Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Match events
MonacoHT 0-0
- 52'Substitution: Takumi MinaminoOff: Edan Diop
- 57'Yellow card: Mohammed SalisuFoul
- 60'Yellow card: Denis ZakariaFoul
- 60'Yellow card: Flavio NazinhoDissent
- Penalty goal: Noah Cadiou (pen)61'
- 66'Substitution: Folarin BalogunOff: Ansu Fati
- 66'Substitution: Denis ZakariaOff: Mathys Detourbet
- 66'Substitution: Mohammed SalisuOff: Christian Mawissa
- Yellow card: Noah CadiouFoul66'
- Substitution: Ibrahima BaldeOff: Mamadou Kone71'
- 75'Substitution: Matthis AblineOff: Mika Biereth
- Yellow card: Arsène KouassiDissent76'
- Substitution: Gabin BernardeauOff: Souleymane Faye79'
- 80'Yellow card: Christian MawissaFoul
Our verdict
Monaco or draw
Bet365 1.28
✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 42%Possession58%
- 1.66Expected goals (xG)0.71
- 9Total shots15
- 3Shots on target4
- 3Shots off target6
- 3Blocked shots5
- 7Shots inside the box9
- 3Corners4
- 1Offsides0
- 10Fouls16
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves2
- 473Passes660
- 396Accurate passes597
Line-ups
Lorient
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 38Y. MvogoG
- 32N. AdjeiD
- 3M. TalbiD
- 95S. TouréD
- 20D. SyllaM
- 8N. CadiouM
- 62A. AvomM
- 43K. KouassiM
- 17J. MakengoM
- 33G. BernardeauM
- 18I. BaldéF
Substitutes
- 15A. TosinF
- 2A. GeorgenD
- 21B. KamaraG
- 77P. KatserisD
- 19S. FayeF
- 42M. KoneF
- 30S. KuzmićD
- 11T. Le BrisM
- 55N. ObaretinD
Coach: A. Dujeux
Monaco
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 2VandersonD
- 72Sadibou SanéD
- 22M. SalisuD
- 20Flávio NazinhoD
- 8L. CamaraM
- 6D. ZakariaM
- 18T. MinaminoM
- 31Ansu FatiM
- 10A. GolovinM
- 11M. AblineF
Substitutes
- 4J. TezeD
- 9F. BalogunF
- 14M. BierethF
- 19Pape CabralM
- 28M. CoulibalyM
- 7M. DetourbetF
- 37E. DiopM
- 16P. KöhnG
- 13C. Mawissa ElebiD
Coach: Filipe Luís
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.17 – 1.54Half time / full time result. 1 = Lorient, X = draw, 2 = Monaco.
Asian handicap applied to Lorient.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstLorient0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Monaco1W 0D 0L · last 1Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 6 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 8 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +5 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 | LDWLW |
| 14 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  E. LepaulRennes | 7 | 7 |
| 2 |  E. WahiNice | 8 | 6 |
| 3 |  L. SinayokoParis FC | 8 | 6 |
| 4 |  C. ArcherAuxerre | 6 | 5 |
| 5 |  A. GouiriMarseille | 8 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Lorient | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/0 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Lorient host Monaco in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Monaco slight favourites, giving Lorient a 28% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 45% for Monaco. Our tip is: Monaco or draw.
Monaco have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- France Ligue 1
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Venue
- Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Lorient vs Monaco?
Lorient vs Monaco kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Lorient vs Monaco in?
The match is in the France Ligue 1.
Where are Lorient and Monaco in the table?
Lorient are 10th and Monaco are 6th in the Ligue 1.
Who will win Lorient vs Monaco?
Our prediction is Monaco or draw. Win probabilities: Lorient 28%, draw 27%, Monaco 45%.
Will both teams score in Lorient vs Monaco?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lorient vs Monaco?
We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.