Match events
Atalanta- Yellow card: S. AmrabatRoughing45'
HT 0-0
- 62'Substitution: C. De KetelaereOff: L. Samardzic
- Substitution: O. GloukhOff: V. Tsygankov62'
- Substitution: D. KlaassenOff: A. Ouazane62'
- Substitution: T. ArokodareOff: Marcos Leonardo66'
- 68'Yellow card: L. SamardzicHolding
- 72'Substitution: G. ScamaccaOff: N. Krstovic
- 80'Substitution: G. GaetanoOff: M. Pasalic
- 81'Substitution: E. ElmasOff: J. Rowe
- 86'Yellow card: N. ZalewskiFoul
- Goal: T. ArokodareAssist: Y. Baas87'
- Substitution: J. BrandtOff: D. Janse90+1'
- Yellow card: M. ter StegenDelay of game90+2'
- Goal: A. OuazaneAssist: T. Arokodare90+3'
Our verdict
Ajax or Atalanta
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 62%Possession38%
- 1.74Expected goals (xG)0.74
- 20Total shots15
- 6Shots on target0
- 9Shots off target8
- 5Blocked shots7
- 16Shots inside the box9
- 8Corners9
- 2Offsides1
- 7Fouls6
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Goalkeeper saves5
- 653Passes402
- 602Accurate passes356
- 92%Pass accuracy89%
Line-ups
Ajax
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Marc-André Ter StegenG
- 2Lucas RosaD
- 30Aaron BouwmanD
- 15Youri BaasD
- 5Owen WijndalD
- 24Jorthy MokioM
- 4Sofyan AmrabatM
- 18Davy KlaassenM
- 8Julian BrandtM
- 10Oscar GloukhM
- 38Marcos LeonardoF
Substitutes
- 11Viktor TsygankovF
- 68Abdellah OuazaneM
- 99Tolu ArokodareF
- 22Joeri HeerkensG
- 26Maarten PaesG
- 6Thilo KehrerD
- 21Jofre TorrentsD
- 36Dies JanseD
- 67Mohamed AbdallaM
- 43Rayane BounidaF
- 49Diego PugnoF
Atalanta
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 29Marco CarnesecchiG
- 16Raoul BellanovaD
- 31Thomas KristensenD
- 40Relja ObrićD
- 77Davide ZappacostaD
- 70Gianluca GaetanoM
- 13ÉdersonM
- 99Eljif ElmasM
- 17Charles De KetelaereM
- 59Nicola ZalewskiM
- 9Gianluca ScamaccaF
Substitutes
- 10Lazar SamardžićM
- 51Mattia SonzogniG
- 57Marco SportielloG
- 55Isaac IsoaD
- 8Mario PašalićM
- 41Javison IdeleM
- 47Lorenzo BernasconiD
- 46Sergej LevakM
- 48Andrea BonanomiM
- 11Jonathan RoweF
- 90Nikola KrstovićF
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.37Half time / full time result. 1 = Ajax, X = draw, 2 = Atalanta.
Asian handicap applied to Ajax.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstConference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Ajax | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3 | 2.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Match preview
Ajax host Atalanta in the Conference League (League Stage - 2) at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Ajax slight favourites, giving Ajax a 45% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 30% for Atalanta. Our tip is: Ajax or Atalanta.
Ajax have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Atalanta have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Venue
- Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Ajax vs Atalanta?
Ajax vs Atalanta kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Ajax vs Atalanta in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are Ajax and Atalanta in the table?
Ajax are 13th and Atalanta are 15th in the Conference League.
Who will win Ajax vs Atalanta?
Our prediction is Ajax or Atalanta. Win probabilities: Ajax 45%, draw 25%, Atalanta 30%.
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Atalanta?
We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ajax vs Atalanta?
We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.