shots inside the box3
  • 5Corners3
  • 1Offsides1
  • 11Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 1Goalkeeper saves6
  • 519Passes465
  • 454Accurate passes394
  • 87%Pass accuracy85%

Line-ups

SC Braga

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 31Bernardo FontesG
  2. 2Victor GómezD
  3. 14Gustaf LagerbielkeD
  4. 37Adrian Leon BarišićD
  5. 26Bright Arrey-MbiD
  6. 10Pau VíctorM
  7. 8João MoutinhoM
  8. 29Jean-Baptiste GorbyM
  9. 11Gabriel SilvaM
  10. 21Ricardo HortaF
  11. 17Jovan MiloševićF

Substitutes

  1. 20Mario DorgelesM
  2. 12Tiago SáG
  3. 6Vítor CarvalhoM
  4. 7Diogo TravassosD
  5. 22Sergio BarciaD
  6. 44Adrian BajramiD
  7. 16Tomás MarquésM
  8. 23Denis HuseinbašićM
  9. 34Demir Ege TıknazM
  10. 50Diego RodriguesM
  11. 77Gabriel MartínezF
  12. 9Fran NavarroF

Gent

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 33Davy RoefG
  2. 3Maksim PaskotsiD
  3. 16Christian BurgessD
  4. 44Siebe Van der HeydenD
  5. 20Tiago AraújoD
  6. 17Mathias DelorgeM
  7. 27Tibe De VliegerM
  8. 45Hyllarion GooreM
  9. 7Michel Ange BalikwishaM
  10. 11Momodou SonkoM
  11. 75Ibrahima CisseF

Substitutes

  1. 8László BénesM
  2. 22Leonardo LopesM
  3. 59El Hadji SeckF
  4. 30Kjell PeersmanG
  5. 35Gilles De MeyerD
  6. 39Abdul AyindeD
  7. 56Mamadou DialloD
  8. 57Matties VolckaertD
  9. 10Aimé OmgbaM
  10. 14Kyrell WilsonF
  11. 28Mohammed El ÂdfaouiM
  12. 37Abdelkahar KadriM

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.50 – 0.92
0.5 goalsOver91.1%Under8.9%
1.5 goalsOver69.6%Under30.4%
2.5 goalsOver43.6%Under56.4%
3.5 goalsOver22.5%Under77.5%
4.5 goalsOver9.8%Under90.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SC BragaGent
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
6%Defence94%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
68%Overall32%

Last matches

Newest first
SC Braga0W 0D 1L · last 1
LFC Copenhagen vs SC Braga15 Oct 2026 · Conference League3-0
Gent1W 0D 0L · last 1
WGent vs Aarhus15 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-0

Conference League table

Conference League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
11Universitatea Craiova2+24
12Mjallby AIF2+24
13Ajax2+13
14Borac Banja Luka2+13
15Atalanta203
16SC Braga2-13
17Gent2-13
18SC Freiburg2-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202
21Riga202
22FK Crvena Zvezda2-11
23CSKA Sofia2-11
24FK Jablonec2-11
25FC Midtjylland2-11
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Conference League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. BehrensFC Lugano87
2Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion67
3C. DessersPanathinaikos56
4A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen75
5D. KlaassenAjax75

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSC BragaGent
Played11
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)30
Clean sheets01
Failed to score10
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

SC Braga host Gent in the Conference League (League Stage - 2) at Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes SC Braga favourites, giving SC Braga a 50% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 23% for Gent. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

SC Braga have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Gent have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Conference League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is SC Braga vs Gent?

SC Braga vs Gent kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is SC Braga vs Gent in?

The match is in the Europe Conference League.

Where are SC Braga and Gent in the table?

SC Braga are 16th and Gent are 17th in the Conference League.

Who will win SC Braga vs Gent?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: SC Braga 50%, draw 27%, Gent 23%.

Will both teams score in SC Braga vs Gent?

We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SC Braga vs Gent?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Conference League on Thu 22 Oct

FTKairat Almaty 1-5 Panathinaikos2 ✓FTFC Iberia 1999 1-1 Mjallby AIFX2 ✓FTFK Crvena Zvezda 2-2 FC CopenhagenOver 1.5 ✓FTGetafe 2-5 FC LuganoUnder 3.5 ✗FTInter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova2 ✓FTFK Jablonec 0-0 Brighton2 ✗FTKauno Žalgiris 1-4 BrannOver 1.5 ✓FTFC Nordsjaelland 2-2 CSKA Sofia1 ✗FTPafos 1-1 Riga1 ✗FTTrabzonspor 2-0 Heart Of Midlothian1 ✓FTLincoln Red Imps FC 1-4 Twente2 ✓FTFC Midtjylland 0-1 St. Truiden1 ✗FTMonaco 3-0 SC FreiburgOver 1.5 ✓FTFC Thun 0-1 HNK Hajduk SplitX2 ✓FTAjax 2-0 Atalanta12 ✓FTAarhus 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë1 ✗FTBorac Banja Luka 2-0 KuPS1X ✓

All football predictions for today